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Mon. Not. R. Astro n. Soc. 000, 000–000 ( 0000) Printed 17 October 2015 (MN LATEX style file v2.2) Planet Hunters X. KIC 8462852 – Where’s the flux? ?† T. S. Boyaj ian1, D. M. LaCour se2, S. A. R appapo r t3, D. Fabr ycky4, D. A . Fischer 1, D. Gandol fi5,6, G. M. Kennedy7, M. C. Liu8, A. Moor9, K. Olah9, K. Vida9, M. C. Wyatt7, W. M. J. Best8, F. Ciesla10, B. Csák11, T. J. Dupuy12, G. Handler13, K. Heng14, H. Korhonen15,16, J. Kovács11, T. Kozakis17, L. Kriskovics9, J. R. Schmi tt1, Gy. Szabo 9,1 1,18, R. Szabo9, J . W ang 1,19, S. Go odm an2, A. H oekstra2, K. J. Jek2 1Department of Astronomy, Yale University, New Haven, CT 06511, USA 2Amateur Astronomer 3Depa r tment of Physics, and Kavli Institu te for Ast r ophysics and Space Research, Massachusetts Inst itut e o f Technolo gy, Cambridge, MA 02139, USA 4Depar tment of Astro nomy and Astrophysics, University of Chicag o, 5640 South Ellis A venue, Chicago, IL 60637, USA 5Landessternwarte Königstuhl, Zentrum für Astronomie der Universität Heidelberg, Königstuhl 12, D-69117 Heidelberg, Germany 6Dipartimento di Fisica, Universitá di Torino, via P. Giuria 1, I-10125, Torino, Italy 7Institute of Astronomy, Univer sity of Cambridge, Mad ingl ey Road, Cambri dge CB3 0HA, UK 8Institute for Astrono my , Universi ty of Haw aii, 2680 Woodlawn Drive, Honolulu HI 96822, USA 9Konkoly Observatory, Research Centre of Astronomy and Earth Sciences, Hungarian Academy of Sciences, H-1121 Budapest, Konkoly Th. M. út 15 –17, Hungary 10Department of the Geophysical Sciences, The University of Chicago, 5734 South Ellis A venue, C hicago , IL 60637 11ELTE Go thard Astro physical Obser vator y , H-9704 Szombathely , Szent Imr e her ceg ut 112, Hungary 12The University of Texas at Austin, Dep ar tment of Astro nomy, 2515 Speed way C1400, Austin, TX 78712, USA 13Copernicus Astronomical Center, Bartycka 18, 00-716 Warsaw, Poland 14University of Bern, Center for Space and H abitability , Sidler strasse 5, CH-301 2, Bern, Switzerl and 15Finnish Cent re for Astronomy with E SO (FIN CA), Universi ty of Tur ku, Vä isäläntie 20, FI-21 500 Piikkiö, Finland 16Centre for Star and Planet Formation, Niels Bohr Institute, University of Copenhagen, Øs ter V oldgade 5-7, DK -1350, København K, D enmark 17Carl Sagan Institute, Cor nell Univer sity, It haca, NY 14853, USA 18Gothard-Lendület Research Team, H-9704 Szombathe ly, Szen t Imre her ceg út 1 12, Hungary 19California Institute o f Technol og y , Pasadena, CA 91109, USA

Transcript of KIC 8462852, la estraña estrella

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on. Not. R. Astron. Soc. 000, 000–000 (0000)

nted 17 October 2015

N LATEX style file v2.2)

net Hunters X.

C 8462852 – Where’s the flux? ?†

S. Boyajian1, D. M. LaCourse2, S. A. Rappaport3,

Fabrycky4, D. A. Fischer1, D. Gandolfi5,6, G. M. Kennedy7, M. C. Liu8, A. Moor9, K. Olah9, da9, M. C. Wyatt7, W. M. J. Best8, F. Ciesla10, B. Csák11, T. J. Dupuy12, G. Handler13, K. HengKorhonen15,16, J. Kovács11, T. Kozakis17, L. Kriskovics9, J.

Schmitt1, Gy. Szabo9,11,18, R. Szabo9, J. Wang1,19, S. Goodman2, A. Hoekstra2, K. J.

k2

epartment of Astronomy, Yale University, New Haven, CT 06511, USA

mateur Astronomer

epartment of Physics, and Kavli Institute for Astrophysics and Space Research, Massachusettstitute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02139, USA 4Department of Astronomy and Astrophysiversity of Chicago, 5640 South Ellis Avenue, Chicago, IL 60637, USA 5Landessternwartenigstuhl, Zentrum für Astronomie der Universität Heidelberg, Königstuhl 12, D-69117 Heidel

rmany 6Dipartimento di Fisica, Universitá di Torino, via P. Giuria 1, I-10125, Torino, Italynstitute of Astronomy, University of Cambridge, Madingley Road, Cambridge CB3 0HA, UK

nstitute for Astronomy, University of Hawaii, 2680 Woodlawn Drive, Honolulu HI 96822, USAonkoly Observatory, Research Centre of Astronomy and Earth Sciences, Hungarian Academyences, H-1121 Budapest, Konkoly Th. M. út 15 –17, Hungary 10Department of the Geophysicaences, The University of Chicago, 5734 South Ellis Avenue, Chicago, IL 60637

ELTE Gothard Astrophysical Observatory, H-9704 Szombathely, Szent Imre herceg ut 112,ngary 12The University of Texas at Austin, Department of Astronomy, 2515 Speedway C1400

stin, TX 78712, USA 13Copernicus Astronomical Center, Bartycka 18, 00-716 Warsaw, Poland

University of Bern, Center for Space and Habitability, Sidlerstrasse 5, CH-3012, Bern, SwitzerFinnish Centre for Astronomy with ESO (FINCA), University of Turku, Väisäläntie 20, FI-215kkiö, Finland 16Centre for Star and Planet Formation, Niels Bohr Institute, University ofpenhagen, Øster Voldgade 5-7, DK-1350, København K, Denmark 17Carl Sagan Institute, Coriversity, Ithaca, NY 14853, USA

Gothard-Lendület Research Team, H-9704 Szombathely, Szent Imre herceg út 112, Hungary

California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA 91109, USA

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October 2015

BSTRACT

er the duration of the Kepler mission, KIC 8462852 was observed to undergo irregularly shaperiodic dips in flux down to below the 20% level. The dipping activity can last for between 5 ays. We characterize the object with high-resolution spectroscopy, spectral energy distributioning, and Fourier analyses of the Kepler light curve. We determine that arXiv:1509.03622v1 [asSR] 11 Sep 2015

C 8462852 is a main-sequence F3 V/IV star, with a rotation per iod∼ 0.88 d, that exhibits nonificant IR excess. In this paper, we describe various scenarios to explain the mysterious eventKepler light curve, most of which have problems explaining the data in hand.

considering the observational constraints on dust clumps orbiting a normal main-sequence stconclude that the scenario most consistent with the data in hand is the passage of a family of

ocomet fragments, all of which are associated with a single previous breakup event. We discuscessity of future observations to help interpret the system.

y words: stars: individual (KIC 8462852), chaos, stars: peculiar, stars: activity, comets: generanets and satellites: dynamical evolution and stability

y, and Sweden, in the Spanish Observatorio del Roque de los Muchachos

the Instituto de Astrofisica de Canarias.

Based on observations obtained with the Nordic Optical Telescope, oper-

The data presented herein were obtained at the W.M. Keck Observatory,

d on the island of La Palma jointly by Denmark, Finland, Iceland, Nor-

ich is operated as a scientific partnership among the California Institute

00 RAS

TRODUCTION

m and argue that with the data sets we have in-hand, we can

clude the presence of an additional gravitationally bound com-

r over four years, NASA’s Kepler mission measured the bright-

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nion nearby. In Section 4, we visit possible explanations for the ness of objects within a ∼ 100uare-degree patch of sky in the

culiar observations of KIC 8462852, including instrumental arti-

ection of the constellations Cygnus and Lyrae. The program’s

ts, intrinsic/extrinsic variability, and a variety of scenarios invok-

gets were primarily selected to address the Kepler mission goals

light-blocking events. In Section 5, we conclude by discussing of discovering Earth-like planbiting other stars. Kepler tar-future observations needed to constrain the nature of the object.

ed over > 150, 000 stars, primarily with a 30-minute observing

dence, leading to over 2.5-billion data points per year (> 10 bil-

n data points over the nominal mission lifetime).

e Kepler mission’s data processing and identification of

ATA

nsiting planet candidates was done in an automated manner

C 8462852, also known as TYC 3162-665-1 and 2MASS

ough sophisticated computer algorithms (e.g., Jenkins et al.

0061546+4427248, is a V ∼ 12 mag star in the Kepler field

10). Complementary to this analysis, the Zooniverse citizen sci-of view. As mentioned above ivious section, it was identi-

ce network provided the means to crowd source the review of

d serendipitously by the Planet Hunters project, and was deemed

ht curves with the Planet Hunters project1 (e.g., Fischer et al.

interesting object that was worthy of further investigation. In the

12). In this framework, Planet Hunter volunteers view 30 day following sections, we charactersystem with data from Ke-segments of light curves in the ‘Classify’ web interface. A vol-

r as well as additional data from various targeted and archived

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teer’s main task is to identify signals of transiting planets by

ograms.

rnessing the human eye’s unique ability for pattern recognition.

is process has shown to have a detection efficiency to identify

netary transits > 85% using the first Quarter of Kepler data

pler photometry

chwamb et al. 2012). The Planet Hunters project has now discov-KIC 8462852 was observedoughout the main Kepler mission

d almost a hundred exoplanet candidates, including several con-

uarters 0 – 17) under long-cadence (30-minute) observations

med systems (Fischer et al. 2012; Lintott et al. 2013; Schwamb

lding an ultra-precise light curve spanning a time baseline

al. 2013; Wang et al. 2013; Schmitt et al. 2014).

four years. In this work, our analysis uses the normalized,

cause Planet Hunter volunteers look at every light curve by

CSAP FLUX data. Note that we have thoroughly validated the

e, serendipitous discoveries are inevitable, especially in rich data

a to ensure that any flux variations represent physical events in

s such as that which Kepler has provided. As such, a key aspect

near the star (and they do); these processes are described in detail

the Planet Hunters project is the ‘Talk’ interface. ‘Talk’ is a back-

thin Section 4.1, and we do not repeat them here.

d site where volunteers can discuss light curves and present fur-

Figure 1, we present a montage of plots capturing much the ther analysis on objects viewed in

in ‘Classify’ interface. In

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eresting flux variations observed in the Kepler timeseries data.

andful of cases, such as the discovery of the unusual cataclysmic

e top two panels, ‘(a)’ and ‘(b)’, show the flux time series for the

iable, KIC 9406652 (Gies et al. 2013), the default aperture mask entire Kepler mission, but wiferent vertical flux scales. These

ed to generate the Kepler light curve was not perfectly centered

ow that the flux is relatively constant for most of that time, but is

the object of interest. Because of this, interesting events in the

nctuated by a number of substantial dips in flux, including a 15%

pler light curve would appear to come and go as a result of the

op near day 800, and a whole sequence of dips (with one reach-

fting orientation of the aperture mask when the spacecraft un-

a depth of 22%) after day 1500. For convenience, we hereafter

rwent a quarterly rotation. Events such as these are tagged and

er to the two main dip structures between day 788 and 795 and

cussed on ‘Talk’, making it possible to return to the raw data tar-

ween day 1510 and 1570, as events ‘D800’ and ‘D1500’, re-

pixel files (TPF) to extract improved light curves with modified

ectively. There are also other smaller dips, including two earlier

erture masks, for example.

the mission (around day 140 and day 260). Panel ‘(c)’ is a zoom

is paper presents the discovery of a mysterious dipping

on the dip D800. The remaining three panels are progressively

urce, KIC 8462852, from the Planet Hunters project. In just the

omed in around the exotic complex of dips at D1500. Virtually

st quarter of Kepler data, Planet Hunter volunteers identified

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of the fluctuations in intensity visible on these plots are r eal, i.e.,

C 8462852’s light curve as a “bizarre”, “interesting”, “giant tran-

t due to statistical or instrumental variations (Section 4.1).

” (Q1 event depth was 0.5% with a duration of 4 days). As new

ere are modulations in the raw flux data at the ∼ 200 ppm

pler data were released in subsequent quarters, discussions con-

el which are visible by eye. To further explore whether any of

ued on ‘Talk’ about KIC 8462852’s light curve peculiarities, par-

se modulations are periodic, or have a periodic component, we

ularly ramping up pace in the final observations quarters of the

nerated a Fourier transform (FT) of the data with the dips excised

pler mission.

m the data train. Figure 2 shows the FT of the Kepler photometry In this work we examine theears of Kepler observa-and one can see a clear periodicity of 0.88 day (1.14 cycles/day) and

ns of KIC 8462852 as well as supplemental information pro-

next two higher harmonics.

ded by additional ground- and space-based observations. In Sec-

is 0.88-day signal is a broad feature that resembles typical

n 2, we characterize KIC 8462852 using Kepler photometry, FTs of Kepler targets for early tyrs (Balona 2013, see their spectroscopic analysis, AO imaging, and spectral energy distribu-fiIf this is a rotation period, then the projected rotational

n analysis. We discover a wide M-dwarf companion to the sys-

ocity (from Section 2.2) of 84±4 km s−1 represents a minimum stellar radius of ∼ 1.46 R,nsistent with the radius of an F-type

Technology, the University of California, and the National Aeronautics

r (also see Section 2.2). Also seen in Figure 2 just to the left and Space Administration. Theservatory was made possible by the gen-of the base frequency is a broad collection of smaller

aks. This

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ous financial support of the W.M. Keck Foundation.

ggests that something more complicated than a single rotating

www.planethunters.org

face inhomogeneity is producing the observed signal.

00 RAS, MNRAS 000, 000–000

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gure 1. Montage of flux time series for KIC 8462852 showing different portions of the 4-yearpler observations with different vertical scalings. The top two panels show the entire Keplerservation time interval. The starting time of each Kepler quarter is marked and labeled with a rrtical line in the top panel ‘(a)’. Panel ‘(c)’ is a blowup of the dip near day 793, (D800). Themaining three panels, ‘(d)’, ‘(e)’, and ‘(f)’, explore the dips which occur during the 90-day intem day 1490 to day 1580 (D1500). Refer to Section 2.1 for details. See Section 2.1 for details.

00 RAS, MNRAS 000, 000–000

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equency (cycles/day)

0.0

0.0

0.0

00.0

pler time (days)

gure 2. Fourier transform for KIC 8462852. The peaks are labeled with

harmonic numbers starting with 1 for the base frequency. Refer to Sec-

gure 3. The STFT for the Kepler flux time series. The main base period of

n 2.1 for details.

0.88 days is present throughout the span of observations. We identify (at

st) two additional frequencies appearing around day 400 and 1400, cor-

ponding to periods of 0.96 to 0.90 days, which we attribute to differential

investigate the stability of the frequencies observed in the

ation. Refer to Section 2.1 for details.

by performing a Short-Term Fourier Transform (STFT), again

pping the data in the dipping r egions. In the STFT method, the

a are broken up into “short” segments of ∼ 20 d, the FT is com-

ectroscopy

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ted and displayed vertically on the plot, and this is repeated as a

nction of time, with overlap in time segments to gain back some

e obtained two high resolution (R

000) spectra of

mporal resolution.

C 8462852 with the FIES spectrograph (Frandsen & Lindberg

e STFT is presented in Figure 3. This shows that the

99; Telting et al. 2014) mounted at the 2.56-m Nordic Optical 0.88 day signal is present in mosKepler time series, with

lescope (NOT) of Roque de los Muchachos Observatory in La

strongest presence occurring around day 1200. Interestingly

ma, Spain. The observations were performed on 11 August and

wever, around day 400 and day 1400, we see major contribu-

November 2014. The data were reduced using standard proce-

ns at different frequencies, corresponding to ∼ 0.96 days and

res, which include bias subtraction, flat fielding, order tracing

0.90 days, respectively. We conclude that these are the source of

d extraction, and wavelength calibration. The extracted spectra

broad collection of peaks to the left of the base frequency noted

ve a S/N ratio of 45–55 per pixel at 5500 ˚

ove. These low-frequency side-bands could possibly be due to

llowing the same spectral analysis procedure described in

gions contrasted in flux (e.g., starspots, chemically peculiar re-

ppaport et al. (2015), we used the co-added FIES spectrum gions) appearing at higher latitudes

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upled with differential ro-to determine the stellar effective temperature Teff , surface grav-

on. This is consistent with the differential rotation (or inferred

log g, projected rotational velocity v sin i, metal abundance

ctional frequency difference of ∼ 10%) for F-type stars (Rein-

/H], and spectral type of KIC 8462852 (Table 2). The plots in

d et al. 2013). We would like to note however, that we can-Figure 5 show select regions of theserved spectrum (black) not completely discount the possibility that these periods are due

ng with the best fit model (red). The temperature we derive

pulsations. The position of KIC 8462852 is within the Gamma

eff = 6750 ± 140 K) is consistent with the photometric esti-

radus (γ Dor) region of the instability strip, where pulsations

te of Teff = 6584+178

from the revised Kepler Input Catalog

9

observed at < 5 cycles d−1 (e.g., Uytterhoeven et al. 2011).

operties (Huber et al. 2014), as well as with Teff = 6780 K de-Our interpretation of starspots recomparing the STFT of

ed from the empirical (V − K) color-temperature relation from

C 8462852 to the STFT of known γ Dor pulsators: we find that

yajian et al. (2013). The projected rotational velocity we mea-the dominant frequencies for γ Drs do not evolve with time in

e v sin i = 84 ± 4 km s−1 is also well in line with the one

STFT.

dicted from rotation in Section 2.1, if the 0.88 d signal is in We also report on the presence ofssible 10 – 20 day pe-fact the rotation period. Overall, the star’s spectrum is unremark-

d (Figure 2), which, when present, is visible by eye in the light able, as it looks like an ordinarly F-star with no signs of any

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rve2. We illustrate this in Figure 4, showing zoomed in regions emission lines or P-Cygni pronally, we use the stellar prop-of the Kepler light curve. The star’s 0.88 d period is evident in

ies derived from our spectroscopic analysis to estimate a stellar

ch section as the high-frequency flux variations. The panel sec-

ss M = 1.43 M, luminosity log L = 0.67 L, and radius

d from the bottom ‘(c)’) shows no low-frequency (10 – 20 day)

= 1.58 R, corresponding to a main-sequence F3 V star (Pecaut

riations, but the rest do. We have no current hypothesis to explain

Mamajek 2013)3. Combining the this radius, the projected rota-this signal.

ttp://www.pas.rochester.edu/˜emamajek/EEM_ 

Also present in the raw SAP data.

arf_UBVIJHK_colors_Teff.txt

00 RAS, MNRAS 000, 000–000

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45

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gure 4. Stacked plots showing a zoomed-in portion of the Kepler light

rve. The star’s rotation period of 0.88 d is seen in each panel as the high-

quency modulation in flux. With the exception of panel ‘c)’, a longer

m (10 –20 day) brightness variation is observed, also present in the FT

own in Figure 2. Refer to Section 2.1 for details.

gure 5. NOT spectrum closeups for KIC 8462852, the best fit stellar

del shown in red. Panels show region near H α, H β, Mg, and Na D (top

bottom). The bottom panel shows both the stellar (broad) and interstellar

nal velocity, and rotation period (Section 2.1), we determine a (narrow) counterparts of the Naes. Refer to Section 2.2 for details.

llar rotation axis inclination of 68 degrees.

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hile interstellar medium features are not typically related

indicators of astrophysically interesting happenings in stars, we

e observed KIC 8462852 on 2014 Oct 16 UT using the nat-

te the presence of stellar and interstellar Na D lines in our spec-

al guide star adaptive optics (AO) system (Wizinowich et al.

In the bottom panel of Figure 5, we show a close up of the

00) of the 10-meter Keck II Telescope on Mauna Kea, Hawaii.

ion containing the Na D lines (λλ5890, 5896 ˚

Within the two

e used the facility IR camera NIRC2 and the J (1.25 µm), H

oad stellar features, there are two very deep and narrow Na D

64 µm), and K (2.20 µm) filters from the Mauna Kea Observato-

es with split line profiles, indicating the presence of two discrete

s (MKO) filter consortium (Simons & Tokunaga 2002; Tokunaga

M clouds with different velocities of ∼ 20 km s−1.

al. 2002). We used NIRC2’s narrow camera, which produces a 0.0099400 pixel−1 scale and a 1ld of view. Conditions were

udy with variable seeing, around 100 FWHM. KIC 8462852 was

served over an airmass range of 1.26–1.28.

aging

e AO-corrected images have full widths at half maxima

gure 6 shows the UKIRT image of KIC 8462852 as well as a simi-

WHMs) of 39 mas, 43 mas, and 51 mas at J HK, respectively,

ly bright source ∼ 4000 away. The PSF of KIC 8462852 is asym-

th RMS variations of about 1–3%. We obtained a series of nine

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tric by comparison, leading us to speculate that KIC 8462852

ages in each filter. The total on-source integration time was

s a faint companion star about 1.5 − 200 away.

seconds per filter. The images were reduced in a standard fash-

00 RAS, MNRAS 000, 000–000

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n using custom scripts written in the Interactive Data Language

DL). We constructed flat fields from the differences of images

the telescope dome interior with and without lamp illumination.

subtracted an average bias from the images and divided by the

t-field. Then we created a master sky frame from the median

erage of the bias-subtracted, flat-fielded images and subtracted it

m the individual reduced images. The individual reduced images

re registered and stacked to form a final mosaic (Figure 7).

suspected from the asymmetric UKIRT image, the Keck

O images reveal an obvious faint companion at a separation of

500 and position angle of 96.6◦. To measure the flux ratios

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d relative positions of the two components, we used an analytic

del of the point spread function (PSF) as the sum of two ellip-

al Gaussian components, a narrow component for the PSF core

d a broad component for the PSF halo, as we have done for other

naries (Liu et al. 2008). For the individual images obtained with each filter, we fitted for the flu

io, separation, and position an-Figure 6. UKIRT image for KIC 8462852 and another bright stm-

of the binary. To correct for optical distortions in NIRC2, we

rison, showing that it has a distinct protrusion to the left (east). For ref-

ed the calibration of Yelda et al. (2010). The system is so well erence, the gr id lines in the imag00 × 1000. Refer to Section 2.3 for details.

olved that simple aperture photometry would be sufficient. The

erages of the results were adopted as the final measurements and

standard deviations as the errors (Table 2).

s unclear whether this is a physical or visual binary, though

ven the delta magnitude and separation, the chance alignment of

companion being a background or foreground object is only

1% (Rappaport et al. 2014). At∼ 2% of the flux of the brighter star, this would be a ∼ 0.4 M Mr, if it is indeed at the

me distance as our target F star (Kraus & Hillenbrand 2007). The J HK colors are also consisteth the companion being a dwarf,

t a giant (Bessell & Brett 1988). If we take the magnitude of KIC 8462852 as V = 11.705, and th

solute visual magnitude

an F3V star to be V = 3.08 (Pecaut & Mamajek 2013), then the (reddened) distance modulus is25. We derive a de-reddened

tance of∼ 454 pc using E(B − V ) = 0.11 (Section 2.4; corresponding to a V -band extinction o.341). Assuming the

nter star is associated with the main F-star target, and the two

rs that are separated by∼ 1.9500, they are∼ 885 AU apart.

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gure 7. Keck AO H-band image for KIC 8462852 showing the com-

this separation, the second star cannot currently be physically

nion was detected with a 200 separation and a magnitude difference

ecting the behavior of the Kepler target star, though could be af-

H = 3.8. Refer to Section 2.3 for details.

ting bodies in orbit around it via long term perturbations. If such

tar is unbound from KIC 8462852, but traveling through the sys-

m perpendicular to our line of sight, it would take only 400 years

pectively, and only the amplitude of the model and the redden-

double its separation if traveling at 10 km sec−1. So, the passage

were fitted. The best fitted photospheric model is displayed in

uld be relatively short-lived in astronomical terms.

gure 8. We derive a reddening of 0.11 ± 0.03 mags. By com-

ring the measured W 2 and W 3 WISE flux densities at 4.6 and

6 µm (at 22 µm we have only an upper limit) with the predicted

ectral energy distribution

xes derived from the photosphere model we found them to be

e spectral energy distribution (SED) of KIC 8462852 including

nsistent, i.e. no excess emission can be detected at mid-infrared

ical, 2MASS (Skrutskie et al. 2006), (ALL)WISE (Wright et al.

velengths.

10), and Galex NUV (Morrissey et al. 2007) flux densities is However, this does not exclude thstence of a colder de-shown in Figure 8. Optical photometry in BV (RI)C filters was bris diskrmer, but relatively tenuous disk. Assuming that

tained by the 90 cm Schmidt telescope of the Konkoly Obser-

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emitting grains act like a blackbody, we can derive their charac-

ory at Piszkéstet˝o Mountain Station. For standard magnitudes

istic temperature at a specific stellar-centric distance. Using this

D391 ABCE photometric standard stars were used as comparison

proach, we compute the SED of a narrow dust belt located at a

andolt 2013). Photometric magnitudes are listed in Table 2.

tance of 1, 2, 3, 5, and 10 AU from a star with a luminosity of

order to study whether the system exhibits excess at mid-

L, corresponding to the main-sequence stage (Pecaut & Ma-

rared wavelengths, first we fitted an ATLAS9 atmosphere model

jek 2013). The W 3 and W 4 band photometry were then used

astelli & Kurucz 2004) to the photometric data points between as upper limits to set the amplituthe excess. Figure 8 shows 0.15 and 3.6µm. From the grid of model atmospheres we selected

result of these computations and summarizes the fundamental

one that has the closest metallicity, surface gravity, and effective

k properties (dust temperature, upper limits for fractional lumi-

mperature to those derived from our spectroscopic study. Thus

sity) of the dust belts at different radii. It is worth noting that

fixed Teff , log g, and [Fe/H] parameters to 6750 K, 4.0, and 0.0,

s very simple model accounts only for large blackbody grains,

00 RAS, MNRAS 000, 000–000

C 8462852 – Where’s the flux?

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ble 1. FIES RVs of KIC 8462852

DTDB

V

2 450 000)

m/s]

m/s]

-2

81.51756

60

05

] ν

66.36272

65

46

ectra were both taken at either superior or inferior conjunction of

-3

orbit. However, for close orbits where mass transfer might be a

tor, orbital periods of . a few days and orbital speeds of more

0

n a hundred km s−1 would be expected. Quantitatively, in terms

avelength [µm]

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the mass of a possible companion, the absence of a RV shift im-

es any companion with mass > 8 MJ on a 4 d orbital period

gure 8. SED for KIC 8462852. The Black solid line is a model for a star

uld have been detected, for example. In turn, the orbital phasing

h Teff = 6750 K and E(B − V ) = 0.11. Flux calibrated photometry

the two measurements would have to be phased non-fortuitously

plotted in red, where the extent of the “error-bars” in the X-direction

within small tolerances in order for us not to have observed any

dicate the wavelength range of each bandpass and the Y-direction shows

ange in the RV at the level of a few hundred m s−1.

error of the flux measurement. Refer to Section 2.4 for details.

other diagnostic to constrain the nature of the companion

es the FT in Figure 2, which shows no sharp, narrow peaks with-smaller (micrometer sized) gineffective emitters and may

t harmonics (Section 2.1). With this information, a very basic be heated to higher temperaturesmpared to larger grains at the

mit can be set on a companion from the lack of observed ellip-

me location. We revisit this analysis in more detail later in Sec-

dal light variations (ELVs). The ELV amplitude AELV is ex-

n 4.4.1 (also see Figure 10).

ssed as:

ound-based photometric surveys

LV∼ 1.5(Mc/M∗)(R∗/a)3 sin2 i

e reviewed the∼

 700 photometric intensities from the years

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g., Kopal 1959; Carter et al. 2011) where M∗ and R∗ are the 1900 – 2000 from the Digital Acca Sky Century Harvard

ss and radius of the primary, a and i are the semimajor axis and

ASCH) project4 (Grindlay et al. 2012). The error bars on the orbital inclination, and Mc is thea putative companion.

otometry are about∼ 10%. At this level, we found the star did

arranging to express a as the orbital period P using Kepler ’s

t do anything spectacular over the past 100 years. However, if it

rd law, this equation simplifies to:

derwent several ∼ 20% dips in flux lasting for several days each

LV∼ 3.3 × 10−5(Mc/MJ)(1d/P )2 sin2 i

ring that period, the chances are high that there were no plates

posed at those times.

ere now the companion mass Mc is expressed in Jupiter masses

perWASP data (Butters et al. 2010) are unremarkable for MJ and the orbital period P is in daysVs were present,

C 8462852. We note that there is a 0.2 magnitude offset between

would have seen a peak > 30 ppm for periods shorter than 4

available SuperWASP data sets. However, we see the same off-

ys (∼ 0.25 cycles day−1) in the FT (Figure 2). Thus, this im-set when comparing its photometr

th a similarly bright source

es companion masses Mc . 50 MJ for a 4 d orbital period and

arby KIC 8462852. Thus, we reject this being real (e.g., due to a

c . 0.25 MJ for a 0.25 d orbital period, for inclination angles

r ing event, etc.).

& 30◦.

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fortunately, KIC 8462852 falls outside the area covered by

KELT network (T. Beatty, private communication).

ace motion and age

ing our distance estimate of 454 pc (Section 2.3), the radial ve-2.6

mits on a companion

ity obtained from the FIES spectrum (Section 2.6), and proper We use two FIES spectra (Secti) to measure the presence motions and positions from the UCAC4 catalogue we computed

any Doppler shifts induced by a companion. We traced the ra-

Galactic space motion of the target, yielding +31.5, −2.5, and

l velocity (RV) drift of the instrument by taking long-exposed

0.2 km s−1 for the U (defined as positive toward the Galac-

Ar spectra in a bracketed sequence, i.e., right before and after

center), V, and W velocity components, respectively. Young

ch target observation. RV measurements were derived by cross-

k population stars have low velocity dispersion and they occupy

rrelating the target spectra with a spectrum of Vega, observed

pecial region within the velocity space. Based on the studies

h the same instrument set-up as was used for KIC 8462852. The

Eggen (1989), Leggett (1992) defined a box by −50 < U < RV measurements are listed in Tablng with the error bars

0 km s−1, −30 < V < 0 km s−1, and −25 < W < 10 km s−1,

d the barycentric Julian dates in barycentric dynamical time. The

ich includes most of the young disk stars in our neighborhood.

o NOT spectra separated by 85 days show no detectable RV vari-

e large velocity deviation and especially the U component which

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on at a level of a few hundreds m s−1. Because there were only

s outside of this box imply that our target may not belong to the

o measurements, we cannot rule out the possibility that the two

ung disk population.

king

s

tance

imate,

umed

t

C 8462852 is a main-sequence star (Section 2.3). We note 4 http://dasch.rc.fas.harvard.edu/index

t assuming a pre-main or post-main sequence phase does not

00 RAS, MNRAS 000, 000–000

ble 2. Properties of KIC 8462852

isfied that there are at most a few similar systems to be found in

main Kepler field.

operty

lue

ethod/Reference

A (deg)

1.564392

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C

EC (deg)

456875

C

SSIBLE EXPLANATIONS OF THE OBSERVED

mag)

912

C

mag)

262 ± 0.008

cm Schmidt (§ 2.4)

PPING EVENTS OBSERVED IN KIC 8462852

mag)

705 ± 0.017

cm Schmidt (§ 2.4)

e main issue in explaining the peculiar light curve for

C (mag)

356 ± 0.024

cm Schmidt (§ 2.4)

C 8462852 is related to the presence of multiple dimming events,

mag)

051 ± 0.098

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cm Schmidt (§ 2.4)

mag)

763 ± 0.021

MASS

t are not periodic and of which the D1500 event is the deepest

mag)

551 ± 0.019

MASS

d most complex. Here, we introduce several scenarios to explain

mag)

499 ± 0.020

MASS

C 8462852 and discuss how the observational data do and do not

1 (mag)

425 ± 0.023

LL)WISE

pport each theory.

2 (mag)

436 ± 0.020

LL)WISE

3 (mag)

591 ± 0.123

LL)WISE

4 (mag)

23a

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LL)WISE

trumental effects or data reduction artifacts?

tational period (d)

797 ± 0.0001

(§ 2.1)

ectral type

IV/V

ectroscopy (§ 2.2)

e Kepler light curve for KIC 8462852 is unique, and we have

roughly explored the raw data for defects/instrumental effects,

(K)

50 ± 120

ectroscopy (§ 2.2)

g g (cgs)

± 0.2

ectroscopy (§ 2.2)

ich could cause the observed variations in KIC 8462852’s flux.

/H] (dex)

0 ± 0.10

ectroscopy (§ 2.2)

use the PYKE software tools for Kepler data analysis to check

in i (km s−1)

± 4

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ectroscopy (§ 2.2)

data for instrumental effects. We check the following possibili-

(mag)

09 ± 0.044

ck AO (§ 2.3)

s:

H (mag)

40 ± 0.017

ck AO (§ 2.3)

K (mag)

19 ± 0.012

ck AO (§ 2.3)

We checked that the same flux variations, i.e., the ‘dips’, are

tance (pc)

4

stance modulus (§ 2.3)

esent in the SAP FLUX data set.

B − V ) (mag)

1 ± 0.03

D (§ 2.4)

We verified that data gaps and cosmic rays events5 do not co-incide with the dipping events, as prone to produce glitches

the corrected fluxes.

per limit.

We verified at the pixel-level that there are no signs of peculiar

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otometric masks used in making the light curves.

ange our previous conclusion. These evolutionary stages would

We verified at the pixel level that the image light centroid does

accompanied by larger luminosities and thereby larger dis-

t shift during the ‘dipping’ events

ces. This would result in a galactic space motion that deviates

We inspected light curves of neighboring sources and find that

en more significantly from that of typical young disk stars.

y do not show similar variability patterns in their light curves.

for tunately, our star falls outside the region where empirically

We determined that CCD cross talk and reflection cannot be

ibrated age diagnostics such as chromospheric activity or stellar

cause (Coughlin et al. 2014).

ation period can be used (e.g., Mamajek & Hillenbrand 2008).

We verified with the Kepler team mission scientists that the

a were of good quality.

is analysis concludes that instrumental effects or artifacts in

data reduction are not the cause of the observed dipping events,

MILAR DIPPERS IN THE Kepler FIELD?

d thus the nature of KIC 8462852’s light curve is astrophysical

e anomalous dips in KIC 8462852 were serendipitously found

origin.

the Planet Hunter citizen science group. Due to its aperiodic

ure, it likely never would have been flagged/recovered by most

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arches for transits, eclipsing binaries, or asteroseismologically in-

rinsic variability?

esting stars. However, knowing the existence of KIC 8462852’s

example of a class of stars which display intrinsic variability

ht curve, we naturally wondered if there are, in fact, numerous

the UX Orionis objects. These are (mostly) intermediate mass

her such objects in the main-field Kepler data base. We therefore

MS stars whose V -band light curves are characterized by sporadic

plied a simple algor ithm to search the data base for other systems

otometric minima with amplitudes of 2 – 3 magnitudes and with

milar to KIC 8462852. The algorithm consisted of searching for

rations of days to many weeks. These objects generally exhibit

s with depths of greater than 10% (i.e., normalized fluxes of

ong infrared excess, starting at∼ 2 − 5 µm. Their spectra also

0.9) that consist of 5 or more consecutive Kepler long-cadence

ve emission lines, a signature of accretion. Our object does not

mples (i.e, lasting more than ∼ 2.5 hours). In all, this search

ow such characteristics in its SED (§ 2.4) or spectra (§ 2.2) and turned up more than a thousandgets with this signature. The

ikely be older than 20 Myr, thereby excluding the UX Orionis

st majority of them, however, were due to (1) eclipsing binaries,

nario as a plausible explanation.

the rotation signature of large amplitude starspots, and (3) some

e R Coronae Borealis (RCB) type variables are highly

vious Kepler data artifacts. We carefully examined the remain-

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olved F–G supergiants (e.g., Clayton 1996). Their light curves ing small number of systems byt could identify none that

ow pulsations (on the order of months) and irregular deep dips

s reminiscent of KIC 8462852. We also lowered the threshold for

sting weeks to months). Their “dipping” variability is associated

s to 5%, but the search likewise turned up no candidates that one

uld believe closely resemble KIC 8462852. Of course, some of

visual comparison work is necessarily qualitative, but we were

The times of these events are recorded in the headers of the fits files

00 RAS, MNRAS 000, 000–000

C 8462852 – Where’s the flux?

th formation of clouds that obscure the photosphere, and is often

ung stars, however in contrast to UX Orionis, AA Tau-like, and

served as a sharp decrease in flux followed by a more gradual,

pper” systems (Herbst et al. 1994; Herbst & Shevchenko 1999;

d sometimes staggered, recovery. In the case of KIC 8462852 the

orales et al. 2009; Cody et al. 2014, Ansdell et al., submitted), time scales of the dips are differen those of a RCB variable.

C 8462852 has no detectable IR excess or accretion signature to

kewise, the ingress at D800 has a gradual decrease in flux, which

ggest that it is a young T Tauri star (Sections 2.2, 2.4). Thus a sce-is inverse to what is expectedCB, and the dip shapes at D1500

rio in which material in a gas-dominated protoplanetary disk oc-

also non-characteristic of a RCB. Lastly, the spectroscopic log g

ts the star due either to accretion columns or non-axisymmetric

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d v sin i are far from those of a supergiant. These items together

muthal or vertical structure in the inner disk (e.g. Herbst et al.

ongly rule out the possibility of KIC 8462852 being a RCB vari-

94; Herbst & Shevchenko 1999; Bouvier et al. 1999; McGinnis

e.

al. 2015) is disfavoured. In addition, in contrast to the relatively Another possibility is the self-ission of disk material from

quent detection of UX Orionis and AA Tau-like systems (e.g. in

star itself, as in the case of Be-stars. Be stars are rapidly rotating

GC 2264, Cody et al. 2014) the events seen towards KIC 8462852

most near breakup) stars that are usually of spectral class O and

rare, as similar variation was not seen for the other ∼150,000

but sometimes A, and exhibit irregular episodic outbursts. Usu-

arf stars monitored by Kepler (Section 3). This would not be a ally these outbursts are in emist in some cases it can also

oblem if KIC 8462852 were an isolated young star, but there is

ult in dimming (see Hubert & Floquet 1998). Be stars also often no evidence for that (Section therefore consider scenarios exhibit quasi-periodic oscillations in the range of ∼ 0.5 − 1.5 da

t could arise around a main-sequence or weak-line T Tauri star

is also fits the bill for what we see in the FT of KIC 8462852

t has dispersed its protoplanetary disk, but still hosts a gas-poor

2.1). It has been hypothesized (e.g., Rappapor t & van den Heuvel

netary system that may include planets, asteroids, and comets.

82) that most, if not all, Be stars have a binary companion which The “clumps” of dust passingnt of the star could perhaps

ginally transferred mass to the current Be star to spin it up to

within an optically thin asteroid belt analogue that is otherwise

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ar breakup (the remnant of that star is sometimes found to be a

detected, or be more isolated objects such as remnants of a bro-

utron star). The periods of these binaries range from a couple of

n up comet. Before considering such scenarios in more detail,

eks to thousands of days (perhaps longer). If KIC 8462852 is a

start with some scenario-independent constraints that can be

star, we would get an unprecedented look into the inner disk

aned from the observations.

havior, and that in fact might explain the broad peak in the FT at

quencies just below the 0.88 d periodicity. This could be ejected

terial in a so-called “excretion disk” that is moving outward but

.1

enario-independent constraints

th roughly Keplerian velocity.

e lack of observed IR excess does not support the existence

understand what could be the origin of the clumps it would help

an excretion disk. There is also an absence of Hα emission in

know where they located in the system, how big they are, and

star ’s spectrum, however, as noted above, Be star Hα emis-

w long they last. To aid with this discussion, Figure 9 shows sion is known to be variable and tand on with timescales

me scenario-independent constraints on the size and orbital dis-

m days to years. However, the temperature of KIC 8462852,

ce of the clumps that are discussed further below. The only as-

mption for now is that the clumps are on circular orbits, but this

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= 6750 K, is too cool to be a Be star. It is also unlikely to

ve been spun-up by a close donor star because an RV shift is ab-

umption is relaxed later in Section 4.4.5.

nt between our two spectra. This likely rules out most remnant

p duration: The timescale tdip for the transit of a clump of

rs of a progenitor donor, but not necessarily a progenitor in a

dius s with transverse velocity vt across the equator of a star with

ry wide orbit where mass transfer occurred while the compan-

dius R∗ is tdip = 2 (s + R∗) /vt. If the clump is on a circular

progenitor was a giant. It is also worth noting that the imaged

bit around a star of mass M∗ with semi-major axis a, and is much

mpanion star (Section 2.3) could not have done these things.

s massive than the star, then

1/2

1.85 tdip

R∗,

trinsic variability?

a is in units of AU, M

e consider that KIC 8462852’s flux is contaminated by the nearby

n M, s and R∗ in R, tdip in days.

us, the several-day duration of the events for KIC 8462852 sug-

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served (panel ‘c’ in Figure 1), so this can be regarded as a strong plain the observations isysically plausible. Inhomogeneous dust

wer limit. While there appear to be a range of event durations, the

tributions have been invoked to explain dips seen towards some

ration of the deepest events is at most about 3 days. The middle

00 RAS, MNRAS 000, 000–000

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ackbody temperature (K)

00

0

0

-1

µ

-2

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SE 4.6

-3

SE 22

SE 12

cular orbit

-4

actional luminosity

-5

D upper limits

ght curve estimate

-6

0

0.0

ackbody radius (AU)

gure 10. Fractional luminosity limits (blue lines) and an estimate of the

gure 9. Size vs. semi-major axis parameter space for spherical dust

tem dust content from the light curve (green line). The dust level is con-

mps on circular orbits around a star of M∗ = 1.43 M and R∗ =

ained to lie below the blue line by the WISE photometry (4.6 µm, 12 µm,

8 R. Solid lines are of equal dip duration (as labelled). Dotted lines

d 22 µm). The green line integrates the optical depth in the light curve

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n-periodicity: The lack of evidence for periodicity in the

s in the observed light-curve excludes orbital periods shorter

gure 11. Inverted light curve for KIC 8462852 portraying the blocking

n∼ 1500 days, which thus constrains the location to lie beyond

tors needed to reproduce the light curve as a function of time. Refer to

ction 4.4.1 for details.

out 3 AU. This constraint could be broken if the clumps disperse

thin a single orbit.

avitational binding: To address the survival of the clumps,

note that in any scenario where the clumps are not self-

explain the clumps as dust bound to planetesimals larger than

avitating, they cannot be long-lived in the face of orbital shear

ound 1000 km, which means such planetesimals are not neces-

g. Kenyon & Bromley 2005) and their internal velocity disper-sarily large enough for direct trection (the lack of which

n (e.g. Jackson & Wyatt 2012). Figure 9 therefore shows plan-could provide another constrain

simal sizes required to retain dust clouds within their Hill sphere,

rared excess: Another constraint on the or igin of the

Hill = a(Mpl/[3M∗])1/3, as one way of ensuring long-lived

mps comes from the lack of infrared emission (Section 2.4).

mps.

suming the clumps are larger than the star, the Kepler light

us, under the assumption of circular orbits, the depth, dura-

rve provides blocking factors needed as a function of time,

n and lack of periodicity of the dimming events constrains their

normalized flux), where ln(normalised flux) ≈ τ for small

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ation to a region roughly cor responding to that occupied by the

as shown in Figure 11. This optical depth and the velocity es-giant planets in the Solar Systemump sizes would thus be com-

mate allows conversion to optical depth as a function of distance

rable to, but larger than, the star, and they would have to have

ng the clump. The dimming events therefore allow an estimate

h, but not necessarily unity optical depth. It might be possible

the total surface area σtot of dust in orbit around the star. That

00 RAS, MNRAS 000, 000–000

C 8462852 – Where’s the flux?

a detectable level, even before counting dust produced in non-

forming events. Moreover we should see dips from the clumps

t = vth

)dt,

the middle of being dispersed (i.e., dips with longer duration

eit lower optical depth), as well as dips with a continuum of

ere the light-curve finds R τ (t)dt ≈ 0.86 days, vt is the veloc-

pths and durations from the many different scales of planetesi-

of the clumps (assumed to be uniform at circular velocity for

l impacts that would occur. The clustering of dips at D1500 also

iven semi-major axis), and h the “height” of the clumps (i.e.

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nts to these events being correlated which is hard to reconcile

ir size along the dimension perpendicular to their velocity). The

th this scenario, though the planetesimals in the belts could be

ght of the clumps is assumed to be 2 R∗, though could be higher

epherded by planets into confined azimuthal regions (e.g., Wyatt

not all of the clump crosses the stellar disk (e.g., this could be as-

03; Nesvorn´y et al. 2013).

med to be πs/2 for large spherical clumps passing directly across

star). This surface area can then be converted to fractional lu-

nosity at a given distance from the star using f = σ

.3

termath of giant impact in planetary system

/(4πa2).

e blue lines in Figure 10 show the limits on the dust frac-A possible way around the issues inction 4.4.2 is to invoke dust tional luminosity f = Ldust/L∗ derived from the SED (Sec-throwna single collision, perhaps analogous to the Earth-

n 2.4). These can be thought of as the maximum luminosity of Moon system forming eventckson & Wyatt 2012). In this case blackbodies at a range of dust temperatures (or stellocentric

dii)

re need not be an underlying asteroid belt, as the collision could

t fit under the WISE photometry. The dust estimate from equa-

between planets whose orbits recently became unstable, or be-

n (4) is shown as a green line, and the fact that it lies below the tween growing planetary embrch events are expected to re-blue line at all radii beyond 0.2 AU indicates that it is perhaps not

t in strong IR excesses (e.g. Jackson & Wyatt 2012; Genda et al.

rticularly surprising that no mid-IR excess was seen. However,

15), so the putative collision would need to have occurred be-this dust area estimate is only a lo

mit since it only includes

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een the WISE observation taken in Kepler Q5 and the first large

dust which passed in front of the star during the lifetime of the

at D800. The dip at D1500 is then interpreted as the same ma-

pler mission. The true area would be larger if there are more

ial seen one orbit later, with the ∼ 750 day period implying an

mps further along the orbit which have yet to pass in front of the

bit at∼ 1.6 AU. The difference in the dip structure from D800

r, and could also be larger if the dips do not capture all of the

D1500 could arise because the clump(s) created in the origi-

ss-sectional area in their clumps. Furthermore, for some scenar-

impact are expanding and shearing out. This scenario therefore

, the presence of clumps that pass in front of the star requires the

edicts that KIC 8462852 may now have a large mid-IR excess,

stence of other clumps that do not pass along our line-of-sight.

ugh non-detection of an excess would not necessarily rule it out,

e lack of infrared emission thus places constraints on how many

the dust levels derived in Section 4.4.1 (which account for the such clumps there are in the systr example, for clumps at a

st seen passing in front of the star) were shown to be consistent

w AU the cross-sectional area can only be increased by 3 orders

th a non-detection. A more robust prediction is that future dim-

magnitude before it is detectable by WISE. The calculation is

ng events should occur roughly every 750 days, with one in 2015

ther complicated should the clumps be considered to be short-

ril and another in 2017 May.

ed, or on non-circular orbits.

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wo new issues ar ise with this scenario however. Firstly, if the

ven these basic constraints we now consider several scenar-

riod of the orbiting material is a few years, what is the or igin

that may explain the observations. The first two are related to

the two small dips seen in the first few hundred days, and why

lisions within an asteroid belt (Section 4.4.2) or unstable plan-did they not repeat 750 days latehile Section 3 constrained the etary system (Section 4.4.3), the third considers dust that orbitsmber of > 5% dips toward Kepler stars, it was not possible to

thin the Hill spheres of large planetesimals which may reside in

ermine the fraction of stars that exhibit 0.5% dips such as these.

asteroid belt but are not required to collide (Section 4.4.4), and However, it is a concern that th

uld require the existence of an

fourth is that the dips are the passage of a series of fragments

ter planetesimal belt, which may contradict the lack of infrared

m a broken-up comet (Section 4.4.5).

ission to this star. Perhaps more problematic is the probability

t this star (of unknown age) should suffer such an event that oc-

rs within a few-year window between the WISE observation and

.2

termath of catastrophic collisions in asteroid belt

end of the prime Kepler mission, and that the geometry of the

e possibility is that the dimming events are caused by dust

tem is such that material orbiting at ∼1.6 AU lie almost exactly

own off in collisions between planetesimals in an otherwise un-

ween us and the star? Taking this few year window, the main

n asteroid belt analogue (e.g., Wyatt & Dent 2002; Zeegers et al.

quence lifetime, and an optimistic estimate for the scale height

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14). The dust clouds created in these destructive collisions ex-of giant impact debris, and thember of Kepler stars observed,

nd at roughly the planetesimals’ escape velocity from the collid-

s suggests that every star would have to undergo 104 such im-

g bodies, eventually spreading and shearing out to form a smooth

cts throughout its lifetime for us to be likely to witness one in

st component in which the clumps reside. Such a scenario is a

Kepler field. Thus, while this scenario is attractive because it

omising explanation for the star RZ Psc (de Wit et al. 2013),

predictive, the periodicity argument may be inconsistent, and the

ugh in that case evidence that the underlying asteroid belt ex-

obability of witnessing such an event may be very low (though

s is given by a strong IR excess. There are several problems

course hard to estimate).

th this scenario as applied to KIC 8462852 however. Probably

most fundamental of these is the absence of an IR excess from

.4

st-enshrouded planetesimals

smooth component. This is because for every clump we see,

membering that these were inferred to be slightly larger than

enarios in which the clumps can be long-lived are attractive be-

star, there should be many more that had spread out. The in-

use they suffer less from being improbable. Thus, one possibil-

red emission from the dispersed clumps would likely sum up

is that the clumps are held together because they are in fact

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00 RAS, MNRAS 000, 000–000

mselves orbiting within the Hill sphere of large planetesimals.

ey can therefore be thought of a planetesimals enshrouded by

ar-spherical swarms of ir regular satellites, which are themselves

liding to produce the observed dust. This scenario is therefore

alogous to that suggested for the enigmatic exoplanet Fomal-

ut b (Kalas et al. 2008; Kennedy & Wyatt 2011), which borrows from the irregular satellites seSolar System (e.g. Jewitt

Haghighipour 2007; Bottke et al. 2010). This scenario however suffers the several problems. Fobserved dips already require multiple large planetesimals. Unless these all orbit within the

me plane to a high degree (i.e., to within a few stellar radii), there

ust be many more large planetesimals which never (or have yet

pass in front of the star. Debris disks with low levels of stirring

theoretically possible (Heng & Tremaine 2010; Krivov et al.

13). However, these low stirr ing levels require the absence of large planetesimals which throutual interactions would stir

relative velocities to their escape speeds. This is in addition to

problem of filling the Hill sphere of such planetesimals almost

mpletely with dust. This may be reasonable if the planetesimals

gure 12. Size vs. pericenter parameter space for high eccentricity comet

embedded in a belt of debris. However, that would incur the

bits. Dotted lines show lower limits on the clump sizes from the dip

pths. The dashed line is the outer limit set by the light curve gradient.

oblem of the lack of infrared excess. The question also remains

e dot-dashed line is where the clump radius equals the pericenter dis-

y the D1500 events are so clustered, and why there several deep

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ce, though comets could exist above here if they are elongated along the

mming events and no intermediate ones. A population of plan-

bital direction. The solid lines are of constant dip duration.

simals should have a variety of inclinations with respect to our

e of sight, so they should pass in front of the star at a range of

pact parameters and cause a range of dip depths.

related scenario is that the planetesimals are surrounded

cause the erratic nature of the observed dips. To assess this sce-

large ring systems, similar to that invoked to explain the ∼50

rio, Figure 12 revisits the clump - orbit parameter space of Fig-day dimming event seen for

WASP J140747.93-394542.6 (nor-

e 9 (discussed in Section 4.4.1), but now uses the pericenter of the mally called “J1407”, Mama2012; van Werkhoven et al.

mp’s orbit instead of its semi-major axis. The orbits are assumed

14; Kenyon & Bromley 2005). In that case however, a sin-to be highly eccentric (e ≈ 1), with ths arising from material

relatively time-symmetric dimming event was seen, whereas

se to pericenter, so that their orbital velocity is roughly

imes

C 8462852 has multiple asymmetric events. Thus, a single r inged

circular Keplerian velocity at that distance. The limits from the

net(esimal) would not reproduce the observed light-curve, and a

depths and light-curve gradient are again shown, as are lines

nario with multiple ringed planetesimals would be essentially

constant dip duration. The planetesimal Hill radius lines are not

same as the irregular satellite scenario above.

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own, because they are not applicable to the cometary scenario

nsidered here, though these would be slightly modified versions

those in Figure 9 (see eq. B5 of Pearce & Wyatt 2014). In gen-4.4.5

comet family?

l, the main change compared with Figure 9 is that the higher or-The constraint considered in

ction 4.4.1 that is set by the pres-bital velocity relaxes the constraints on how far out the clump

ce of light-curve gradients as large as 0.5 d−1, which resulted in

orbiting. However, the light-curve gradient constraint may be

upper limit of 13 AU for the clumps’ semi-major axis assuming

re stringent than shown in Figure 12 if the 50 km s−1constraint optically thick clumps (Figurewever, the star is never com-noted above were used (which would move the 26 AU upper limi

tely occulted, so this estimate should be corrected for the optical

ser to 1 AU).

pth of the clump τ . That is, the steepness of the gradient is diluted

e more important consideration in this context though is

her by flux transmitted through a large optically thin clump (or

lack of constraint from the non-periodicity of the dips, since

unocculted parts of the star for an optically thick small clump).

pericenter does not necessarily bear any relation to the period

suming τ = 0.2 the velocity estimate given by the gradients is

th which the comet fragments return to pass in front of the star.

n 5 times higher than assumed in Section 4.4.1; this would pre-That period is set by the semims which has the same con-

t a more realistic transverse velocity of ∼50 km s−1, which for

aint as shown on Figure 9. Thus the point of note from Fig-a circular orbit yields a semi-majos of a = 0.5 AU. While this

e 12 is that the pericenter could be significantly within 1 AU.

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imate is uncertain, for example because of the unknown optical

oser pericenters are favored both because this geometry results

pth structure of the different clumps, this highlights the possibil-

a higher probability of the clumps occulting the star along our

that the material may be moving so fast that the velocity for a

e-of-sight, and because of the greater opportunities for comet

cular orbit is inconsistent with the non-repetition of the events.

gmentation. The temperatures of comets at such close proxim-

e solution to this problem is that the orbits need not be cir-

to the star (> 410 K) would render them susceptible to ther-

ar. That is, we could be seeing material close to the pericenter

l stresses. The existence of multiple super-Earth planets orbiting

a highly eccentric orbit, reminiscent of comets seen in the in-

AU from many main sequence stars also points to the possi-

r Solar System at pericenter. We therefore envision a scenario

ity that the comet could have been tidally disrupted in a close

which the dimming events are caused by the passage of a se-

counter with one such planet. It is even possible that the comet

s of chunks of a broken-up comet. These would have to have

me close enough to the star for tidal disruption in the absence of

ce spread around the orbit, and may be continuing to fragment

her considerations; e.g., a comet similar to Halley’s comet would

00 RAS, MNRAS 000, 000–000

C 8462852 – Where’s the flux?

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l apart by tidal forces on approach to within 3–7 stellar radii

MMARY AND CONCLUSIONS

02 – 0.05 AU).

this paper, we have shown that KIC 8462852 is an unique source

the Kepler field. We conducted numerous observations of the

r close pericenters it is important to point out that while the

r and its environment, and our analysis characterizes the object

nstraint is discussed in terms of the clump’s radius, the clump

both remarkable (e.g., the “dipping” events in the Kepler light

n not in fact be spherical at that size. Figure 12 shows a blue dot-curve) and unremarkable (grosed data reveal no deviation

shed line where the “clump radius” is the same as the pericenter

m a normal F-type star) at the same time. We presented an ex-

tance. At such proximity, the clump could not be elongated in the

sive set of scenarios to explain the occurrence of the dips, most

dial direction, but could only be elongated azimuthally along the

which are unsuccessful in explaining the observations in their en-

bit. In fact, this mostly linear clump structure is the correct way to

ety. However, of the various considered, we find that the break-up

ualise debris from a comet break-up. The changes in pericenter

a exocomet provides the most compelling explanation.

tance and orbital inclination due to a velocity kick (from frag-

ntation or tidal disruption) are much smaller than the resulting

servations of KIC 8462852 should continue to aid in un-

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ange in semimajor axis which would change orbital period and

veling its mysteries. First and foremost, long-term photometric

o cause material to spread along the orbit.

nitoring is imperative in order to catch future dipping events. It

uld be helpful to know whether observations reveal no further

s, or continued dips. If the dips continue, are they periodic? Do

is scenario is attractive, because comets are known in the

y change in size or shape? On one hand, the more dips the more

lar System to have highly eccentric orbits and disrupt for vari-

oblematic from the lack of IR emission perspective. Likewise, in

s reasons near pericenter, and infalling comets are a likely ex-

comet scenario there could be no further dips; the longer the

nation for the falling evaporating body (FEB) phenomenon seen

s persist in the light curve, the further around the orbit the frag-

ound many nearby A-type stars (e.g. Kondo & Bruhweiler 1985;

nts would have to have spread. The possibility of getting color

ust et al. 1990; Welsh & Montgomery 2013). Also, since frag-information for the dips would ap determine the size of the

nts of the comet family would all have very similar orbits, this

scuring dust. On the other hand, following the prediction in Sec-

tigates the problem noted in Section 4.4.2 that the detection of tion 4.4.3, if a collision took plashould see re-occurring dip-multiple transits may require orders of magnitude more clumps

g events caused from debris in 2017 May. Unfor tunately, the

present in the system. Instead a single orbit is the progenitor

15 April event likely went unobserved, as all available photo-

the observed clumps, and that orbit happens to be preferentially

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tric archives we checked came up with nothing. In collabora-

gned for its transit detection. That is, it is not excluded that we

n with the MEarth team (PI, D. Charbonneau), monitor ing of

ve observed all the clumps present in the system. While a quick

C 8462852 will thankfully continue from the ground beginning

k at Figure 10 suggests that the lack of infrared excess might still in the Fall of 2015. This wilable us to establish a firm baseline

problematic for the closest pericenters, in fact that is not neces-

its variability post-Kepler.

ily the case. That figure assumed that the clumps were present

he given distance at all times, whereas the clumps in the comet

veral of the proposed scenarios are ruled out by the lack of

nario were at much larger separation from the star at the time of

served IR excess (Section 2.4), but the comet scenario requires the WISE observations.

least. However, if these are time-dependent phenomenon, there

uld be a detectable amount of IR emission if the system were

served today. In the comet scenario, the level of emission could

emains to be shown that this model can explain the more

ry quite rapidly in the near-IR as clumps pass through pericen-

ailed structure of the light-curves. Some potential positives are

(and so while they are transiting). The WISE observations were

t the clustered nature of the dips could be explained by sub-

de in Q5, so detecting IR-emission from the large impact sce-

quent fragmentation of a large fragment from an earlier break-

rio, assuming the impact occurred in Q8 (D800, Section 4.4.3),

The smaller dips could also potentially be explained by smaller

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also a possibility. We acknowledge that a long-term monitoring

gments which may also be expected to receive larger kicks dur-

the IR would be demanding on current resources/facilities, but

fragmentation. However, the structure of individual clumps may

riations detected in the optical monitoring could trigger such ef-

problematic. For example, a fairly generic prediction of transits

t to observe at the times of the dips.

comet-like bodies may be that their light-curves show signs of

ir tails. The light-curve expected for a typical event then has a

r most promising theory invokes a family of exocomets.

atively fast ingress as the head of the comet passes in front of

e way we imagine such a barrage of comets could be triggered

star, but a slower egress as the tail passes (e.g. Lecavelier Des

by the passage of a field star through the system. And, in fact,

angs et al. 1999; Rappaport et al. 2012). However, the D800 event as discussed above, there is a

all star nearby (∼ 1000 AU; Sec-shows the opposite (see panel ‘c’ in Figure 1). Possibleolutions tion 2.3) which, if moving near to KIC 8462852, but not bound to of this issue are tha00 comet fragment received a large kick

could trigger a barrage of bodies into the vicinity of the host

th an orientation that sheared it out in such a way to form a “for-

r. On the other hand, if the companion star is bound, it could

rd tail”. Such forward comet tails produced by the fragments

pumping up comet eccentricities through the Kozai mechanism.

ng kicked toward the star have been studied in the literature,

easuring the motion/orbit of the companion star with respect to

t require the tail to be large enough to overcome the effects of

C 8462852 would be telling in whether or not it is associated, and

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to decided if it was all good, i.e., not artifacts. TSB acknowl-

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ges support provided through NASA grant ADAP12-0172 and

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DAP14-0245. MCW and GMK acknowledge the support of the

gen O. J., 1989, PASP, 101, 54 [2.7]

ropean Union through ERC grant number 279973. The authors

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Document Outline

1 Introduction2 Data

2.1 Kepler photometry2.2 Spectroscopy2.3 Imaging

2.4 Spectral energy distribution2.5 Ground-based photometric surveys2.6 Limits on a companion2.7 Space motion and age

3 Similar dippers in the Kepler field?4 Possible explanations of the observed dipping events observed in KIC8462852

4.1 Instrumental effects or data reduction artifacts?4.2 Intrinsic variability?4.3 Extrinsic variability?

4.4 Occultation by circumstellar dust clumps5 Summary and Conclusions