Infra 2009 - Apresentação Steve Filipov - Terex Brazil Infrastructure Conference

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    Developing MarketsInfrastructure Activity in

    Economic Crisis

    Steve Filipov

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    Pace of economic development is directly impacted by the on-going financial crisis but long-term, underlying drivers remainintact

    Infrastructure investment has been slowed in places but, on-balance, continues despite (if not because of) the economiccrisis

    Infrastructure opportunities are global but, near term, will bestrongest in countries who have the fiscal capacity and the

    policy mindset to fund aggressive stimulus Global infrastructure is an important opportunity for companys

    like Terex who have a portfolio of capabilities and the ability toexecute globally

    Key Messages

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    What is a Developing Market?

    -5%

    0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    ($10) $0 $10 $20 $30 $40 $50 $60

    GDP/Capita

    (i.e., prosperity)

    0607 Growth inReal GDP/Capita

    (i.e., development)

    DevelopedDeveloping

    W. Europe N. America ANZ

    Japan Asia E. Europe Latin America

    M. East Africa

    LowGrowth

    ModerateGrowth

    High Growth

    $25k/head

    Source: Analysis of data from the Economist eiu; Bubbles represent countries. Bubble size is proportioned to country GDP

    China

    US

    India

    Russia

    Brazil

    A DEFINITION

    Low but increasingprosperity

    Increasing constructionspending

    Increasing commodityconsumption

    Conditions favoringsustained, long-term growth

    Mexico

    Poland

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    4-10%

    -5%

    0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    ($10) $0 $10 $20 $30 $40 $50 $60

    What is a developing market?

    GDP/Capita

    (i.e., prosperity)

    08 09 Growth inReal GDP/Capita

    (i.e., development)

    DevelopedDeveloping

    W. Europe N. America

    ANZ

    Japan

    Asia E. Europe

    Latin America

    M. East

    Africa

    LowGrowth

    ModerateGrowth

    High Growth

    Clearly a more challenging

    new eraat least for now

    Global crisis has hit allmarkets - some developingmarkets have been hitparticularly hard

    Much depends on the

    ability of governments torespond and respondeffectively

    Infrastructure is both animportant lever and animportant long-term priority

    $25k/head

    Source: Analysis of data from the Economist eiu; Bubbles represent countries. Bubble size is proportioned to country GDP

    China

    US

    India

    Russia

    Brazil

    Mexico

    Poland

    Japan

    What is a Developing Market?

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    Situation by Market (BRIC)

    -18.0%

    -14.0%

    -10.0%

    -6.0%

    -2.0%

    2.0%

    6.0%

    10.0%

    14.0%

    18.0%

    '97'98'99 '00 '01'02 '03'04 '05'06 '07'08'09 '10

    CHINA

    -18.0%

    -14.0%

    -10.0%

    -6.0%

    -2.0%

    2.0%

    6.0%

    10.0%

    14.0%

    18.0%

    '97'98'99 '00 '01'02 '03'04 '05'06 '07'08'09 '10

    INDIA

    -18.0%

    -14.0%

    -10.0%

    -6.0%

    -2.0%

    2.0%

    6.0%

    10.0%

    14.0%

    18.0%

    '97'98'99 '00 '01'02 '03'04 '05'06 '07'08'09 '10

    RUSSIA

    -18.0%

    -14.0%

    -10.0%

    -6.0%

    -2.0%

    2.0%

    6.0%

    10.0%

    14.0%

    18.0%

    '97'98'99 '00 '01'02 '03'04 '05'06 '07'08'09 '10

    BRAZIL

    History + Jun 08 Forecast Feb/ Mar 09 ForecastReal GDP Growth:

    Situations range fromtroubling (China) todownright grim (Russia)

    China is best positioned butwill deteriorate if growthslows further

    India faces significantchallenges struggling togrow, despite governmentintervention

    Sharply lower outlooks inBrazil, as industrialconditions weaken andconsumption slows

    Russia has been hit hardand continues to fightdownward pressure on itscurrency, as it struggles torestore economic growth

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    What has Changed?

    1. Global economic expansion has clearlyexperienced a set-back

    2. All notions of decoupling look ridiculous in

    hindsight the world is as connected as ever,perhaps more so

    3. Risk level is clearly elevated and will remain thatway until the flow of global capital is restored

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    What hasnt Changed?

    1. The pursuit of greater prosperity continues

    2. The path to prosperity remains clear: Solid foundation for economic activity (i.e., infrastructure)

    Well functioning economic and regulatory frameworks Governments that are free of corruption and allow every

    individual to advance according to their abilities

    1. There is no free lunch If it seems too good to be true, it still is Nothing lasts forever

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    What is being done? (G20)

    Source: Brookings Institution

    Large Stimulus Plan Modest Stimulus Plan Small Stimulus PlanLarge Stimulus Plan Modest Stimulus Plan Small Stimulus Plan

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    Stimulus by Market (G20)

    Excludes infrastructure that was already planned

    Source: Brookings Institution + Terex analysis

    Country 2009 Spending Total % of GDP ('09) % of GDP (total) Emphasis

    Saudi Arabia 17.6$ 49.6$ 3.3% 9.4% Education, Infrastructure

    USA 268.0$ 841.0$ 1.9% 5.9% Infrastructure, Social Programs, Tax Cuts, Bailouts

    China 90.0$ 204.0$ 2.1% 4.8% Infrastructure/ Reconstruction, Social Programs

    Spain 18.2$ 75.3$ 1.1% 4.5% Tax Cuts, Mortgage Relief, Infrastructure, Auto Industry

    Germany 55.8$ 130.4$ 1.5% 3.4% Tax Cuts, Infrastructure, Auto Industry

    Canada 23.2$ 43.6$ 1.5% 2.8% Tax Cuts, Housing, Infrastructure, Social Programs

    Korea 13.7$ 26.1$ 1.4% 2.7% Infrastructure, Tax Cuts, Industry Support

    S. Africa 4.0$ 7.9$ 1.3% 2.6% Infrastructure, Social Programs

    Indonesia 6.7$ 12.5$ 1.3% 2.4% Tax Cuts, Infrastructure, Fuel and Power SubsidiesJapan 66.1$ 104.4$ 1.4% 2.2% Tax Cuts, Tax Refunds, Earthquake Proofing

    Australia 8.5$ 19.3$ 0.8% 1.8% Tax Refunds, Infrastructure, Tax Cuts, Job Creation

    Russia 30.0$ 30.0$ 1.7% 1.7% Corporate Tax Relief

    United Kingdom 37.9$ 40.8$ 1.4% 1.5% Tax Cuts, Capital Spending, Social Programs

    Argentina 4.4$ 4.4$ 1.3% 1.3% Loan Subsidies, Infrastructure

    Mexico 11.4$ 11.4$ 1.0% 1.0% Price Supports, Layoff Prevention, Infrastructure

    France 20.5$ 20.5$ 0.7% 0.7% Tax Relief, Auto/ Other Industrial Support, Infrastructure

    Brazil 5.1$ 8.6$ 0.3% 0.5% Tax Cuts

    India 6.5$ 6.5$ 0.5% 0.5% Financial System, Infrastructure Loan Guarantees

    Italy 4.7$ 7.0$ 0.2% 0.3% Tax Cuts, Social Programs

    Turkey -$ -$ 0.0% 0.0% Negotiating with the IMF

    Total 692$ 1,643$ 1.7% 4.8%

    Incremental Spending on Economic Stimulus by Country: G20, $B

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    Infrastructure as a priority

    Infrastructure as Economic Stimulus

    The story remains the same: the globaleconomy Is running a major infrastructuredeficit as the cost of decades ofunderinvestment is now surfacing.Whats changing are the numbers.Estimates regarding the demand forinfrastructure money are revised upward

    almost on a daily basis.The latest estimate suggests that theglobal economy will see between $25 and$30 trillion of fresh infrastructureinvestment in the coming two decades.In the US, we will see close to $150billion a year of new infrastructureinvestment in coming decade, in Europeroughly $300 billion a year and in China,no less than $200 billion a year.Roughly 40% of this money will go totransport and almost one-third to powerfacilities (see chart)

    Source: CIBC World Markets

    B

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    China

    XINJIANG

    QINGHAI

    NEI MONGOL

    GANSU

    NINGXIA

    SHAANXIXIZANG

    SICHUANCHONGQING

    YUNNAN

    GUIZHOU

    GUANGXI

    HAINAN

    TAIWAN

    HUNAN JIANGXIZHEJIANG

    FUJIAN

    GUANGDONG

    HONG KONGMACAU

    Shanghai

    SHANGHAI SHI

    Guangzhou

    Chengdu

    JIANGSU

    ANHUIHUBEI

    HENAN

    SHANXI

    SHANDONG

    Beijing

    ShenyangHEBEI

    BEIJING SHITIANJIN

    LIAONING

    JILIN

    HEILONGJIANG

    POPULATION BYREGION (08): 1.3 B*

    ShanghaiInland(28%)

    GDP BY REGION(08): $ 4.6 T*

    Bohai

    (18%)Southeast(23%)

    NorthCentral(10%)

    SouthCentral(15%)

    Northeast (5%) West (2%)

    * Hong Kong, Macau, and Taiwan are not considered part of China above see Southeast Asia

    ShanghaiInland(32%)

    Bohai(24%)

    Southeast(23%)

    North Central (8%)

    South Central (8%)

    Northeast (4%) West (2%)

    21 % of world population but only 7 % of global GDP as of 2008

    Most of the current economy is centered in three regions along theeastern coast of the country

    Consumption in these three regions also drives the economies furtherinland, where much of Chinas agriculture and commodity industries arecentered

    Major investments in infrastructure continue to drive strong economicgrowth, with maturity of the Chinese economy not likely until after 2030

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    China Infrastructure

    CHINAS 4T RMB ECONOMIC STIMULUS TARGETING INFRASTRUCTURE (NOV. 2008)

    Transportation/Electricity

    (1.8T, 45%)

    EarthquakeRebuilding

    (1T, 25%)

    RuralInfrastructure

    (.37T, 9%)

    Environment

    (.35T, 9%)

    Welfare Housing

    (.28T, 7%)

    Independent Innovation

    (.16 T, 4%)Healthcare/ Culture

    (.04 T, 1%)

    ~1/3 is new spending

    Also, confirms commitmentto previous projects

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    China

    Russia

    India

    Japan

    Brazil

    Saudi

    S.

    Africa

    Germany U

    KUS

    RESERVE TO GDP RATIO (2008)

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%100%

    120%

    140%

    160%

    180%

    China

    Russia

    India

    Japan

    Brazil

    Saudi

    S.

    Africa

    Germany

    UK

    US

    DEBT TO GDP RATIO (2008)

    Capacity for more

    Capacity

    for more

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    China Example

    Source: Public Source

    China Strategic Project: Earthquake Rebuild

    Total Investment: $235 Billion in total

    Covered area of 132,596 square km,

    population of 19.8 Million

    Includes earthquake rebuild, new

    infrastructure, tourism and other projects

    that is beneficial to regional economicdevelopment

    Key Facts

    Sample of Projects

    Dujiangyan-Yingxiu Expressway Rebuild: 1B

    Qingchuan County rebuild: 0.6B

    Beichuan County rebuild: 1.6B

    Quang minority cultural site building: 1B

    Jiulongmen international tourism site: 6B

    Chengdu International Logistic Park: 2.8B

    Earthquake Museum: 0.39B

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    China Example

    Source: Public Source

    China Strategic Project: Beijing-Shanghai High Speed Railway

    Total Investment: $32.3 Billion

    Total Length: 1318 KM, 21stations including

    Beijing, Tianjin, Jinan, Bengbu, Nanjing,

    Wuxi, Jiangsu and Shanghai.

    Designed speed: 350 km/h 5 hours from

    Beijing to Shanghai Construction period Commencement on

    April 2008, put into operation in 2010

    Key Facts

    Equipments & Contractors

    $4.4 Billion budget for purchasing

    construction equipment

    China Railway Engineering Co.: 40% of

    the total construction

    China Railway Group: 26% of the total

    Sino-Hydro: 17%

    China Communication Construction: 16%

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    China Example

    Source: Public Source

    China Strategic Project: West to East Power Transmission

    Total Investment: Over $77.4 Billion

    3 Channels: North line from InnerMongolia and Shaanxi to North China;Central line form Sichuan to Central

    and East China; South line fromYunnan, Guizhouand Guangxi toSouth China

    Covered areas:Guizhou, Yunnan,Guangxi, Sichuan, Inner Mongolia,Shanxi, and Shaanxi Transmissionarea: Guangdong, Shanghai, Jiangsu,Zhejiang, Beijing and Tianjin.

    Construction period: 2001-2010

    Key Facts

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    China Example

    Source: Public Source

    China Strategic Project: South to North Water Diversion

    Total Investment: $71.4 billion

    Project Scope:

    East-line-from low reach of YangtzeRiver to Tianjin of 1,156km.

    Mid-line-from middle reaches ofYangtze River to Beijing and Tianjinof 1,267km.

    West -line-transfer the water fromupper reaches of Yangtze River toupper reaches of Yellow River.

    East line and Mid line has started

    construction. The approvedinvestment for the first phasereached 254.6 billion Yuan

    4.16 Billion RMB for East line and18.23 Billion for Mid line has alreadybeen invested in December 2008

    Key Facts

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    Terex and China Infrastructure

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    PAKISTAN

    CHINA

    BANGLADESH

    PRADESH

    ASSAM

    Chandigarh

    New Delhi

    Indian claim

    Gangtok

    JHARKHAND

    GUJARAT MADHYA PRADESH

    RAJASTHAN

    ANCHAL

    PRADESH

    BIHAR

    UTTAR

    DELHIHARYANA

    NEPAL

    NAGALAND

    ARUNACHAL

    MEGHALAY

    UTTAR-

    KASHMIR

    HIMACHAL

    PRADESH

    BURMA

    MIZORAM

    Rangoon

    LAKSHADWEEPKERALA

    TAMIL NADL

    Mumbai

    Bangalore

    KARNATAKA

    MAHARASHTRA

    GOA

    ANDHARPRADESH

    ORISSA

    JAMMU AND

    CHHATTISGARAH

    WEST

    (Bombay)

    BENGAL

    POPULATION BYREGION (08): 1.3 B*

    North(31%)

    GDP BY REGION(08): $ 1.2 T

    West(20%)

    South(21%)

    East(24%)

    Northeast (4%)

    17% of world population but only 2 % of global GDP as of 2008

    Economic activity is fairly evenly distributed but heavily concentrated nearmajor cities

    Tier 2 cities are rapidly emerging centers for investments

    Recent high rates of growth are slowed by the financial crisis but aboveaverage growth is expected to continue long-term as more of India enters themodern world

    North(28%)

    West(26%)

    South(26%)

    East(17%)

    Northeast (3%)

    India

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    300 PPP projects, across sectors, are at various stages

    of implementation, with total project costs currentlyassessed at around USD 21.33 B

    India Infrastructure

    Sector No of projects Project costs (M $)

    Airports 6 4,008

    Energy 32 3,560

    Ports 38 2,763

    Roads 186 9,511

    Railways 3 201

    Urban development 35 1,287

    Total 300 21,330

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    Indian ports to be modernized to handle increased

    load with additional investments from private and public sectorsUnder consideration:

    Mumbai, Chennai P&O terminal, Jawaharlal Nehru Port TrustEnore, Mundhra and Pipavav

    India Example

    Planned Capex(11th Five Year Plan) Total % Major Ports Non Major Ports

    TotalInvestment

    $18,266 M 100% $11,080 M $ 7,186 M

    Thru Pvt Sector $12,156 M 67% $7,373 M $4,782 M

    Thru Govt $6,110 M 33% $3,706 M $2,404 M

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    India Example

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    66,590 km of National Highways, with Govt

    continuing its phased initiatives to upgrade and strengthenthem through the National Highway

    Development project ( NHDP)

    India Example

    Phase Length (km) Estimated Cost Status

    Phase 1 7,498 $ 6,000 M 95% complete

    Phase 2 6,647 $ 6,868 M 70% complete

    Phase 3 4,035 $ 10,867 M In progress

    Phase 5 6,500 NA To be tendered

    Phase 6 1,000 $ 3,336 M To be tendered

    Phase 7 700 $ 3,336 M To be tendered

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    Kolkata Airport

    Estimated Cost: $ 400 M

    Completion: 2011

    Est Passenger traffic: 20 M

    Scope of Work: Extension ofsecondary runway, construction ofrapid taxiways and aprons, upgradation of air traffic management,brand new integrated terminal

    building, communication,navigation and surveillancesystems

    Chennai Airport

    Estimated Cost: $ 360 M

    Completion: 2011

    Est Passenger traffic: 14 M

    Scope of Work: Extension ofrunway, suitability for operationof larger aircraft , upgrade of airtraffic control systems andbrand new terminal building

    India Example

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    Kashmir Railway Project

    Route Length: 290 Km

    Gauge: 1676 mm

    Stations: 30

    Scope: 158 Bridges, 20 tunnels

    Longest tunnel: 11km

    Max speed - 100km / hr

    One bridge will be the highestrailway structure in the world.

    India Example

    http://www.railway-technology.com/projects/kashmir-railway/http://www.railway-technology.com/projects/kashmir-railway/kashmir-railway1.html
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    Terex and India Infrastructure

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    Russia/CIS

    Kyrgyzstan

    Uzbekhistan

    Russia

    Kazakhstan

    Turkmenistan

    Georgia

    Azerbaijian

    Armenia

    Ukraine

    Belarus

    Vistula

    Lithuania

    LatviaEstonia

    POPULATION BYREGION (08): 285 M

    GDP BY REGION(08): $ 2.2 T

    Russia(50%)

    Russia(74%)

    WesternCIS (29%)

    TheStans(21%)

    WesternCIS (19%)

    The Stans (7%)

    4 % of world population and 4% of global GDP as of 2008

    Prior to the global financial crisis, Russia was experiencing rapid growth as

    the state utilizes natural resource wealth to modernize the economy withinfrastructure investment

    Neighboring countries benefited from Russias growth and (in the WesternCIS) increasing trade with eastern and western European neighbors

    Agriculture and commodities dominate the economies of The Stans,whose contribution to regional GDP is currently modest

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    The Federal Capital budgeting documents planned a 10x increase in

    transport infrastructure spendingprior to any stimulus plan. Russian stimulus amounts to a 25% increase in Federal spending

    However, Russian government response to crisis is to focus on supportingcompanies, potentially resulting in the delayof infrastructure investment

    Transport Ministry announced on January 22 the establishment of theState Transport Leasing Company with authorized capital of RUR 40buillion ($1.2 bn) for the purpose of leasing approximately 10,000 units of

    construction equipment from Russian manufacturers.

    Federal Capital Budget for Transportation Infrastructure

    1.314

    13.484

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    14

    16

    2006-2010 2010-2015

    RUR(

    billions)

    2,008 2,0312,313

    2,210

    2,572

    3,987 3,993

    3,3813,142 3,166

    2,624 2,6952,984

    2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

    CONSTRUCTION AND RECONSTRUCTION OF AUTOMOBILE ROADS 2003-2015, KM

    CAGR 6.4%

    2008plan*

    2009plan

    2010plan

    2011plan

    2012plan

    2013plan

    2014plan

    2015plan

    *2008-2009 Targets of the Automobile roads 2006-2010; 2010-2015Targets of the Development of the Transportation System of Russia (2010-2015)

    Updating of Transportation System of Russia (2002-2010) Development of the Transportation System of Russia (2010-2015)

    Russia/CIS Infrastructure

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    Investment Fund spending (main source of infrastructure project

    financing)is slashed by almost half in 2009 from approx.$3.6 B to $2 B

    Federal projects of national importance are cut from 21 to 15, which willbe also financed from budget funds (approx. $11.3 B)

    Despite Russias cut-backs, several major projects will continue:

    The Western High-Speed Diameter road in St.-Petersburg The development of Lower Angara region

    The building of transport infrastructure in the Chita region (Baikal region)

    Oil refineries in Nizhnekamsk (Volga region)

    Oil terminal in Ust-Luga (NW region)

    Others

    Event-driven projects in the region are also likely to continue, includinginvestments supporting the APEC Summit in 2012, the World UniversityGames in 2013, and the Sochi Olympics in 2014

    Russia/ CIS Infrastructure

    Source: RosBusiness Consulting

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    Contribution to the development of the Asian Pacific Economic

    Conference in 2012 in the city of Vladivostok.

    Location: Russia, Vladivostok, Russky IslandThe governance of Russian State institute of urban planning and investment developmentGiprogor (Russia). The total program includes:

    Conference Center, International Press Center, Theatre and Opera House, Hotels, WorldTrade Center, Exhibition Center,Oceanografic Museum, Medical Center, Sports Facilities,Shopping Mall and Parking Facilities, the extension and reconstruction of new highways, theairport, and harbors.

    APEC Summit 2012 (Vladivostok)

    Russia/CIS Example

    Source:http://www.royalhaskoning.ru/en-us/projects/Pages/VladivostokSD.aspx

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    Russia/CIS Example

    Estimated budget: USD 8.6 B (Start 2009)

    World University Games 2013 (Kazan)

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    Russia/CIS Example

    48 sport facilities to be built

    (in total about 400,000sqm)

    5 new metro stations

    Reconstruction of Kazan ring road and airport

    World University Games 2013 (Kazan)

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    Russia/ CIS Example

    Estimated Budget: USD 14 B (Start in 2009)

    Olympic Stadium, (40 thousand seats) Curling Ice Arena (3 thousand seats) Olympic Skating Center (figure skating 12 thousand seats). Olympic Oval - Speed Skating Centre (8 thousand seats) Bolshoi Ice Palace Ice Hockey, 12 thousand seats Ice Arena - Ice Hockey (7 thousand seats)

    Olympic Games 2014 (Sochi)

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    Russia/ CIS Example

    Sport facilities 20 units

    Roads 147,5 km

    Motorway bridges and road interchanges 12 units.

    Railway roads 88,6 km

    Engineering infrastructure 55 units

    Communication Facilities 10 units Heat generating stations 2 units.

    Chain of powerplants 1 units.

    Substations 11 units.

    Substations to be refurbished 7 units.

    High voltage power lines 550 km Environmental protection facilities 6 units

    Hospitals 2 units

    Hotels 33 units

    Offices 1 units

    Olympic Games 2014 (Sochi)

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    Terex and Russia Infrastructure

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    Latin America Situation

    MEXICO

    GUATEMALA

    HONDURAS

    EL SALVADORNICARAGUA

    PANAMA

    CUBA

    THE REPUBLIC OFPUERTO RICO

    COLOMBIA

    VENEZUELA

    BRAZIL

    PERU

    ECUADOR

    GUYANA

    SURINAME

    FRENCH GUIANA

    BOLIVIA

    PARAGUAY

    CHILE

    ARGENTINA

    URUGUAY

    FALKLAND ISLANDS

    TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO

    COSTA RICA

    POPULATION BYREGION (08): 570 M

    GDP BY REGION(08): $ 4.1 T

    Brazil(33%)

    Central Am./N. South

    Amer. (27%)

    SouthernCone(21%)

    Mexico

    (19%)

    Brazil(37%)Central Am./

    N. SouthAmer. (20%)

    Southern

    Cone(18%)

    Mexico(25%)

    9 % of world population and 7% of global GDP as of 2008 Brazil and Mexico represent over 60% of regional GDP Recent political and financial stability in these and other countries

    has enabled strong growth in the region High commodity prices and successful development of the

    regions mineral and oil reserve also contributed

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    Brazil Infrastructure

    Infrastructure

    Credit and financingpromotion

    Enhancing theinvestment climate

    Tax exemptions /

    improvement of the tax

    system

    Long-term fiscal

    measures

    A Five-Pillar Programme

    PACGrowth Acceleration Project

    * USD Exchange rate asof March18, 2009

    Until 2010 After 2010

    US$ 221 BTotal investment

    PAC investments represent1.2% of Brazils GDP

    *Theoriginal budgetuntil2010 wasUS$ 221,9 bi,but was recentlyupdated * Source:www.brasil.gov.br/pac

    Infrastructure

    Credit and financingpromotion

    Enhancing theinvestment climate

    Tax exemptions /

    improvement of the tax

    system

    Long-term fiscal

    measures

    A Five-Pillar Programme

    PACGrowth Acceleration Project

    * USD Exchange rate asof March18, 2009

    Until 2010

    US$ 285 B*After 2010Total investment

    US$ 506 B

    PAC investments represent1.2% of Brazils GDP

    12%

    22%66%

    Logistics

    Energy Social and Urban

    12%

    22%66%

    Logistics

    US$ 58.2 B

    Energy

    US$ 334.4 B

    Social and Urban

    US$ 113.1 B

    *Theoriginal budgetuntil2010 wasUS$ 221,9 bi,but was recentlyupdated * Source:www.brasil.gov.br/pac

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    Brazil Examples

    Example of Major Projects by Value

    Compliance with the 2010 deadlineremains a question mark.

    20%

    11%

    of the original budgethas been invested

    of the projectsare concluded

    * USD Exchange rate as of March 18, 2009

    Source: www.brasil.gov.br/pacExame Magazine

    Brazil PAC Projects

    Logistics

    High speed train US$ 10.4 B

    Ferrovia Norte Sul / Trecho Sul US$ 2.2 B

    Ferrovia Oeste / Leste US$ 2.2 B

    Ferrovia Transnordestina US$ 1.9 B

    Metro So Paulo / Linha 4 US$ 1.4 B

    Energy

    Complexo Petroqumico Integrado US$ 6.7 B

    Santo Antnio Hydroelectric plant US$ 4 B

    Refinaria General Abreu e Lima US$ 3.8 B

    Jirau Hydroelectric plant US$ 4 B

    Angra 3 Nuclear Plant US$ 3 B

    http://www.brasil.gov.br/pachttp://www.brasil.gov.br/pac
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    Mexico Infrastructure

    National Infrastructure Program

    Plan to improve the coverage,quality and competitiveness ofMexicos infrastructure

    2007-2012Total investment

    US$ 226 B*

    Building / modernization

    17,598 km of highways

    1,418 km of railways

    Build 3 new airports and

    expand another 31 Build 5 new ports and expand

    or modernize 22 more

    Key Facts

    * Source:www.infraestructura.gob.mx- Base scenario.

    Mexico Infrastructure

    http://www.infraestructura.gob.mx/http://www.infraestructura.gob.mx/http://www.infraestructura.gob.mx/http://www.infraestructura.gob.mx/
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    Highways Electricity

    AirportsWater and Sewer

    * Source:www.infraestructura.gob.mx.

    Mexico Examples

    http://www.infraestructura.gob.mx/http://www.infraestructura.gob.mx/http://www.infraestructura.gob.mx/http://www.infraestructura.gob.mx/
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    PANAMA CITY, Panama March 3, 2009 -On track and on time, the Panama CanalAuthority (ACP) continues to press aheadwith the start of the bid process for themost important project under its ExpansionProgram - the construction of the new set

    of locks.Today, the ACP received proposals fromthree consortia competing to design andbuild the new, modern and state-of-the-artlocks on the Pacific and Atlantic sides ofthe Panama Canal.

    The three consortia that submitted bidsincluded: Consorcio C.A.N.A.L;Consortium Bechtel, Taisei, MitsubishiCorporation and Consorcio Grupo Unidospor el Canal.

    MULTIMODAL TRANSPORTATION SYSTEM

    1

    GATUNLAKE

    GATUNLAKE

    CANAL

    RAILROAD /FIBER OPTIC

    TRANSISTHMIAN HIGHWAY

    PANAMERICAN HIGHWAY

    CENTENARY HIGHWAY

    PORTS

    AIRPORTS

    PacificPacific

    AtlanticAtlantic

    PanamaCity

    PanamaCity

    City ofColnCity ofColn

    Approx70Km(43m

    iles)

    Approx70Km(43m

    iles)

    Panama Canal Expansion

    * Source: Panama Canal Authority

    Latin America Example

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    Terex and Latin America Infrastructure

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    Other Examples: Middle East

    By Nadia Saleem, Staff Reporter, Gulfnews.com(Published: February 19, 2009, 23:10)

    Dubai: The Middle East aviation industry will see losses doublethis year, yet a combined investment of $60 billion (Dh220billion) in airport development is underway in the region, Africaand the Asian subcontinent.

    The region is undergoing unprecedented airport expansion tocope with rising passenger traffic, which increased seven per cent

    last year despite the economic downturn, after 18.1 per centgrowth in 2007, according to the Middle East Economic Digest.

    The Middle East, Africa and South Asia are all continuingsignificant airport investment.

    The UAE's heaviest investment is in the new Al MaktoumInternational at Jebel Ali.

    Worth $8 billion, it is set to become the largest airport in the world

    with an annual capacity of 120 million passengers.It is followed by $11.3 billion upgrade of King Abdul AzizInternational Airport in Saudi Arabia, as well as other airports inthe country.

    The development of Abu Dhabi International Airport comes nextat $6.8 billion followed by Qatars $5.5 billion New Doha Airport

    Dubai

    Qatar

    Abu DhabiSources: gulfnews.com, aeconline.com (Abu Dhabi photo), arinc.com (Qatar photo), daylife.com (Dubai photo)

    Aviation losses pose no threat to airport expansion

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    $2 billion coal-fired power plant in Central Java

    $700 million railway connecting Soekarno-Hatta airportto the capital JakartaThe Japan International Cooperation Agency are set to sign a dealthat would set aside $491 million in low-interest loans for the project.

    The deal represents part of JICAs 120-billion-yen commitment tofinance 85 percent of the transportation system, which the municipalgovernment hopes would help solve the capitals traffic problems.Tenders for the project may not begin until the end of 2010, withconstruction not scheduled to start until early 2011. The system itselfis expected to be operational by early 2016.

    Central Java

    Jakarta

    Bali

    $543 million deal with Korean Consortium will Double PortSize and Create 5-Star Accommodation Complex at Benoa

    To fulfill the electrical energy demand on the Java Island PLN plans to

    build, own and operate PLTU 1 Jawa Tengah 2x(300-400MW) plant tosupply electricity for industrial and public use. The plant will consist oftwo(2) units having gross output of 300-400MW each. The plant willgenerate using coal which will come from Kalimantan and Sumatra.

    The development of Benoa would provide a convenient cruise terminal witha location just minutes from Bali's international airport the Island's maintourism areas.Plans for the development of the Benoa port has reportedly commencedwith the signing of a cooperation agreement with a consortium of 6 SouthKorean companies. Under the terms of that agreement the Korean partnerswill provide US$326 million for the development of port infrastructure andanother US$217 million for the construction of 5-star accommodation and atraffic flyover.

    Other Examples: Indonesia

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    Other Examples: Angola

    Due to the extensive warfare, most of Angola'sinfrastructure has been destroyed. There are19,156 kilometers (11,903.5 miles) of pavedroads and a total of 2,952 kilometers (1,834.4

    miles) of rail tracks. Over 60% of them are notin working condition.

    There are 32 airports with paved runways and217 with unpaved runways. Angolasgovernment appears committed to addressingthis and other infrastructural issues

    Angola is one of the fastest growing

    economies in the world due to its richmineral resources and rising oil production.The governments focus is on nationalreconstruction: it has identified investmentopportunities in the development ofhydroelectric power, water distribution,sanitation and transportation which could

    improve the rural-urban divide in Angola

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    Other Examples: South Africa

    The South African Government is committed to

    make the 2010 FIFA World Cup the best World

    Cup ever. Beside commitments that where

    made to FIFA, the government is also using the

    hosting of the World Cup to contribute to the

    growth and development of the country.

    National governments $2,8-billion direct

    investment in infrastructure in the World Cup is

    part of a much larger spending programbetween 2006 and 2010. During that time,

    government will be investing more than $67

    billion in the countrys infrastructure from rail

    freight services and energy production, to

    communications, airports and ports of entry.

    The World Cup is also stimulating developmentin neighboring countries. For instance,

    Mozambique will spend $51 million on the

    rehabilitation of a railway line. Further more

    they are investing $600million in new hotels,

    casinos and other leisure facilities.

    f f

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    Terex and Rest of World Infrastructure

    K M

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    Key Messages

    Pace of economic development is directly impacted by the

    on-going financial crisis but long-term, underlying driversremain intact

    Infrastructure investment has been slowed in places but, on-balance, continues despite (if not because of) the economic

    crisis

    Infrastructure opportunities are global but, near term, will bestrongest in countries who have the fiscal capacity and thepolicy mindset to fund aggressive stimulus

    Global infrastructure is an important opportunity forcompanys like Terex who have a portfolio of capabilitiesand the ability to execute globally

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