O impacto dos termos de troca no crescimento econômico - Clarissa Black

Apresentao do PowerPoint

O IMPACTO DOS TERMOS DE TROCA NO CRESCIMENTO ECONMICO

Clarissa BlackNEPE

11/09/2014

Mdia dos preos nominais de commodities durante e aps o boom

Fonte dos dados brutos: FMI

A presena online da FEE passa pelo ncleo. 2

Crescimento do PIB x Nvel dos termos de troca, Brasil 1996-2014

Fonte dos dados brutos: IBGE e FUNCEX


Crescimento do PIB x Variao dos termos de troca, Brasil 1996-2014

Fonte dos dados brutos: IBGE e FUNCEX


Crescimento dos termos de troca e do PIB Brasil

Fonte dos dados brutos: Funcex e Banco Mundial


Canal direto* Medida de dependncia-vulnerabilidade do crescimento econmico ao comportamento dos preos internacionais de commodities;* Indicador: Exportaes de commodities/PIB;* Efeitos multiplicadores em geral so temporrios.

Fonte dos dados brutos: FMI


Canal direto


Canal indireto

Fonte dos dados brutos: Comtrade


Canal subordinadoDenominamos este canal de subordinado, pois o impacto positivo no crescimento econmico de um choque favorvel nos termos de troca depender da deciso governamental do que ser feito com a melhora no balano de pagamentos:Estimular a demanda interna (consumo e investimento)?Relaxar as restries de crdito?Melhorar a posio externa? (conta corrente, reservas, dvida externa);Usar o cmbio para controlar a inflao e estimular a demanda?

Fonte dos dados brutos: Comtrade


ndice dos termos de troca brasileiro

Fonte dos dados brutos: Funcex


Fonte dos dados brutos: Funcex e Banco Mundial


Grf1103.0698.32109.63127.94110.44101.7582.0372.2770.2669.5273.6770.6589.7780.0386.3882.3874.578.8680.4281.3292.89103.18102.78109.09107.3893.2196.1896.0294.7293.494.2194.99100102.1105.89103.18119.7129.04121.51118.7116.66

ndice de termos de troca brasileiro

Drope 14091Crescimento PIBCrescimento dos termos de troca19962.15%-0.39%19973.37%6.14%19980.04%-1.57%19990.26%-13.20%20004.31%3.19%20011.31%-0.17%20022.66%-1.35%20031.15%-1.39%20045.71%0.87%20053.16%0.83%20063.96%5.27%20076.10%2.10%20085.17%3.71%2009-0.33%-2.56%20107.53%16.01%20112.73%7.80%20121.03%-5.84%20132.49%-2.31%

Drope 14091

Crescimento PIBCrescimento dos termos de troca

M AMRICA SUL E NAFTACOMTRADEIMPORTAES TOTAISVENEZUELAPERUBOLVIACOLOMBIACHILEEQUADORARGENTINAPARAGUAIURUGUAITOTAL AMRICA DO SULndice Importaes Amrica do Sul ( 2005=100)CANADMXICOESTADOS UNIDOS19948,036,687,872.005,626,270,208.001,196,333,440.0011,934,947,328.0011,149,066,240.003,622,003,968.0021,581,053,952.002,424,589,056.002,707,172,864.0068,278,124,928.0036.7843208274148,185,450,072.0079,334,973,440.00689,029,922,860.00199510,791,265,280.007,584,036,864.001,396,248,576.0013,883,488,256.0014,903,049,216.004,195,143,424.0020,121,640,960.003,135,867,904.002,865,744,896.0078,876,485,376.0049.3921588739164,370,978,200.0072,452,988,928.00770,821,455,872.0019968,902,211,584.007,947,168,768.001,643,040,000.0013,680,470,016.0016,809,973,760.003,733,027,328.0023,761,555,456.003,107,341,568.003,322,374,912.0082,907,163,392.0040.745865983170,605,558,987.0089,355,034,624.00817,627,145,588.00199713,158,796,288.008,558,284,288.001,909,178,240.0015,378,803,712.0018,110,803,968.004,510,621,184.0030,349,402,112.003,403,352,320.003,715,532,288.0099,094,774,400.0060.2284662625197,010,906,689.00111,983,247,360.00898,025,469,114.00199814,250,360,832.008,220,255,744.002,350,150,400.0014,677,125,120.0017,082,405,888.005,575,400,448.0031,377,246,208.002,896,688,384.003,807,613,952.00100,237,246,976.0065.2246115688201,372,549,120.00125,323,755,520.00944,350,087,088.00199913,553,948,776.006,822,840,670.001,835,407,742.0010,659,186,688.0013,891,477,545.003,017,166,537.0025,507,944,033.001,905,851,232.003,356,245,106.0080,550,068,329.0062.037098889215,554,886,332.00141,955,596,288.001,059,220,066,421.00200014,584,165,376.007,415,018,496.001,848,714,496.0011,757,001,451.0016,619,725,987.003,445,907,712.0025,280,463,491.002,260,221,137.003,465,809,103.0086,677,027,249.0066.7524515989240,090,685,265.00179,403,617,623.001,258,080,275,326.00200116,435,556,302.007,315,912,704.001,707,534,464.0012,820,352,186.0016,136,155,354.005,362,845,184.0020,321,127,098.002,181,926,698.003,060,842,699.0085,342,252,689.0075.2263601149221,623,397,963.00168,376,890,806.001,180,073,831,580.00200211,673,345,832.007,493,004,117.001,769,338,752.0012,689,965,006.0015,383,398,153.006,431,041,536.008,989,546,000.001,661,292,975.001,966,843,510.0068,057,775,881.0053.429485511222,440,059,139.00168,650,540,779.001,202,284,490,498.0020038,357,705,354.008,414,051,393.001,684,480,128.0013,880,612,940.0019,264,124,152.006,534,323,231.0013,850,774,000.001,920,591,732.002,190,369,569.0076,097,032,499.0038.2536338376240,376,249,487.00170,545,787,086.001,305,091,627,452.00200414,697,160,950.0010,101,027,450.001,887,055,515.0017,099,536,992.0024,726,946,785.007,861,007,358.0022,445,246,576.002,671,557,989.003,118,631,405.00104,608,171,020.0067.2696379712273,873,699,602.00196,808,374,762.001,525,268,509,309.00200521,848,134,453.0012,501,829,885.002,343,292,514.0021,204,162,067.0032,925,507,958.009,608,701,206.0028,688,637,653.003,273,773,305.003,878,882,321.00136,272,921,362.00100314,444,418,974.00221,818,979,783.001,732,320,797,682.00200630,559,000,000.0015,311,558,831.002,824,839,298.0026,162,439,964.0038,977,953,375.0012,113,558,389.0034,153,541,756.004,757,639,744.004,806,055,547.00169,666,586,904.00139.8700656376350,257,149,912.00256,085,920,260.001,918,997,094,449.00200741,911,000,000.0020,368,278,180.003,521,958,528.0032,897,045,325.0047,585,062,756.0013,565,297,222.0044,707,041,808.005,859,421,197.005,627,662,830.00216,042,767,846.00191.8287352641380,646,621,997.00281,926,513,230.002,017,120,776,311.00200847,450,066,625.0029,952,802,806.005,005,960,930.0039,668,840,245.0062,787,216,222.0018,851,930,298.0057,461,774,372.009,033,190,512.009,069,360,168.00279,281,142,178.00217.1813191972408,762,167,569.00308,583,119,940.002,164,834,031,060.00200938,676,637,470.0021,813,514,041.004,408,975,779.0032,897,671,468.0042,805,464,873.0015,089,885,150.0038,786,161,790.006,939,841,583.006,906,724,905.00208,324,877,059.00177.0248968085321,227,567,706.00234,384,531,886.001,601,895,815,130.00201032,342,886,987.0030,030,471,321.005,603,873,653.0040,682,507,646.0059,287,011,876.0020,590,848,480.0056,792,359,347.0010,033,466,144.008,621,757,641.00263,985,183,095.00148.0350052613392,108,702,461.00301,481,733,926.001,966,496,749,943.00201136,387,613,822.0037,747,091,790.007,935,744,415.0054,674,822,113.0075,228,420,942.0024,286,061,051.0074,319,324,612.0012,366,126,521.0010,726,377,515.00333,671,582,781.00166.5479215183450,579,509,089.00350,842,385,890.002,262,585,634,366.00201236,387,613,822.0042,274,273,542.008,590,084,890.0058,087,854,461.0079,461,529,006.0025,196,517,284.0068,507,490,489.0011,555,136,434.0011,652,107,818.00341,712,607,746.00166.5479215183462,369,244,562.00370,751,407,489.002,333,805,232,960.00201336,387,613,822.0043,357,294,760.0010,388,265,013.0059,381,196,537.0079,616,352,757.0027,064,498,727.0073,655,453,693.0012,142,040,429.0011,642,380,101.00353,635,095,839.00166.5479215183461,799,508,840.00381,210,149,461.002,328,328,632,805.00

M AMRICA SUL E NAFTA

ndice Importaes Amrica do Sul ( 2005=100)

TAXA CRESC M COMTRADEVENEZUELAPERUBOLVIACOLOMBIACHILEEQUADORBOLVIA, CHILE, COLMBIA, EQUADOR, PERU, VENEZUELAARGENTINAPARAGUAIURUGUAIMERCOSULCANADMXICOESTADOS UNIDOSNAFTA19948,036,687,872.005,626,270,208.001,196,333,440.0011,934,947,328.0011,149,066,240.003,622,003,968.0041,565,309,056.0021,581,053,952.002,424,589,056.002,707,172,864.0026,712,815,872.00148,185,450,072.0079,334,973,440.00689,029,922,860.00916,550,346,372.00199510,791,265,280.0034.28%7,584,036,864.0034.80%1,396,248,576.0016.71%13,883,488,256.0016.33%14,903,049,216.0033.67%4,195,143,424.0015.82%52,753,231,616.0026.92%20,121,640,960.00-6.76%3,135,867,904.0029.34%2,865,744,896.005.86%26,123,253,760.00-2.21%164,370,978,200.0010.92%72,452,988,928.00-8.67%770,821,455,872.0011.87%1,007,645,423,000.009.94%19968,902,211,584.00-17.51%7,947,168,768.004.79%1,643,040,000.0017.68%13,680,470,016.00-1.46%16,809,973,760.0012.80%3,733,027,328.00-11.02%52,715,891,456.00-0.07%23,761,555,456.0018.09%3,107,341,568.00-0.91%3,322,374,912.0015.93%30,191,271,936.0015.57%170,605,558,987.003.79%89,355,034,624.0023.33%817,627,145,588.006.07%1,077,587,739,199.006.94%199713,158,796,288.0047.81%8,558,284,288.007.69%1,909,178,240.0016.20%15,378,803,712.0012.41%18,110,803,968.007.74%4,510,621,184.0020.83%61,626,487,680.0016.90%30,349,402,112.0027.72%3,403,352,320.009.53%3,715,532,288.0011.83%37,468,286,720.0024.10%197,010,906,689.0015.48%111,983,247,360.0025.32%898,025,469,114.009.83%1,207,019,623,163.0012.01%199814,250,360,832.008.30%8,220,255,744.00-3.95%2,350,150,400.0023.10%14,677,125,120.00-4.56%17,082,405,888.00-5.68%5,575,400,448.0023.61%62,155,698,432.000.86%31,377,246,208.003.39%2,896,688,384.00-14.89%3,807,613,952.002.48%38,081,548,544.001.64%201,372,549,120.002.21%125,323,755,520.0011.91%944,350,087,088.005.16%1,271,046,391,728.005.30%199913,553,948,776.00-4.89%6,822,840,670.00-17.00%1,835,407,742.00-21.90%10,659,186,688.00-27.38%13,891,477,545.00-18.68%3,017,166,537.00-45.88%49,780,027,958.00-19.91%25,507,944,033.00-18.71%1,905,851,232.00-34.21%3,356,245,106.00-11.85%30,770,040,371.00-19.20%215,554,886,332.007.04%141,955,596,288.0013.27%1,059,220,066,421.0012.16%1,416,730,549,041.0011.46%200014,584,165,376.007.60%7,415,018,496.008.68%1,848,714,496.000.73%11,757,001,451.0010.30%16,619,725,987.0019.64%3,445,907,712.0014.21%55,670,533,518.0011.83%25,280,463,491.00-0.89%2,260,221,137.0018.59%3,465,809,103.003.26%31,006,493,731.000.77%240,090,685,265.0011.38%179,403,617,623.0026.38%1,258,080,275,326.0018.77%1,677,574,578,214.0018.41%200116,435,556,302.0012.69%7,315,912,704.00-1.34%1,707,534,464.00-7.64%12,820,352,186.009.04%16,136,155,354.00-2.91%5,362,845,184.0055.63%59,778,356,194.007.38%20,321,127,098.00-19.62%2,181,926,698.00-3.46%3,060,842,699.00-11.68%25,563,896,495.00-17.55%221,623,397,963.00-7.69%168,376,890,806.00-6.15%1,180,073,831,580.00-6.20%1,570,074,120,349.00-6.41%200211,673,345,832.00-28.98%7,493,004,117.002.42%1,769,338,752.003.62%12,689,965,006.00-1.02%15,383,398,153.00-4.67%6,431,041,536.0019.92%55,440,093,396.00-7.26%8,989,546,000.00-55.76%1,661,292,975.00-23.86%1,966,843,510.00-35.74%12,617,682,485.00-50.64%222,440,059,139.000.37%168,650,540,779.000.16%1,202,284,490,498.001.88%1,593,375,090,416.001.48%20038,357,705,354.00-28.40%8,414,051,393.0012.29%1,684,480,128.00-4.80%13,880,612,940.009.38%19,264,124,152.0025.23%6,534,323,231.001.61%58,135,297,198.004.86%13,850,774,000.0054.08%1,920,591,732.0015.61%2,190,369,569.0011.36%17,961,735,301.0042.35%240,376,249,487.008.06%170,545,787,086.001.12%1,305,091,627,452.008.55%1,716,013,664,025.007.70%200414,697,160,950.0075.85%10,101,027,450.0020.05%1,887,055,515.0012.03%17,099,536,992.0023.19%24,726,946,785.0028.36%7,861,007,358.0020.30%76,372,735,050.0031.37%22,445,246,576.0062.05%2,671,557,989.0039.10%3,118,631,405.0042.38%28,235,435,970.0057.20%273,873,699,602.0013.94%196,808,374,762.0015.40%1,525,268,509,309.0016.87%1,995,950,583,673.0016.31%200521,848,134,453.0048.66%12,501,829,885.0023.77%2,343,292,514.0024.18%21,204,162,067.0024.00%32,925,507,958.0033.16%9,608,701,206.0022.23%100,431,628,083.0031.50%28,688,637,653.0027.82%3,273,773,305.0022.54%3,878,882,321.0024.38%35,841,293,279.0026.94%314,444,418,974.0014.81%221,818,979,783.0012.71%1,732,320,797,682.0013.57%2,268,584,196,439.0013.66%200630,559,000,000.0039.87%15,311,558,831.0022.47%2,824,839,298.0020.55%26,162,439,964.0023.38%38,977,953,375.0018.38%12,113,558,389.0026.07%125,949,349,857.0025.41%34,153,541,756.0019.05%4,757,639,744.0045.33%4,806,055,547.0023.90%43,717,237,047.0021.97%350,257,149,912.0011.39%256,085,920,260.0015.45%1,918,997,094,449.0010.78%2,525,340,164,621.0011.32%200741,911,000,000.0037.15%20,368,278,180.0033.03%3,521,958,528.0024.68%32,897,045,325.0025.74%47,585,062,756.0022.08%13,565,297,222.0011.98%159,848,642,011.0026.92%44,707,041,808.0030.90%5,859,421,197.0023.16%5,627,662,830.0017.10%56,194,125,835.0028.54%380,646,621,997.008.68%281,926,513,230.0010.09%2,017,120,776,311.005.11%2,679,693,911,538.006.11%200847,450,066,625.0013.22%29,952,802,806.0047.06%5,005,960,930.0042.14%39,668,840,245.0020.58%62,787,216,222.0031.95%18,851,930,298.0038.97%203,716,817,126.0027.44%57,461,774,372.0028.53%9,033,190,512.0054.17%9,069,360,168.0061.16%75,564,325,052.0034.47%408,762,167,569.007.39%308,583,119,940.009.46%2,164,834,031,060.007.32%2,882,179,318,569.007.56%200938,676,637,470.00-18.49%21,813,514,041.00-27.17%4,408,975,779.00-11.93%32,897,671,468.00-17.07%42,805,464,873.00-31.82%15,089,885,150.00-19.96%155,692,148,781.00-23.57%38,786,161,790.00-32.50%6,939,841,583.00-23.17%6,906,724,905.00-23.85%52,632,728,278.00-30.35%321,227,567,706.00-21.41%234,384,531,886.00-24.04%1,601,895,815,130.00-26.00%2,157,507,914,722.00-25.14%201032,342,886,987.00-16.38%30,030,471,321.0037.67%5,603,873,653.0027.10%40,682,507,646.0023.66%59,287,011,876.0038.50%20,590,848,480.0036.45%188,537,599,963.0021.10%56,792,359,347.0046.42%10,033,466,144.0044.58%8,621,757,641.0024.83%75,447,583,132.0043.35%392,108,702,461.0022.07%301,481,733,926.0028.63%1,966,496,749,943.0022.76%2,660,087,186,330.0023.29%201136,387,613,822.0012.51%37,747,091,790.0025.70%7,935,744,415.0041.61%54,674,822,113.0034.39%75,228,420,942.0026.89%24,286,061,051.0017.95%236,259,754,133.0025.31%74,319,324,612.0030.86%12,366,126,521.0023.25%10,726,377,515.0024.41%97,411,828,648.0029.11%450,579,509,089.0014.91%350,842,385,890.0016.37%2,262,585,634,366.0015.06%3,064,007,529,345.0015.18%201236,387,613,822.000.00%42,274,273,542.0011.99%8,590,084,890.008.25%58,087,854,461.006.24%79,461,529,006.005.63%25,196,517,284.003.75%249,997,873,005.005.81%68,507,490,489.00-7.82%11,555,136,434.00-6.56%11,652,107,818.008.63%91,714,734,741.00-5.85%462,369,244,562.002.62%370,751,407,489.005.67%2,333,805,232,960.003.15%3,166,925,885,011.003.36%201336,387,613,822.000.00%43,357,294,760.002.56%10,388,265,013.0020.93%59,381,196,537.002.23%79,616,352,757.000.19%27,064,498,727.007.41%256,195,221,616.002.48%73,655,453,693.007.51%12,142,040,429.005.08%11,642,380,101.00-0.08%97,439,874,223.006.24%461,799,508,840.00-0.12%381,210,149,461.002.82%2,328,328,632,805.00-0.23%3,171,338,291,106.000.14%

X BR P AM DO SUL E NAFTACOMTRADEARGENTINAPARAGUAIURUGUAIBOLVIACHILECOLOMBIAEQUADORVENEZUELAPERUAMRICA DO SULndice Exportaes Brasileiras para Amrica do Sul (2005=100)CANADAMEXICOESTADOS UNIDOSNAFTA1989569,213,952.00413,195,872.00510,993,088.00268,051,968.00671,566,336.00225,646,640.00187,274,432.00354,637,088.00202,407,328.003,402,986,704.0016.07840,429,440.00378,060,608.007,748,406,784.008,966,896,832.001990645,116,800.00380,445,984.00294,583,648.00181,912,976.00483,642,368.00162,603,024.00126,022,720.00267,548,528.00146,182,432.002,688,058,480.0012.69521,557,184.00505,341,056.007,733,220,864.008,760,119,104.0019911,475,470,464.00496,079,520.00337,026,528.00255,917,888.00677,247,424.00156,058,000.00131,529,808.00428,688,448.00221,702,544.004,179,720,624.0019.74464,262,208.00757,917,248.006,387,453,440.007,609,632,896.0019923,041,080,064.00543,271,616.00514,105,728.00332,632,352.00922,071,744.00347,301,056.00136,381,088.00442,265,664.00199,540,848.006,478,650,160.0030.59401,470,240.001,113,647,104.007,081,407,488.008,596,524,832.0019933,658,216,448.00960,597,440.00774,799,872.00430,526,144.001,110,316,160.00377,239,456.00170,238,544.00392,938,592.00273,903,968.008,148,776,624.0038.48455,435,840.00995,333,568.008,030,180,864.009,480,950,272.0019944,135,647,232.001,053,569,728.00731,801,280.00469,926,528.00998,913,280.00400,889,216.00272,714,496.00281,610,496.00349,655,808.008,694,728,064.0041.06500,515,904.001,049,946,112.008,968,930,304.0010,519,392,320.0019954,041,110,784.001,300,687,872.00811,019,648.00530,033,408.001,210,435,712.00457,174,176.00208,463,392.00480,865,984.00438,259,296.009,478,050,272.0044.75460,887,872.00496,064,640.008,799,186,944.009,756,139,456.0019965,170,004,480.001,324,545,792.00810,457,792.00531,629,696.001,055,245,952.00431,889,184.00172,041,440.00454,391,392.00297,931,488.0010,248,137,216.0048.39505,751,552.00679,319,040.009,312,372,736.0010,497,443,328.0019976,767,152,640.001,406,436,480.00869,946,176.00719,055,232.001,195,887,360.00507,855,200.00171,589,392.00768,116,032.00361,753,600.0012,767,792,112.0060.29583,790,400.00828,343,104.009,407,879,168.0010,820,012,672.0019986,747,079,680.001,249,387,264.00880,526,976.00675,755,520.001,022,978,816.00467,666,144.00203,561,088.00706,264,448.00368,702,656.0012,321,922,592.0058.18544,030,016.001,001,757,632.009,888,893,952.0011,434,681,600.0019995,363,925,875.00744,233,339.00669,587,149.00442,921,616.00896,221,984.00402,910,183.00104,439,535.00536,639,722.00264,985,712.009,425,865,115.0044.51513,144,665.001,068,073,109.0010,867,537,237.0012,448,755,011.0020006,237,684,373.00832,473,164.00669,441,644.00364,654,092.001,247,830,857.00515,587,176.00133,458,208.00752,905,969.00354,211,301.0011,108,246,784.0052.45566,234,125.001,712,714,192.0013,389,888,579.0015,668,836,896.0020015,009,810,224.00721,252,545.00643,392,259.00334,451,208.001,354,942,780.00607,499,837.00211,194,728.001,095,269,547.00287,809,523.0010,265,622,651.0048.47556,398,443.001,871,105,851.0014,398,230,083.0016,825,734,377.0020022,346,508,274.00559,625,414.00412,541,589.00422,205,557.001,464,798,651.00638,528,003.00389,283,340.00798,974,175.00438,663,064.007,471,128,067.0035.28783,014,586.002,345,565,323.0015,559,315,191.0018,687,895,100.0020034,569,767,654.00708,750,484.00405,791,503.00362,425,706.001,886,978,683.00751,635,382.00356,858,207.00608,229,076.00491,596,340.0010,142,033,035.0047.89979,804,976.002,747,079,530.0016,937,180,785.0020,664,065,291.0020047,390,967,394.00873,352,694.00670,581,906.00540,439,784.002,555,916,452.001,043,534,982.00494,888,862.001,469,802,005.00636,164,378.0015,675,648,457.0074.021,202,325,838.003,957,953,379.0020,403,165,980.0025,563,445,197.0020059,930,152,936.00962,720,724.00853,137,754.00585,252,917.003,623,663,246.001,412,193,504.00648,647,252.002,223,705,818.00938,664,676.0021,178,138,827.00100.001,947,274,889.004,073,738,458.0022,810,092,517.0028,831,105,864.00200611,739,591,939.001,233,638,638.001,012,597,766.00701,601,938.003,913,549,324.002,139,882,717.00877,497,508.003,565,424,415.001,509,564,004.0026,693,348,249.00126.042,280,740,741.004,458,202,270.0024,774,417,482.0031,513,360,493.00200714,416,945,588.001,648,191,224.001,288,439,665.00850,712,655.004,264,400,293.002,338,669,163.00661,723,709.004,723,939,986.001,648,703,805.0031,841,726,088.00150.352,361,716,393.004,260,440,716.0025,335,516,490.0031,957,673,599.00200817,605,620,920.002,487,561,397.001,644,125,714.001,135,567,522.004,791,703,200.002,295,077,281.00877,964,780.005,150,187,992.002,298,653,849.0038,286,462,655.00180.781,866,170,747.004,281,324,607.0027,734,718,957.0033,882,214,311.00200912,784,966,502.001,683,902,379.001,360,077,892.00919,231,938.002,656,793,690.001,801,053,432.00638,206,928.003,610,339,282.001,489,062,914.0026,943,634,957.00127.221,712,171,748.002,675,888,299.0015,744,930,250.0020,132,990,297.00201018,436,993,170.002,540,961,486.001,518,798,319.001,081,006,670.004,220,151,143.002,168,363,201.00969,120,825.003,835,962,089.002,000,845,353.0036,772,202,256.00173.632,310,332,669.003,662,227,421.0019,240,185,206.0025,212,745,296.00201122,709,344,431.002,968,573,383.002,174,589,236.001,511,499,266.005,418,067,092.002,577,416,532.00933,178,029.004,591,847,947.002,262,920,359.0045,147,436,275.00213.183,129,545,940.003,959,713,376.0025,942,952,810.0033,032,212,126.00201217,997,706,375.002,617,509,020.002,186,314,270.001,472,961,695.004,602,202,699.002,834,522,131.00898,591,182.005,056,025,298.002,415,202,868.0040,081,035,538.00189.263,079,926,642.004,003,013,124.0026,849,876,493.0033,932,816,259.00201319,615,414,342.002,996,609,209.002,071,389,474.001,534,329,803.004,483,782,976.002,703,098,276.00820,245,195.004,849,839,836.002,147,240,831.0041,221,949,942.00194.642,701,746,158.004,230,300,972.0024,865,952,835.0031,797,999,965.00

X BR P AM DO SUL E NAFTA

ndice Exportaes Brasileiras para Amrica do Sul (2005=100)

TERMOS DE TROCA BR trimestralTabela IX.1.2NDICE DE TERMOS DE TROCASEGUNDO TOTAL BRASILEIROPerodo mensalBase: mdia 2006 = 100PerodoTotalMdia TrimestralbrasileiroJan-78121.29Feb116.1Mar115.0Apr113.4May110.8Jun100.6Jul109.6Aug111.4Sep108.2Oct107.8Nov107.8Dec105.5Jan-79109.5Feb108.5Mar109.7Apr107.1May103.8Jun104.3Jul103.0Aug99.9Sep97.9Oct98.6Nov96.7Dec90.3Jan-8090.1Feb85.0Mar80.5Apr85.6May82.4Jun81.0Jul79.3Aug81.6Sep79.9Oct82.1Nov79.7Dec78.7Jan-8179.2Feb74.3Mar76.3Apr74.5May73.2Jun72.9Jul71.7Aug72.1Sep70.9Oct64.7Nov69.1Dec69.2Jan-8271.0Feb69.7Mar71.1Apr71.2May72.5Jun73.7Jul72.0Aug70.4Sep69.3Oct65.1Nov68.6Dec69.0Jan-8368.9Feb69.5Mar65.5Apr66.4May68.3Jun69.5Jul72.3Aug72.9Sep70.1Oct72.1Nov71.6Dec68.0Jan-8472.5Feb75.2Mar73.8Apr72.4May73.5Jun75.2Jul76.0Aug74.9Sep75.4Oct70.9Nov71.4Dec73.2Jan-8573.1Feb75.5Mar73.7Apr72.6May69.7Jun69.2Jul67.4Aug67.8Sep69.5Oct69.2Nov69.5Dec71.1Jan-8681.8Feb88.8Mar93.1Apr92.5May99.0Jun98.5Jul71.3Aug72.5Sep98.4Oct98.2Nov99.8Dec96.1Jan-8787.6Feb81.5Mar76.4Apr75.9May78.3Jun78.2Jul81.8Aug82.9Sep84.5Oct80.0Nov77.9Dec76.7Jan-8878.5Feb78.6Mar82.8Apr86.6May85.7Jun84.8Jul87.6Aug91.5Sep90.6Oct91.4Nov92.6Dec87.1Jan-8987.9Feb86.3Mar83.6Apr83.2May79.9Jun82.4Jul82.0Aug83.1Sep81.1Oct80.1Nov78.5Dec81.2Jan-9074.3Feb73.7Mar75.9Apr77.1May79.5Jun77.3Jul80.5Aug76.6Sep72.0Oct69.0Nov68.4Dec72.8Jan-9172.7Feb72.0Mar78.7Apr80.1May80.2Jun79.4Jul83.1Aug84.8Sep82.6Oct81.5Nov78.0Dec75.7Jan-9280.5Feb80.7Mar80.9Apr83.3May81.6Jun77.6Jul77.9Aug82.7Sep80.2Oct81.0Nov81.2Dec78.1Jan-9376.6Feb76.5Mar75.8Apr80.1May75.0Jun78.3Jul81.9Aug85.1Sep88.1Oct85.1Nov84.8Dec91.1Jan-9489.4Feb91.7Mar89.3Apr89.4May88.2Jun91.1Jul89.0Aug91.0Sep94.3Oct99.2Nov102.2Dec100.0Jan-95101.0Feb106.5Mar103.0103.46Apr100.4May100.0Jun104.7101.72Jul102.7Aug104.8TERMOS DE TROCAPIB TRI ANTERIORPIB TRI ANO ANTERIORSep104.6104.051995.I103.46Oct104.01995.II101.72Nov104.71995.III104.05TRI contra TRI anteriorTRI contra TRI ano anteriorDec102.3103.671995.IV103.67PIB trimestre anteriorCRESC TERMOS DE TROCAPIB trimestre ano anteriorCRESC TERMOS DE TROCAJan-96101.61996.I100.93(0.87)1996.I-0.87%-2.45%Feb99.71996.II102.40(0.54)1.061996.II-0.54%1.46%1.06%0.68%Mar101.5100.931996.III104.144.515.991996.III4.51%1.70%5.99%0.08%Apr102.41996.IV103.83(1.08)2.251996.IV-1.08%-0.30%2.25%0.15%May102.41997.I105.540.613.701997.I0.61%1.65%3.70%4.57%Jun102.4102.401997.II110.330.874.951997.II0.87%4.54%4.95%7.74%Jul106.11997.III111.651.321.571997.III1.32%1.20%1.57%7.21%Aug104.11997.IV109.120.683.411997.IV0.68%-2.27%3.41%5.10%Sep102.3104.141998.I110.69(2.29)0.801998.I-2.29%1.44%0.80%4.88%Oct102.91998.II108.621.721.461998.II1.72%-1.87%1.46%-1.54%Nov105.41998.III107.310.08(0.07)1998.III0.08%-1.21%-0.07%-3.89%Dec103.2103.831998.IV102.90(1.32)(1.95)1998.IV-1.32%-4.11%-1.95%-5.70%Jan-97104.61999.I96.93(0.25)0.571999.I-0.25%-5.80%0.57%-12.43%Feb104.01999.II92.200.62(0.77)1999.II0.62%-4.88%-0.77%-15.12%Mar108.0105.541999.III91.660.36(0.96)1999.III0.36%-0.58%-0.96%-14.58%Apr107.41999.IV92.061.582.251999.IV1.58%0.43%2.25%-10.53%May113.22000.I94.891.564.732000.I1.56%3.08%4.73%-2.10%Jun110.4110.332000.II96.510.393.912000.II0.39%1.70%3.91%4.67%Jul111.62000.III98.711.054.222000.III1.05%2.29%4.22%7.69%Aug111.32000.IV94.841.314.382000.IV1.31%-3.92%4.38%3.02%Sep112.1111.652001.I98.160.433.522001.I0.43%3.49%3.52%3.44%Oct109.12001.II95.83(0.48)2.312001.II-0.48%-2.37%2.31%-0.70%Nov110.22001.III95.65(0.77)0.282001.III-0.77%-0.18%0.28%-3.10%Dec108.1109.122001.IV94.460.06(0.69)2001.IV0.06%-1.25%-0.69%-0.40%Jan-98110.92002.I96.351.250.102002.I1.25%2.00%0.10%-1.84%Feb110.32002.II97.501.361.882002.II1.36%1.19%1.88%1.75%Mar110.9110.692002.III93.751.153.722002.III1.15%-3.85%3.72%-1.99%Apr109.62002.IV91.640.994.862002.IV0.99%-2.25%4.86%-2.99%May107.72003.I91.43(1.17)2.342003.I-1.17%-0.22%2.34%-5.10%Jun108.6108.622003.II93.41(0.13)0.882003.II-0.13%2.16%0.88%-4.20%Jul107.92003.III94.060.960.582003.III0.96%0.70%0.58%0.33%Aug106.82003.IV94.781.250.882003.IV1.25%0.77%0.88%3.43%Sep107.2107.312004.I94.161.954.222004.I1.95%-0.66%4.22%2.98%Oct103.32004.II95.211.936.202004.II1.93%1.12%6.20%1.93%Nov102.82004.III95.441.126.282004.III1.12%0.24%6.28%1.47%Dec102.6102.902004.IV92.241.006.072004.IV1.00%-3.35%6.07%-2.68%Jan-99100.22005.I93.89(0.10)4.162005.I-0.10%1.78%4.16%-0.29%Feb95.12005.II94.812.294.332005.II2.29%0.98%4.33%-0.43%Mar95.596.932005.III95.44(1.06)2.102005.III-1.06%0.67%2.10%-0.00%Apr92.62005.IV95.841.072.142005.IV1.07%0.42%2.14%3.90%May91.32006.I97.391.844.332006.I1.84%1.62%4.33%3.73%Jun92.892.202006.II97.470.201.932006.II0.20%0.09%1.93%2.81%Jul92.82006.III101.751.544.752006.III1.54%4.39%4.75%6.61%Aug90.72006.IV103.391.204.852006.IV1.20%1.61%4.85%7.88%Sep91.591.662007.I102.622.075.162007.I2.07%-0.74%5.16%5.37%Oct91.52007.II100.531.606.432007.II1.60%-2.04%6.43%3.14%Nov92.72007.III101.551.046.062007.III1.04%1.01%6.06%-0.20%Dec92.092.062007.IV103.711.756.672007.IV1.75%2.13%6.67%0.31%Jan-0091.12008.I103.041.746.292008.I1.74%-0.65%6.29%0.41%Feb97.12008.II103.681.886.462008.II1.88%0.62%6.46%3.13%Mar96.594.892008.III109.261.567.122008.III1.56%5.39%7.12%7.60%Apr95.32008.IV107.11(4.17)0.962008.IV-4.17%-1.97%0.96%3.28%May98.32009.I98.61(1.66)(2.71)2009.I-1.66%-7.94%-2.71%-4.30%Jun95.996.512009.II101.311.93(2.40)2009.II1.93%2.74%-2.40%-2.29%Jul97.32009.III103.642.55(1.47)2009.III2.55%2.30%-1.47%-5.15%Aug100.92009.IV109.262.445.312009.IV2.44%5.43%5.31%2.01%Sep98.098.712010.I112.721.969.342010.I1.96%3.17%9.34%14.32%Oct93.22010.II115.571.518.762010.II1.51%2.53%8.76%14.08%Nov95.32010.III123.180.986.922010.III0.98%6.58%6.92%18.85%Dec96.094.842010.IV127.060.845.332010.IV0.84%3.15%5.33%16.28%Jan-0197.12011.I127.850.804.232011.I0.80%0.62%4.23%13.42%Feb97.32011.II128.700.563.322011.II0.56%0.66%3.32%11.35%Mar100.098.162011.III131.220.022.122011.III0.02%1.96%2.12%6.53%Apr96.52011.IV128.47(0.01)1.372011.IV-0.01%-2.10%1.37%1.11%May96.22012.I121.160.270.802012.I0.27%-5.69%0.80%-5.23%Jun94.895.832012.II122.210.160.552012.II0.16%0.86%0.55%-5.04%Jul96.12012.III122.590.590.952012.III0.59%0.31%0.95%-6.58%Aug96.82012.IV120.200.771.822012.IV0.77%-1.94%1.82%-6.43%Sep94.195.652013.I121.240.381.892013.I0.38%0.86%1.89%0.06%Oct92.62013.II118.921.623.462013.II1.62%-1.91%3.46%-2.69%Nov96.42013.III117.50(0.30)2.432013.III-0.30%-1.19%2.43%-4.15%Dec94.494.462013.IV118.560.442.182013.IV0.44%0.90%2.18%-1.36%Jan-0294.92014.I117.710.171.922014.I0.17%-0.72%1.92%-2.91%Feb97.0116.150.00%0.00%Mar97.296.35Apr97.2May96.6Jun98.797.50Jul95.7Aug92.7Sep92.893.75Oct92.4Nov93.2Dec89.491.64Jan-0391.8Feb90.0Mar92.591.43Apr92.2May93.6Jun94.493.41Jul94.9Aug93.6Sep93.894.06Oct95.8Nov93.9Dec94.794.78Jan-0495.4Feb92.9Mar94.294.16Apr95.4May97.0Jun93.395.21Jul97.7Aug94.1Sep94.595.44Oct90.5Nov93.5Dec92.792.24Jan-0594.1Feb93.7Mar93.893.89Apr94.0May95.9Jun94.694.81Jul96.8Aug94.5Sep95.095.44Oct94.2Nov95.9Dec97.595.84Jan-0697.0Feb98.7Mar96.597.39Apr97.0May96.9Jun98.597.47Jul101.6Aug101.1Sep102.6101.75Oct103.3Nov102.3Dec104.7103.39Jan-07102.2Feb101.8Mar103.9102.62Apr100.5May100.4Jun100.6100.53Jul100.6Aug101.5Sep102.5101.55Oct104.8Nov102.7Dec103.7103.71Jan-08105.7Feb102.1Mar101.2103.04Apr99.7May104.7Jun106.7103.68Jul107.9Aug111.1Sep108.8109.26Oct111.4Nov105.8Dec104.2107.11Jan-0997.1Feb98.9Mar99.998.61Apr100.7May100.8Jun102.4101.31Jul102.1Aug102.7Sep106.1103.64Oct106.7Nov108.8Dec112.3109.26Jan-10113.0Feb112.0Mar113.2112.72Apr112.3May117.3Jun117.2115.57Jul121.1Aug121.7Sep126.7123.18Oct125.6Nov126.5Dec129.1127.06Jan-11128.5Feb128.4Mar126.7127.85Apr127.1May129.3Jun129.7128.70Jul130.3Aug130.7Sep132.7131.22Oct132.5Nov128.2Dec124.6128.47Jan-12122.8Feb120.4Mar120.2121.16Apr121.1May122.7Jun122.9122.21Jul122.7Aug123.5Sep121.6122.59Oct120.8Nov119.5Dec120.4120.20Jan-13121.2Feb120.7Mar121.8121.24Apr119.5May119.2Jun118.1118.92Jul117.9Aug116.3Sep118.3117.50Oct119.6Nov117.9Dec118.2118.56Jan-14120.8Feb116.7Mar115.6117.71Apr114.8May117.0Jun116.7116.15Fonte: Elaborado pela Funcex a partir de dados da Secex/MDIC.Mdia trimestral termos de troca1995.I103.461995.II101.721995.III104.051995.IV103.671996.I100.931996.II102.401996.III104.141996.IV103.831997.I105.541997.II110.331997.III111.651997.IV109.121998.I110.691998.II108.621998.III107.311998.IV102.901999.I96.931999.II92.201999.III91.661999.IV92.062000.I94.892000.II96.512000.III98.712000.IV94.842001.I98.162001.II95.832001.III95.652001.IV94.462002.I96.352002.II97.502002.III93.752002.IV91.642003.I91.432003.II93.412003.III94.062003.IV94.782004.I94.162004.II95.212004.III95.442004.IV92.242005.I93.892005.II94.812005.III95.442005.IV95.842006.I97.392006.II97.472006.III101.752006.IV103.392007.I102.622007.II100.532007.III101.552007.IV103.712008.I103.042008.II103.682008.III109.262008.IV107.112009.I98.612009.II101.312009.III103.642009.IV109.262010.I112.722010.II115.572010.III123.182010.IV127.062011.I127.852011.II128.702011.III131.222011.IV128.472012.I121.162012.II122.212012.III122.592012.IV120.202013.I121.242013.II118.922013.III117.502013.IV118.562014.I117.71116.15

TERMOS DE TROCA BR trimestral

TERMOS TROCA BR anual

PIB ALADI + MERCOSUL

PIB trimestre ano anterior

PIB BRASIL world bankTabela IX.1.1NDICE DE TERMOS DE TROCAFUNCEXSEGUNDO TOTAL BRASILEIROPerodo anualBase: 2006 = 100PerodoTotalndice de termos de troca brasileiro1974103.1197598.31976109.61977127.91978110.41979101.8198082.0198172.3198270.3198369.5198473.7198570.7198689.8198780.0198886.4198982.4199074.5199178.9199280.4199381.3199492.91995103.21996102.81997109.11998107.4199993.2200096.2200196.0200294.7200393.4200494.2200595.02006100.02007102.12008105.92009103.22010119.72011129.02012121.52013118.72014*junho116.7Fonte: Elaborado pela Funcex a partir de dados da Secex/MDIC.Termos de Troca -BrasilPIB preos correntesndice PIB preos correntes 2006=100Crescimento PIBCrescimento dos termos de troca1974103.1105,136,007,544.779.65509996989.04%197598.3123,709,376,566.8911.3607737815.21%-4.60%1976109.6152,678,020,453.1114.02109120459.79%11.50%1977127.9176,171,284,305.2916.17858050254.61%16.70%1978110.4200,800,891,871.9618.44042521993.23%-13.68%1979101.8224,969,488,839.3620.65993331526.77%-7.87%198082.0235,024,598,984.1221.58333811179.11%-19.38%198172.3263,561,088,975.6124.2039689507-4.39%-11.90%198270.3281,682,304,160.2625.8681194950.58%-2.78%198369.5203,304,515,490.6918.6703439403-3.41%-1.05%198473.7209,023,912,696.7619.19558123145.27%5.97%198570.7222,942,790,435.3220.47381272577.95%-4.10%198689.8268,137,224,729.7224.62421553617.99%27.06%198780.0294,084,112,392.6627.00703185323.60%-10.85%198886.4330,397,381,998.4930.3418384191-0.10%7.93%198982.4425,595,310,000.0039.0842810253.28%-4.63%199074.5461,951,782,000.0042.423055056-4.30%-9.57%199178.9407,337,832,905.4137.40761695281.51%5.85%199280.4390,566,551,483.7635.8674367374-0.47%1.98%199381.3438,299,504,406.2640.25096282984.67%1.12%199492.9546,233,380,259.6650.16300329845.33%14.23%1995103.2768,951,297,894.9870.61616497014.42%11.08%1996102.8839,682,618,644.9177.11173189142.15%-0.39%1997109.1871,200,342,859.6980.0061425243.37%6.14%1998107.4843,827,363,149.3677.49236192930.04%-1.57%199993.2586,862,640,399.4453.8941661750.26%-13.20%200096.2644,701,831,101.3959.20579233854.31%3.19%200196.0553,582,178,386.1950.83787561121.31%-0.17%200294.7504,221,228,974.0446.30484347212.66%-1.35%200393.4552,469,288,267.7950.73567403821.15%-1.39%200494.2663,760,341,880.3460.95601884175.71%0.87%200595.0882,185,702,547.2581.01497620973.16%0.83%2006100.01,088,916,819,852.941003.96%5.27%2007102.11,366,823,994,658.72125.52143283486.10%2.10%2008105.91,653,508,561,457.08151.8489320135.17%3.71%2009103.21,620,188,056,416.93148.7889641227-0.33%-2.56%2010119.72,143,067,871,759.89196.80730728817.53%16.01%2011129.02,476,694,763,271.16227.4457257082.73%7.80%2012121.52,248,780,912,395.68206.51539873351.03%-5.84%2013118.72,245,673,032,353.76206.22998849972.49%-2.31%2014*junho116.7Termos de Troca -BrasilPIB preos correntesndice PIB preos correntes 2006=100Crescimento PIBCrescimento dos termos de trocaCorrelaoCovarinciaVarinciaBeta1974103.06105,136,007,544.779.65509996989.04%1974-20130.34160299280.00104009440.00859515140.1210094381197598.32123,709,376,566.8911.3607737815.21%-4.60%1976109.63152,678,020,453.1114.02109120459.79%11.50%2003-20130.71729620340.00088729260.00192690890.46047459981977127.94176,171,284,305.2916.17858050254.61%16.70%1978110.44200,800,891,871.9618.44042521993.23%-13.68%1979101.75224,969,488,839.3620.65993331526.77%-7.87%198082.03235,024,598,984.1221.58333811179.11%-19.38%198172.27263,561,088,975.6124.2039689507-4.39%-11.90%198270.26281,682,304,160.2625.8681194950.58%-2.78%198369.52203,304,515,490.6918.6703439403-3.41%-1.05%198473.67209,023,912,696.7619.19558123145.27%5.97%198570.65222,942,790,435.3220.47381272577.95%-4.10%198689.77268,137,224,729.7224.62421553617.99%27.06%198780.03294,084,112,392.6627.00703185323.60%-10.85%198886.38330,397,381,998.4930.3418384191-0.10%7.93%198982.38425,595,310,000.0039.0842810253.28%-4.63%199074.5461,951,782,000.0042.423055056-4.30%-9.57%199178.86407,337,832,905.4137.40761695281.51%5.85%199280.42390,566,551,483.7635.8674367374-0.47%1.98%199381.32438,299,504,406.2640.25096282984.67%1.12%199492.89546,233,380,259.6650.16300329845.33%14.23%1995103.18768,951,297,894.9870.61616497014.42%11.08%1996102.78839,682,618,644.9177.11173189142.15%-0.39%1997109.09871,200,342,859.6980.0061425243.37%6.14%1998107.38843,827,363,149.3677.49236192930.04%-1.57%199993.21586,862,640,399.4453.8941661750.26%-13.20%200096.18644,701,831,101.3959.20579233854.31%3.19%200196.02553,582,178,386.1950.83787561121.31%-0.17%200294.72504,221,228,974.0446.30484347212.66%-1.35%200393.4552,469,288,267.7950.73567403821.15%-1.39%200494.21663,760,341,880.3460.95601884175.71%0.87%200594.99882,185,702,547.2581.01497620973.16%0.83%20061001,088,916,819,852.941003.96%5.27%2007102.11,366,823,994,658.72125.52143283486.10%2.10%2008105.891,653,508,561,457.08151.8489320135.17%3.71%2009103.181,620,188,056,416.93148.7889641227-0.33%-2.56%2010119.72,143,067,871,759.89196.80730728817.53%16.01%2011129.042,476,694,763,271.16227.4457257082.73%7.80%2012121.512,248,780,912,395.68206.51539873351.03%-5.84%2013118.72,245,673,032,353.76206.22998849972.49%-2.31%2014*junho116.66PERODOSGOVERNOSTermos de TrocaCrescimento PIB11Mdia Termos de TrocaMdia Crescimento PIBCrescimento PIBCrescimento dos termos de troca197598.325.21%1.051.051975-1979109.6165.90%19755.21%-4.60%1976109.639.79%1.161.161980-199580.5081252.48%19769.79%11.50%1977127.944.61%1.211.211996-200299.91142857142.00%19774.61%16.70%1978110.443.23%1.251.252003-2011104.72333333333.88%19783.23%-13.68%1979101.756.77%1.331.072012-2013120.1051.76%19796.77%-7.87%198082.039.11%1.091.1619809.11%-19.38%198172.27-4.39%1.041.11Mdia Termos de TrocaMdia Crescimento PIB1981-4.39%-11.90%198270.260.58%1.051.12GEISEL: 1975-78111.585.68%19820.58%-2.78%198369.52-3.41%1.011.08FIGUEIREDO: 1979-8478.252.19%1983-3.41%-1.05%198473.675.27%1.071.14SARNEY: 1985-8981.844.50%19845.27%5.97%198570.657.95%1.151.08COLLOR-ITAMAR: 1990-9481.601.29%19857.95%-4.10%198689.777.99%1.241.17FHC: 1995-2002100.322.30%19867.99%27.06%198780.033.60%1.291.21LULA: 2003-10101.684.03%19873.60%-10.85%198886.38-0.10%1.291.21DILMA: 2011-2013123.082.08%1988-0.10%7.93%198982.383.28%1.331.2519893.28%-4.63%199074.5-4.30%1.270.961990-4.30%-9.57%199178.861.51%1.290.9719911.51%5.85%199280.42-0.47%1.290.971992-0.47%1.98%199381.324.67%1.351.0119934.67%1.12%199492.895.33%1.421.0719945.33%14.23%1995103.184.42%1.481.0419954.42%11.08%1996102.782.15%1.021.0719962.15%-0.39%1997109.093.37%1.061.1019973.37%6.14%1998107.380.04%1.061.1019980.04%-1.57%199993.210.26%1.061.1119990.26%-13.20%200096.184.31%1.101.1520004.31%3.19%200196.021.31%1.121.1720011.31%-0.17%200294.722.66%1.151.2020022.66%-1.35%200393.41.15%1.011.0120031.15%-1.39%200494.215.71%1.071.0720045.71%0.87%200594.993.16%1.101.1020053.16%0.83%20061003.96%1.151.1520063.96%5.27%2007102.16.10%1.221.2220076.10%2.10%2008105.895.17%1.281.2820085.17%3.71%2009103.18-0.33%1.281.282009-0.33%-2.56%2010119.77.53%1.371.3720107.53%16.01%2011129.042.73%1.411.0320112.73%7.80%2012121.511.03%1.011.0420121.03%-5.84%2013118.72.49%1.041.0620132.49%-2.31%

PIB BRASIL world bank


X BRASIL (commodities e totais)

Termos de TrocaCrescimento PIB

X prod primar sobre PIB wto

Crescimento PIB

Preos Commodities FMI


Plan1

ndice de termos de troca brasileiro

Series NameSeries CodeCountry NameCountry Code1989 [YR1989]1990 [YR1990]1991 [YR1991]1992 [YR1992]1993 [YR1993]1994 [YR1994]1995 [YR1995]1996 [YR1996]1997 [YR1997]1998 [YR1998]1999 [YR1999]2000 [YR2000]2001 [YR2001]2002 [YR2002]2003 [YR2003]2004 [YR2004]2005 [YR2005]2006 [YR2006]2007 [YR2007]2008 [YR2008]2009 [YR2009]2010 [YR2010]2011 [YR2011]2012 [YR2012]2013 [YR2013]GDP (current US$)NY.GDP.MKTP.CDArgentinaARG76636898036.4712141352368714.691189719989668.103228779382768.151236753563469.871311852387500312569210000329671180000354757527500362133800000343448277500344272910000325488360000123607470068.633156988741752.415183295704305.31222907566120.932264489701813.206329761480066.765406003733832.97378496221140.697462703793707.187557727273772.913603153016502.593611755084645.166GDP (current US$)NY.GDP.MKTP.CDBoliviaBOL4715978868.216134867582620.207085343259388.763375643864407.822555734703452.221295981218996.996016715164550.844317396952081.046627925733785.537838497499333.046598285061618.158398397858184.793828141513292.124027905485216.178528082396525.994338773451738.911299549196255.8889211451845341.244113120183156.714916674324634.237317339992165.242219649631308.164823948541156.119427035110130.24630601157742.4023GDP (current US$)NY.GDP.MKTP.CDChileCHL28385038396.703531558927517.218836424168146.154344467946384.246247693992626.864955154226759.9671349202308.642375769008174.254782808986191.600579373597080.101772995286764.416879328640263.789772336972322.393170984568428.578577840186384.8224100630707851.859124404150138.162154671012210.645173006275030.338179857806671.501172323378550.078217501911333.709251162316597.843266259263033.373277198774856.807GDP (current US$)NY.GDP.MKTP.CDColombiaCOL39540083645.551940274204595.229641239551378.248249279585355.094855802540100.979581703496603.993492507277798.198597160111573.337106659507963.52898443743190.849186186156584.381799886577575.544498203544965.267897933392356.425394684582573.3167117074865515.279146520136085.39162773603929.706207520150283.04244056732297.388233821670544.258287018184637.529335415156702.186370328075210.144378147773315.64GDP (current US$)NY.GDP.MKTP.CDEcuadorECU13890828707.649315239278100.350216988184456.100918093864474.874718938326276.083722708204404.863524432379905.631625225872274.133328161471482.970127981319125.135819644866963.427618327386415.952424468324000285489450003243285900036591661000415070850004680204400051007777000617626350006251968600067513698000767697290008403985600090023493747.2GDP (current US$)NY.GDP.MKTP.CDParaguayPRY4599970618.483885695201563.442176984367762.884067157424031.037997249533620.310447870982170.982179062131307.882759788391732.828999965225496.588399024567484.20138392549702.315118195993230.742757662595075.902416325151760.06696588103836.347398033877360.416978734651405.9657210662013273.200613794909537.439318504128632.450515929903100.361620030529733.443225071193102.105524611040342.679529948866615.9682GDP (current US$)NY.GDP.MKTP.CDPeruPER26368160013.270225009661562.095132853075346.214334317706992.794933128804069.339842711163030.194851039365585.002853140667688.641156323682393.120153972353719.097948987347372.86250681123109.055751295103188.89853992755100.499857840001637.033965702520515.826574147754854.368987554128440.367102172590585.326121382746565.435121203519256.308148509857546.629170563949735.564192636058713.622202295635535.696GDP (current US$)NY.GDP.MKTP.CDUruguayURY8438951476.066449298839655.2313811206193313.045812878157305.748115002144584.366317474578502.434619297663096.550620515465834.068223969746851.499325385928196.398623983945190.616722823255805.966420898788420.093213606494599.02112045627411.018213686333821.786417362872709.749619579479147.195923410536913.756530366148205.265130461322555.143838881102074.953247236710623.113950004354666.953955707944641.5016GDP (current US$)NY.GDP.MKTP.CDVenezuela, RBVEN42142303738.549447027508385.029651734363023.783958470358475.867758107555298.46456529904239.460974888742183.684968258588862.784585837385778.75191338542541.767497974136436.6528117147614565.563122909734601.32292889586976.183383622191418.9774112451400422.982145513489651.872183477522123.894230364229156.963315600372612.948329419189566.837393801556872.313316482176578.929381286223859.371438283564814.815TOTAL244718213500.962320323572713.495392493152483.297459088290195.638478411163498.501601986162208.885661861136736.438686926238221.095756409267443.595756151350670.599709897628132.831749061359151.408731404935866495793849505.587530124690539.926646240522532.372790646902222.33941461350279.4591144158131730.341394208628452.21361514882878.931655610265213.931804377047268.771999352998458.982113962295915.2Data from database: World Development IndicatorsLast Updated: 07/22/2014

WORLD BANKSeries NameSeries CodeCountry NameCountry Code1970 [YR1970]1971 [YR1971]1972 [YR1972]1973 [YR1973]1974 [YR1974]1975 [YR1975]1976 [YR1976]1977 [YR1977]1978 [YR1978]1979 [YR1979]1980 [YR1980]1981 [YR1981]1982 [YR1982]1983 [YR1983]1984 [YR1984]1985 [YR1985]1986 [YR1986]1987 [YR1987]1988 [YR1988]1989 [YR1989]1990 [YR1990]1991 [YR1991]1992 [YR1992]1993 [YR1993]1994 [YR1994]1995 [YR1995]1996 [YR1996]1997 [YR1997]1998 [YR1998]1999 [YR1999]2000 [YR2000]2001 [YR2001]2002 [YR2002]2003 [YR2003]2004 [YR2004]2005 [YR2005]2006 [YR2006]2007 [YR2007]2008 [YR2008]2009 [YR2009]2010 [YR2010]2011 [YR2011]2012 [YR2012]2013 [YR2013]GDP growth (annual %)NY.GDP.MKTP.KD.ZGBrazilBRA8.7711.3012.0513.989.045.219.794.613.236.779.11(4.39)0.58(3.41)5.277.957.993.60(0.10)3.28(4.30)1.51(0.47)4.675.334.422.153.370.040.264.311.312.661.155.713.163.966.105.17(0.33)7.532.731.032.49PIB Crescimento8.77%11.30%12.05%13.98%9.04%5.21%9.79%4.61%3.23%6.77%9.11%-4.39%0.58%-3.41%5.27%7.95%7.99%3.60%-0.10%3.28%-4.30%1.51%-0.47%4.67%5.33%4.42%2.15%3.37%0.04%0.26%4.31%1.31%2.66%1.15%5.71%3.16%3.96%6.10%5.17%-0.33%7.53%2.73%1.03%2.49%GDP (current US$)NY.GDP.MKTP.CDBrazilBRA42,327,600,115.9949,204,456,711.6658,539,008,795.7779,279,057,736.10105,136,007,544.77123,709,376,566.89152,678,020,453.11176,171,284,305.29200,800,891,871.96224,969,488,839.36235,024,598,984.12263,561,088,975.61281,682,304,160.26203,304,515,490.69209,023,912,696.76222,942,790,435.32268,137,224,729.72294,084,112,392.66330,397,381,998.49425,595,310,000.00461,951,782,000.00407,337,832,905.41390,566,551,483.76438,299,504,406.26546,233,380,259.66768,951,297,894.98839,682,618,644.91871,200,342,859.69843,827,363,149.36586,862,640,399.44644,701,831,101.39553,582,178,386.19504,221,228,974.04552,469,288,267.79663,760,341,880.34882,185,702,547.251,088,916,819,852.941,366,823,994,658.721,653,508,561,457.081,620,188,056,416.932,143,067,871,759.892,476,694,763,271.162,248,780,912,395.682,245,673,032,353.76GDP (constant 2005 US$)NY.GDP.MKTP.KDBrazilBRA227,932,620,860.38253,677,808,334.57284,253,092,984.07323,987,956,317.42353,283,337,112.54371,686,134,291.64408,075,731,355.80426,872,997,479.70440,668,293,003.67470,485,165,440.60513,350,881,382.96490,797,543,507.32493,645,374,434.05476,813,086,641.91501,937,050,765.46541,820,274,869.26585,102,477,386.33606,163,998,515.25605,541,633,509.73625,400,122,213.14598,507,916,957.98607,557,760,424.63604,720,982,568.73632,932,129,221.51666,695,006,770.17696,141,805,127.04711,108,853,937.27735,108,342,669.03735,369,395,845.95737,248,978,719.80768,993,045,033.59779,104,504,753.06799,797,319,910.46808,968,988,193.01855,192,804,053.44882,185,702,547.25917,079,810,529.24972,979,997,480.941,023,276,242,901.371,019,917,358,691.631,096,754,010,432.531,126,722,915,143.251,138,348,483,288.871,166,716,261,847.79GDP (constant LCU)NY.GDP.MKTP.KNBrazilBRA349,603,192,452.67389,091,176,652.98435,987,566,837.35496,932,924,375.79541,866,197,250.16570,092,418,751.88625,906,804,852.80654,738,063,061.88675,897,295,723.73721,630,432,795.36787,377,893,968.98752,785,570,623.48757,153,575,430.31731,336,202,181.14769,871,353,628.55831,044,267,006.90897,430,535,542.02929,734,709,454.41928,780,125,630.56959,239,087,677.29917,991,806,907.17931,872,462,318.38927,521,410,718.33970,791,684,605.981,022,577,206,717.061,067,742,723,939.711,090,699,192,504.411,127,509,622,912.231,127,910,026,433.711,130,792,931,788.351,179,482,000,000.001,194,990,963,065.221,226,729,615,534.331,240,797,125,922.241,311,695,242,791.831,353,096,966,912.601,406,617,570,950.071,492,357,311,682.431,569,501,723,487.081,564,349,864,844.071,682,201,967,998.911,728,168,292,264.521,745,999,595,754.311,789,510,111,754.85

COMTRADE - SITC 01COMIDA E ANIMAIS VIVOSBEBIDAS E TABACOMATERIAIS CRUS, NO COMESTVEIS, EXCETO COMBUSTVEISCOMBUSTVEIS MINERAIS, LUBRIFICANTES E MATERIAIS RELACIONADOSGORDURAS VEGETAIS E ANIMAISEXPORTAES COMMODITIESEXPORTAES TOTAISPARTICIPAO EXPORTAES BRASILEIRAS DE COMMODITIES/TOTAISEXPORTAES BRASILEIRAS PARA MERCOSUL, NAFTA E ALADIPARTIC EXPORTAES BRASILEIRAS PARA MERCOSUL, NAFTA E ALADI NO TOTALPIB preos correntesEXPORTAES TOTAIS/PIBEXPORTAES COMMODITIES/PIBEXPORTAES PARA MERCOSUL, ALADI E NAFTA/PIBX BRASIL PARA MERCOSUL + ALADIX BRA PARA MERCOSUL + ALADI/PIB BRASILX BRASIL COMMODITIES/X TOTAISX BRASIL PARA MERCOSUL, NAFTA E ALADI/X BRASIL TOTALX BRASIL TOTAIS/PIBX BRASIL COMMODITIES/PIBX BRASIL PARA MERCOSUL, ALADI E NAFTA/PIB1962791,706,816.0024,020,370.00318,880,736.007,431,398.0032,781,084.001,174,820,404.001,214,269,696.000.9675119192198940.76%35.98%8.08%3.29%2.91%1963968,224,832.0024,538,270.00323,232,928.009,418,199.0035,899,752.001,361,313,981.001,406,481,536.000.9678861373199042.21%36.46%6.80%2.87%2.48%1964920,923,904.0029,427,308.00355,560,032.002,664,538.0040,127,504.001,348,703,286.001,429,788,032.000.9432889742199139.20%37.30%7.76%3.04%2.89%1965988,347,328.0026,866,684.00398,429,440.007,746.0046,719,116.001,460,370,314.001,595,477,120.000.9153188696199237.68%41.93%9.21%3.47%3.86%19661,121,704,576.0023,329,000.00428,872,000.00-38,310,928.001,612,216,504.001,741,439,872.000.925795102199336.72%45.58%8.82%3.24%4.02%19671,031,787,712.0022,055,176.00389,180,032.00833,779.0036,978,736.001,480,835,435.001,654,034,944.000.8952866687199440.35%44.32%7.94%3.20%3.52%19681,212,595,072.0020,476,228.00431,009,984.00637,851.0051,881,248.001,716,600,383.001,881,314,304.000.9124474201199541.08%41.68%6.00%2.47%2.50%19691,365,534,574.0028,804,380.00602,662,630.003,331,238.0062,556,306.002,062,889,128.002,310,963,199.000.8926533875199641.38%43.99%5.62%2.32%2.47%19701,589,553,536.0034,441,304.00637,581,056.0015,929,239.0067,486,936.002,344,992,071.002,738,712,832.000.856238757199741.60%44.95%6.02%2.51%2.71%19711,587,359,872.0040,183,712.00637,934,720.0024,015,480.0078,649,200.002,368,142,984.002,903,832,576.000.8155232514199841.54%46.83%6.01%2.50%2.82%19722,197,122,816.0052,198,928.00797,068,672.0039,999,592.00111,450,648.003,197,840,656.003,991,212,800.000.8012202847199941.03%45.89%8.12%3.33%3.73%19733,053,095,680.0065,949,288.001,453,805,440.0083,564,080.00194,277,520.004,850,692,008.006,199,186,432.000.7824723552200036.37%48.91%8.49%3.09%4.15%19743,645,009,152.00107,379,776.001,751,598,080.00110,643,064.00235,065,648.005,849,695,720.007,950,877,696.000.7357295564105,136,007,544.777.56%5.56%200141.28%46.75%10.47%4.32%4.89%19753,551,036,928.00152,664,144.002,097,459,072.00200,730,496.00267,277,184.006,269,167,824.008,669,454,336.000.7231329194123,709,376,566.897.01%5.07%200242.62%43.53%11.92%5.08%5.19%19764,698,487,808.00174,533,376.002,127,557,248.00250,647,376.00360,196,384.007,611,422,192.0010,127,978,496.000.7515243239152,678,020,453.116.63%4.99%200343.99%42.27%13.19%5.80%5.58%19776,084,237,312.00201,152,288.001,999,465,216.00216,577,040.00449,780,160.008,951,212,016.0012,120,164,352.000.7385388313176,171,284,305.296.88%5.08%200442.57%42.84%14.50%6.17%6.21%19785,628,385,280.00254,462,816.001,674,427,520.00196,370,624.00514,011,584.008,267,657,824.0012,658,596,864.000.653125928200,800,891,871.966.30%4.12%200542.91%42.36%13.38%5.74%5.67%19796,001,985,536.00307,268,640.002,147,965,696.00228,051,312.00590,722,048.009,275,993,232.0015,244,350,464.000.6084872723224,969,488,839.366.78%4.12%200644.19%42.44%12.59%5.57%5.35%19807,898,963,456.00308,596,128.003,007,994,368.00357,548,704.00690,515,328.0012,263,617,984.0020,132,055,040.000.6091587749235,024,598,984.128.57%5.22%200746.54%39.91%11.70%5.44%4.67%19817,936,102,912.00385,729,120.003,326,508,544.001,177,580,288.00878,831,104.0013,704,751,968.0023,292,338,176.000.588380259263,561,088,975.618.84%5.20%200850.57%36.65%11.91%6.02%4.36%19826,828,480,512.00486,440,992.002,798,185,472.001,443,523,456.00541,755,520.0012,098,385,952.0020,173,031,424.000.5997306849281,682,304,160.267.16%4.30%200957.01%31.05%9.36%5.33%2.91%19837,436,109,824.00477,112,320.002,955,345,664.001,158,587,520.00597,093,440.0012,624,248,768.0021,897,801,728.000.5765075839203,304,515,490.6910.77%6.21%201061.52%31.70%9.12%5.61%2.89%19848,667,779,072.00475,229,344.003,179,363,584.001,827,657,088.00860,781,440.0015,010,810,528.0027,004,850,176.000.5558560936209,023,912,696.7612.92%7.18%201162.57%30.82%10.24%6.41%3.16%19857,346,642,432.00466,352,832.003,344,890,368.001,629,663,872.00838,018,432.0013,625,567,936.0025,638,731,776.000.5314446929222,942,790,435.3211.50%6.11%201261.51%30.85%10.67%6.56%3.29%19866,763,364,864.00424,416,256.002,713,131,008.00699,365,952.00262,642,336.0010,862,920,416.0022,382,039,040.000.4853409645268,137,224,729.728.35%4.05%201360.45%30.49%10.66%6.45%3.25%19877,004,935,680.00448,789,632.003,321,513,984.00946,312,000.00440,035,648.0012,161,586,944.0026,228,615,168.000.4636762889294,084,112,392.668.92%4.14%19888,166,704,640.00576,515,520.004,076,802,048.00902,940,608.00446,231,712.0014,169,194,528.0033,788,485,632.000.4193497951330,397,381,998.4910.23%4.29%19897,081,968,128.00602,830,720.004,947,680,768.00850,238,912.00530,306,432.0014,013,024,960.0034,377,359,360.000.407623657612,369,883,536.0035.98%425,595,310,000.008.08%3.29%2.91%3,402,986,704.000.80%19906,617,469,952.00673,524,928.004,791,888,896.00678,134,848.00492,558,624.0013,253,577,248.0031,396,964,352.000.422129257411,448,177,584.0036.46%461,951,782,000.006.80%2.87%2.48%2,688,058,480.000.58%19916,206,100,992.00883,438,400.004,530,985,984.00431,540,608.00339,814,784.0012,391,880,768.0031,609,802,752.000.392026513611,789,353,520.0037.30%407,337,832,905.417.76%3.04%2.89%4,179,720,624.001.03%19926,862,797,824.001,045,998,848.004,649,419,776.00574,266,880.00413,869,408.0013,546,352,736.0035,955,376,128.000.376754582915,075,174,992.0041.93%390,566,551,483.769.21%3.47%3.86%6,478,650,160.001.66%19937,433,638,400.00981,679,744.004,734,689,792.00639,245,376.00412,535,136.0014,201,788,448.0038,679,318,528.000.367167493917,629,726,896.0045.58%438,299,504,406.268.82%3.24%4.02%8,148,776,624.001.86%19949,203,444,736.001,123,862,912.005,423,290,880.00784,814,656.00957,031,040.0017,492,444,224.0043,355,009,024.000.403469970819,214,120,384.0044.32%546,233,380,259.667.94%3.20%3.52%8,694,728,064.001.59%19959,974,891,520.001,272,508,032.006,070,386,176.00403,545,568.001,234,210,304.0018,955,541,600.0046,145,355,776.000.410778967519,234,189,728.0041.68%768,951,297,894.986.00%2.47%2.50%9,478,050,272.001.23%199610,737,199,104.001,636,131,072.005,843,676,672.00420,051,808.00880,483,456.0019,517,542,112.0047,162,888,192.000.413832631120,745,580,544.0043.99%839,682,618,644.915.62%2.32%2.47%10,248,137,216.001.22%199711,434,753,024.001,755,403,904.007,557,692,928.00320,098,816.00763,400,448.0021,831,349,120.0052,477,915,136.000.416010221923,587,804,784.0044.95%871,200,342,859.696.02%2.51%2.71%12,767,792,112.001.47%199810,358,028,288.001,624,486,144.007,746,048,512.00365,238,144.00979,791,744.0021,073,592,832.0050,731,610,112.000.415393731623,756,604,192.0046.83%843,827,363,149.366.01%2.50%2.82%12,321,922,592.001.46%199910,384,799,922.001,017,756,919.006,960,432,583.00398,794,536.00796,536,728.0019,558,320,688.0047,663,686,289.000.410340076721,874,620,126.0045.89%586,862,640,399.448.12%3.33%3.73%9,425,865,115.001.61%20009,228,231,123.00911,576,582.008,396,100,104.00899,628,288.00475,808,072.0019,911,344,169.0054,743,553,226.000.363720346926,777,083,680.0048.91%644,701,831,101.398.49%3.09%4.15%11,108,246,784.001.72%200111,653,929,328.001,001,635,736.008,565,783,518.002,076,165,108.00623,871,811.0023,921,385,501.0057,950,912,726.000.412787036127,091,357,028.0046.75%553,582,178,386.1910.47%4.32%4.89%10,265,622,651.001.85%200211,807,826,050.001,041,244,341.008,934,651,523.002,934,438,100.00890,096,074.0025,608,256,088.0060,089,469,780.000.42616878126,159,023,167.0043.53%504,221,228,974.0411.92%5.08%5.19%7,471,128,067.001.48%200314,094,491,337.001,137,036,317.0011,693,503,153.003,784,573,035.001,350,598,430.0032,060,202,272.0072,876,091,111.000.439927578230,806,098,326.0042.27%552,469,288,267.7913.19%5.80%5.58%10,142,033,035.001.84%200418,471,499,886.001,477,048,659.0015,067,241,141.004,397,162,214.001,567,223,539.0040,980,175,439.0096,264,427,266.000.425704246141,239,093,654.0042.84%663,760,341,880.3414.50%6.17%6.21%15,675,648,457.002.36%200521,773,908,935.001,774,564,768.0018,553,540,827.007,064,524,191.001,494,390,153.0050,660,928,874.00118,069,804,976.000.429076078250,009,244,691.0042.36%882,185,702,547.2513.38%5.74%5.67%21,178,138,827.002.40%200625,415,616,815.001,825,511,115.0021,389,793,590.0010,571,929,793.001,405,952,540.0060,608,803,853.00137,147,472,602.000.441924322158,206,708,742.0042.44%1,088,916,819,852.9412.59%5.57%5.35%26,693,348,249.002.45%200731,101,465,841.002,341,210,103.0025,769,746,717.0013,250,943,544.001,937,156,666.0074,400,522,871.00159,856,946,217.000.46541939363,799,399,687.0039.91%1,366,823,994,658.7211.70%5.44%4.67%31,841,726,088.002.33%200837,476,392,430.002,852,651,386.0037,667,308,843.0018,626,517,940.002,961,708,958.0099,584,579,557.00196,909,899,301.000.505736785872,168,676,966.0036.65%1,653,508,561,457.0811.91%6.02%4.36%38,286,462,655.002.32%200935,759,104,524.003,143,998,300.0032,427,823,322.0013,642,958,513.001,450,022,311.0086,423,906,970.00151,594,169,394.000.570100468347,076,625,254.0031.05%1,620,188,056,416.939.36%5.33%2.91%26,943,634,957.001.66%201045,192,730,452.002,855,859,912.0050,799,085,883.0019,821,283,771.001,627,440,617.00120,296,400,635.00195,546,557,878.000.615180353761,984,947,552.0031.70%2,143,067,871,759.899.12%5.61%2.89%36,772,202,256.001.72%201155,367,293,199.003,047,970,452.0071,029,910,259.0026,752,055,319.002,544,821,560.00158,742,050,789.00253,700,424,388.000.625706682178,179,648,401.0030.82%2,476,694,763,271.1610.24%6.41%3.16%45,147,436,275.001.82%201253,970,429,901.003,386,800,520.0061,236,206,999.0026,454,128,036.002,513,779,813.00147,561,345,269.00239,901,873,873.000.615090423874,013,851,797.0030.85%2,248,780,912,395.6810.67%6.56%3.29%40,081,035,538.001.78%201353,981,624,003.003,416,507,170.0067,800,225,166.0017,797,484,821.001,783,515,332.00144,779,356,492.00239,494,917,548.000.604519536373,019,949,907.0030.49%2,245,673,032,353.7610.66%6.45%3.25%41,221,949,942.001.84%EFEITO-PREO NAS EXPORTAESEFEITO QUANTUM (REDUO NO POTENCIAL IMPORTADOR)PARTICIPAO NO PIB=IDEIA DE VULNERABILIDADE DO CRESCIMENTOEFEITO-PREO + EFEITO QUANTUM = GRAU DE CONCENTRAO= FLEXIBILIDADE PARA SE AJUSTAR AOS CHOQUES

Unit: US dollar at current prices (Millions)ReporterFlowIndicatorPartner199920002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013ArgentinaExportsAgricultural productsWorld119681195412199121421513317082191822135128806375112818234650452624315141474ArgentinaExportsFuels and mining productsWorld359154205343536660146887786590708223880377518313818282295907Bolivia, Plurinational State ofExportsAgricultural productsWorld317411429466522650615668791103610821089119916021918Bolivia, Plurinational State ofExportsFuels and mining productsWorld3044625505977901194179627613383509435774866678085478984ChileExportsAgricultural productsWorld591763996966656179369716107311215814436164681436315779189291890720802ChileExportsFuels and mining productsWorld6700831379017274947417979244193911745377374883316045802505104729644985ColombiaExportsAgricultural productsWorld337231062883291730033571459949225858669359715757705966296680ColombiaExportsFuels and mining productsWorld4769569445654372500263868600995511574180471629623178371484026539921EcuadorExportsAgricultural productsWorld257919482219248327982785321539454245541655865965748676188614EcuadorExportsFuels and mining productsWorld1485245219112074261842545914763583931184370329781130511395414318ParaguayExportsAgricultural productsWorld62469982480011341347140715312426401828083996480742556299ParaguayExportsFuels and mining productsWorld441370138612841333151816451905194619122024235923342336PeruExportsAgricultural productsWorld157819111880196220032676316338124191527848605935787476967161PeruExportsFuels and mining productsWorld21562650250927873240541584351317916327163331185517718229212328121756UruguayExportsAgricultural productsWorld134412781132114014061873217025662872411639594828570364226794UruguayExportsFuels and mining productsWorld2346522346143180171231218942268512472Venezuela, Bolivarian Rep. ofExportsAgricultural productsWorld574522495447302329295248198154106148584863Venezuela, Bolivarian Rep. ofExportsFuels and mining productsWorld180703023423414230782381434997490525987764266907295488362920890349452787346TOTAL Exportaes Commodities Amrica do Sul6537500000083503000000766420000007587500000086519000000118617000000153156000000194611000000223502000000271191000000203477000000252975000000328447000000334885000000325430000000PIB Amrica do Sul709897628132.831749061359151.408731404935866495793849505.587530124690539.926646240522532.372790646902222.33941461350279.4591144158131730.341394208628452.21361514882878.931655610265213.931804377047268.771999352998458.982113962295915.2X commodities Amrica do Sul/PIB9.21%11.15%10.48%15.30%16.32%18.35%19.37%20.67%19.53%19.45%14.94%15.28%18.20%16.75%15.39%BrazilExportsAgricultural productsWorld159801546418440191862421630867350483952748287613985765968587864438643590664BrazilExportsFuels and mining productsWorld52876483710082341004313064189582645932183440203266056238777976560058653TOTAL Exportaes Commodities Brasil21,267,000,000.0021,947,000,000.0025,540,000,000.0027,420,000,000.0034,259,000,000.0043,931,000,000.0054,006,000,000.0065,986,000,000.0080,470,000,000.00105,418,000,000.0090,319,000,000.00124,825,000,000.00164,240,000,000.00152,035,000,000.00149,317,000,000.00PIB Brasil586,862,640,399.44644,701,831,101.39553,582,178,386.19504,221,228,974.04552,469,288,267.79663,760,341,880.34882,185,702,547.251,088,916,819,852.941,366,823,994,658.721,653,508,561,457.081,620,188,056,416.932,143,067,871,759.892,476,694,763,271.162,248,780,912,395.682,245,673,032,353.76X commodities/PIB3.62%3.40%4.61%5.44%6.20%6.62%6.12%6.06%5.89%6.38%5.57%5.82%6.63%6.76%6.65%http://stat.wto.org/StatisticalProgram/WSDBViewData.aspx?Language=EPARTICIPAO DAS EXPORTAES DE COMMODITIES SOBRE O PIB199920002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013BRASIL3.62%3.40%4.61%5.44%6.20%6.62%6.12%6.06%5.89%6.38%5.57%5.82%6.63%6.76%6.65%AMRICA DO SUL9.21%11.15%10.48%15.30%16.32%18.35%19.37%20.67%19.53%19.45%14.94%15.28%18.20%16.75%15.39%PARTICIPAO DAS EXPORTAES DE COMMODITIES SOBRE O PIBBRASILAMRICA DO SUL19993.62%9.21%20003.40%11.15%20014.61%10.48%20025.44%15.30%20036.20%16.32%20046.62%18.35%20056.12%19.37%20066.06%20.67%20075.89%19.53%20086.38%19.45%20095.57%14.94%20105.82%15.28%20116.63%18.20%20126.76%16.75%20136.65%15.39%Fonte: OMC e Banco Mundial

IndexIndexIndexIndexIndexIndexIndexIndexIndexIndexUSDUSDUSDUSDUSDUSDUSDUSDUSDUSDUSDUSDUSDUSDUSDUSDUSDUSDUSDUSDUSDUSDUSDUSDUSDUSDUSDUSDUSDUSDUSDUSDUSDUSDUSDUSDUSDUSDUSDUSDUSDUSDUSDUSDUSDUSDUSDUSDUSDUSDUSDUSDUSDPALLFNFPNFUELPFANDBPFOODPBEVEPINDUPRAWMPMETAPNRGPOILAPSPPALUMPBANSOPPBARLPBEEFPCOALAUPCOCOPCOFFOTMPCOFFROBPROILPCOPPPCOTTINDPFISHPGNUTSPHIDEPIORECRPLAMBPLEADPLOGOREPLOGSKPMAIZMTPNGASEUPNGASJPPNGASUSPNICKPOILAPSPPOILBREPOILDUBPOILWTIPOLVOILPORANGPPOILPPORKPPOULTPRICENPQPRUBBPSALMPSAWMALPSAWOREPSHRIPSMEAPSOILPSOYBPSUGAEECPSUGAISAPSUGAUSAPSUNOPTEAPTINPURANPWHEAMTPWOOLCPWOOLFPZINCAll Commodity Price Index, 2005 = 100, includes both Fuel and Non-Fuel Price IndicesNon-Fuel Price Index, 2005 = 100, includes Food and Beverages and Industrial Inputs Price IndicesFood and Beverage Price Index, 2005 = 100, includes Food and Beverage Price IndicesFood Price Index, 2005 = 100, includes Cereal, Vegetable Oils, Meat, Seafood, Sugar, Bananas, and Oranges Price IndicesBeverage Price Index, 2005 = 100, includes Coffee, Tea, and CocoaIndustrial Inputs Price Index, 2005 = 100, includes Agricultural Raw Materials and Metals Price IndicesAgricultural Raw Materials Index, 2005 = 100, includes Timber, Cotton, Wool, Rubber, and Hides Price IndicesMetals Price Index, 2005 = 100, includes Copper, Aluminum, Iron Ore, Tin, Nickel, Zinc, Lead, and Uranium Price IndicesFuel (Energy) Index, 2005 = 100, includes Crude oil (petroleum), Natural Gas, and Coal Price IndicesCrude Oil (petroleum), Price index, 2005 = 100, simple average of three spot prices; Dated Brent, West Texas Intermediate, and the Dubai FatehAluminum, 99.5% minimum purity, LME spot price, CIF UK ports, US$ per metric tonBananas, Central American and Ecuador, FOB U.S. Ports, US$ per metric tonBarley, Canadian no.1 Western Barley, spot price, US$ per metric tonBeef, Australian and New Zealand 85% lean fores, CIF U.S. import price, US cents per poundCoal, Australian thermal coal, 12,000- btu/pound, less than 1% sulfur, 14% ash, FOB Newcastle/Port Kembla, US$ per metric tonCocoa beans, International Cocoa Organization cash price, CIF US and European ports, US$ per metric tonCoffee, Other Mild Arabicas, International Coffee Organization New York cash price, ex-dock New York, US cents per poundCoffee, Robusta, International Coffee Organization New York cash price, ex-dock New York, US cents per poundRapeseed oil, crude, fob Rotterdam, US$ per metric tonCopper, grade A cathode, LME spot price, CIF European ports, US$ per metric tonCotton, Cotton Outlook 'A Index', Middling 1-3/32 inch staple, CIF Liverpool, US cents per poundFishmeal, Peru Fish meal/pellets 65% protein, CIF, US$ per metric tonGroundnuts (peanuts), 40/50 (40 to 50 count per ounce), cif Argentina, US$ per metric tonHides, Heavy native steers, over 53 pounds, wholesale dealer's price, US, Chicago, fob Shipping Point, US cents per poundChina import Iron Ore Fines 62% FE spot (CFR Tianjin port), US dollars per metric tonLamb, frozen carcass Smithfield London, US cents per poundLead, 99.97% pure, LME spot price, CIF European Ports, US$ per metric tonSoft Logs, Average Export price from the U.S. for Douglas Fir, US$ per cubic meterHard Logs, Best quality Malaysian meranti, import price Japan, US$ per cubic meterMaize (corn), U.S. No.2 Yellow, FOB Gulf of Mexico, U.S. price, US$ per metric tonNatural Gas, Russian Natural Gas border price in Germany, US$ per Million Metric British Thermal UnitNatural Gas, Indonesian Liquefied Natural Gas in Japan, US$ per Million Metric British Thermal UnitNatural Gas, Natural Gas spot price at the Henry Hub terminal in Louisiana, US$ per Million Metric British Thermal UnitNickel, melting grade, LME spot price, CIF European ports, US$ per metric tonCrude Oil (petroleum), Price index, 2005 = 100, simple average of three spot prices; Dated Brent, West Texas Intermediate, and the Dubai FatehCrude Oil (petroleum), Dated Brent, light blend 38 API, fob U.K., US$ per barrelOil; Dubai, medium, Fateh 32 API, fob Dubai Crude Oil (petroleum), Dubai Fateh Fateh 32 API, US$ per barrelCrude Oil (petroleum), West Texas Intermediate 40 API, Midland Texas, US$ per barrelOlive Oil, extra virgin less than 1% free fatty acid, ex-tanker price U.K., US$ per metric tonOranges, miscellaneous oranges CIF French import price, US$ per metric tonPalm oil, Malaysia Palm Oil Futures (first contract forward) 4-5 percent FFA, US$ per metric tonSwine (pork), 51-52% lean Hogs, U.S. price, US cents per pound.Poultry (chicken), Whole bird spot price, Ready-to-cook, whole, iced, Georgia docks, US cents per poundRice, 5 percent broken milled white rice, Thailand nominal price quote, US$ per metric tonRubber, Singapore Commodity Exchange, No. 3 Rubber Smoked Sheets, 1st contract, US cents per poundFish (salmon), Farm Bred Norwegian Salmon, export price, US$ per kilogramHard Sawnwood, Dark Red Meranti, select and better quality, C&F U.K port, US$ per cubic meterSoft Sawnwood, average export price of Douglas Fir, U.S. Price, US$ per cubic meterShrimp, No.1 shell-on headless, 26-30 count per pound, Mexican origin, New York port, US$ per kilogramSoybean Meal, Chicago Soybean Meal Futures (first contract forward) Minimum 48 percent protein, US$ per metric tonSoybean Oil, Chicago Soybean Oil Futures (first contract forward) exchange approved grades, US$ per metric tonSoybeans, U.S. soybeans, Chicago Soybean futures contract (first contract forward) No. 2 yellow and par, US$ per metric tonSugar, European import price, CIF Europe, US cents per poundSugar, Free Market, Coffee Sugar and Cocoa Exchange (CSCE) contract no.11 nearest future position, US cents per poundSugar, U.S. import price, contract no.14 nearest futures position, US cents per pound (Footnote: No. 14 revised to No. 16)Sunflower oil, Sunflower Oil, US export price from Gulf of Mexico, US$ per metric tonTea, Mombasa, Kenya, Auction Price, US cents per kilogram, From July 1998,Kenya auctions, Best Pekoe Fannings. Prior, London auctions, c.i.f. U.K. warehousesTin, standard grade, LME spot price, US$ per metric tonUranium, NUEXCO, Restricted Price, Nuexco exchange spot, US$ per poundWheat, No.1 Hard Red Winter, ordinary protein, FOB Gulf of Mexico, US$ per metric tonWool, coarse, 23 micron, Australian Wool Exchange spot quote, US cents per kilogramWool, fine, 19 micron, Australian Wool Exchange spot quote, US cents per kilogramZinc, high grade 98% pure, US$ per metric tonData TypeIndex NumberIndex NumberIndex NumberIndex NumberIndex NumberIndex NumberIndex NumberIndex NumberIndex NumberIndex NumberUS Dollars per Metric TonUS Dollars per Metric TonUS Dollars per Metric TonUS cents per PoundUS Dollars per Metric TonUS Dollars per Metric TonUS cents per PoundUS cents per PoundUS Dollars per Metric TonUS Dollars per Metric TonIndex NumberUS Dollars per Metric TonUS Dollars per Metric TonUS cents per PoundUS Dollars per Metric TonUS cents per PoundUS Dollars per Metric TonUS Dollars per Cubic MeterUS Dollars per Cubic MeterUS Dollars per Metric TonUS Dollars per Thousand Cubic MetersUS Dollars per Cubic MeterUS Dollars per Thousand Cubic MetersUS Dollars per Metric TonUS Dollars per BarrelUS Dollars per BarrelUS Dollars per BarrelUS Dollars per BarrelUS Dollars per Metric TonUS Dollars per Metric TonUS Dollars per Metric TonUS cents per PoundUS cents per PoundUS Dollars per Metric TonUS cents per PoundUS Dollars per KilogramUS Dollars per Metric TonUS Dollars per Metric TonUS Dollars per PoundUS Dollars per Metric TonUS Dollars per Metric TonUS Dollars per Metric TonUS cents per PoundUS cents per PoundUS cents per PoundUS Dollars per Metric TonUS Cents per KilogramUS Dollars per Metric TonUS Dollars per PoundUS Dollars per Metric TonUS Cents per KilogramUS Cents per KilogramUS Dollars per Metric TonScaleNoneNoneNoneNoneNoneNoneNoneNoneNoneNoneNoneNoneNoneNoneNoneNoneNoneNoneNoneNoneNoneNoneNoneNoneNoneNoneNoneNoneNoneNoneThousandsNoneNoneNoneNoneNoneNoneNoneNoneNoneNoneNoneNoneNoneNoneNoneNoneNoneNoneNoneNoneNoneNoneNoneNoneNoneNoneNoneNoneNoneNoneNoneNoneSeries_CodePALLFNF_IndexPNFUEL_IndexPFANDB_IndexPFOOD_IndexPBEVE_IndexPINDU_IndexPRAWM_IndexPMETA_IndexPNRG_IndexPOILAPSP_IndexPALUM_USDPBANSOP_USDPBARL_USDPBEEF_USDPCOALAU_USDPCOCO_USDPCOFFOTM_USDPCOFFROB_USDPROIL_USDPCOPP_USDPCOTTIND_USDPFISH_USDPGNUTS_USDPHIDE_USDPIORECR_USDPLAMB_USDPLEAD_USDPLOGORE_USDPLOGSK_USDPMAIZMT_USDPNGASEU_USDPNGASJP_USDPNGASUS_USDPNICK_USDPOILAPSP_USDPOILBRE_USDPOILDUB_USDPOILWTI_USDPOLVOIL_USDPORANG_USDPPOIL_USDPPORK_USDPPOULT_USDPRICENPQ_USDPRUBB_USDPSALM_USDPSAWMAL_USDPSAWORE_USDPSHRI_USDPSMEA_USDPSOIL_USDPSOYB_USDPSUGAEEC_USDPSUGAISA_USDPSUGAUSA_USDPSUNO_USDPTEA_USDPTIN_USDPURAN_USDPWHEAMT_USDPWOOLC_USDPWOOLF_USDPZINC_USDDescriptionsAll Commodity Price Index, 2005 = 100, includes both Fuel and Non-Fuel Price IndicesNon-Fuel Price Index, 2005 = 100, includes Food and Beverages and Industrial Inputs Price IndicesFood and Beverage Price Index, 2005 = 100, includes Food and Beverage Price IndicesFood Price Index, 2005 = 100, includes Cereal, Vegetable Oils, Meat, Seafood, Sugar, Bananas, and Oranges Price IndicesBeverage Price Index, 2005 = 100, includes Coffee, Tea, and CocoaIndustrial Inputs Price Index, 2005 = 100, includes Agricultural Raw Materials and Metals Price IndicesAgricultural Raw Materials Index, 2005 = 100, includes Timber, Cotton, Wool, Rubber, and Hides Price IndicesMetals Price Index, 2005 = 100, includes Copper, Aluminum, Iron Ore, Tin, Nickel, Zinc, Lead, and Uranium Price IndicesFuel (Energy) Index, 2005 = 100, includes Crude oil (petroleum), Natural Gas, and Coal Price IndicesCrude Oil (petroleum), Price index, 2005 = 100, simple average of three spot prices; Dated Brent, West Texas Intermediate, and the Dubai FatehAluminum, 99.5% minimum purity, LME spot price, CIF UK ports, US$ per metric tonBananas, Central American and Ecuador, FOB U.S. Ports, US$ per metric tonBarley, Canadian no.1 Western Barley, spot price, US$ per metric tonBeef, Australian and New Zealand 85% lean fores, CIF U.S. import price, US cents per poundCoal, Australian thermal coal, 12,000- btu/pound, less than 1% sulfur, 14% ash, FOB Newcastle/Port Kembla, US$ per metric tonCocoa beans, International Cocoa Organization cash price, CIF US and European ports, US$ per metric tonCoffee, Other Mild Arabicas, International Coffee Organization New York cash price, ex-dock New York, US cents per poundCoffee, Robusta, International Coffee Organization New York cash price, ex-dock New York, US cents per poundRapeseed oil, crude, fob Rotterdam, US$ per metric tonCopper, grade A cathode, LME spot price, CIF European ports, US$ per metric tonCotton, Cotton Outlook 'A Index', Middling 1-3/32 inch staple, CIF Liverpool, US cents per poundFishmeal, Peru Fish meal/pellets 65% protein, CIF, US$ per metric tonGroundnuts (peanuts), 40/50 (40 to 50 count per ounce), cif Argentina, US$ per metric tonHides, Heavy native steers, over 53 pounds, wholesale dealer's price, US, Chicago, fob Shipping Point, US cents per poundChina import Iron Ore Fines 62% FE spot (CFR Tianjin port), US dollars per metric tonLamb, frozen carcass Smithfield London, US cents per poundLead, 99.97% pure, LME spot price, CIF European Ports, US$ per metric tonSoft Logs, Average Export price from the U.S. for Douglas Fir, US$ per cubic meterHard Logs, Best quality Malaysian meranti, import price Japan, US$ per cubic meterMaize (corn), U.S. No.2 Yellow, FOB Gulf of Mexico, U.S. price, US$ per metric tonNatural Gas, Russian Natural Gas border price in Germany, US$ per Million Metric British Thermal UnitNatural Gas, Indonesian Liquefied Natural Gas in Japan, US$ per Million Metric British Thermal UnitNatural Gas, Natural Gas spot price at the Henry Hub terminal in Louisiana, US$ per Million Metric British Thermal UnitNickel, melting grade, LME spot price, CIF European ports, US$ per metric tonCrude Oil (petroleum), Price index, 2005 = 100, simple average of three spot prices; Dated Brent, West Texas Intermediate, and the Dubai FatehCrude Oil (petroleum), Dated Brent, light blend 38 API, fob U.K., US$ per barrelOil; Dubai, medium, Fateh 32 API, fob Dubai Crude Oil (petroleum), Dubai Fateh Fateh 32 API, US$ per barrelCrude Oil (petroleum), West Texas Intermediate 40 API, Midland Texas, US$ per barrelOlive Oil, extra virgin less than 1% free fatty acid, ex-tanker price U.K., US$ per metric tonOranges, miscellaneous oranges CIF French import price, US$ per metric tonPalm oil, Malaysia Palm Oil Futures (first contract forward) 4-5 percent FFA, US$ per metric tonSwine (pork), 51-52% lean Hogs, U.S. price, US cents per pound.Poultry (chicken), Whole bird spot price, Ready-to-cook, whole, iced, Georgia docks, US cents per poundRice, 5 percent broken milled white rice, Thailand nominal price quote, US$ per metric tonRubber, Singapore Commodity Exchange, No. 3 Rubber Smoked Sheets, 1st contract, US cents per poundFish (salmon), Farm Bred Norwegian Salmon, export price, US$ per kilogramHard Sawnwood, Dark Red Meranti, select and better quality, C&F U.K port, US$ per cubic meterSoft Sawnwood, average export price of Douglas Fir, U.S. Price, US$ per cubic meterShrimp, No.1 shell-on headless, 26-30 count per pound, Mexican origin, New York port, US$ per kilogramSoybean Meal, Chicago Soybean Meal Futures (first contract forward) Minimum 48 percent protein, US$ per metric tonSoybean Oil, Chicago Soybean Oil Futures (first contract forward) exchange approved grades, US$ per metric tonSoybeans, U.S. soybeans, Chicago Soybean futures contract (first contract forward) No. 2 yellow and par, US$ per metric tonSugar, European import price, CIF Europe, US cents per poundSugar, Free Market, Coffee Sugar and Cocoa Exchange (CSCE) contract no.11 nearest future position, US cents per poundSugar, U.S. import price, contract no.14 nearest futures position, US cents per pound (Footnote: No. 14 revised to No. 16)Sunflower oil, Sunflower Oil, US export price from Gulf of Mexico, US$ per metric tonTea, Mombasa, Kenya, Auction Price, US cents per kilogram, From July 1998,Kenya auctions, Best Pekoe Fannings. Prior, London auctions, c.i.f. U.K. warehousesTin, standard grade, LME spot price, US$ per metric tonUranium, NUEXCO, Restricted Price, Nuexco exchange spot, US$ per poundWheat, No.1 Hard Red Winter, ordinary protein, FOB Gulf of Mexico, US$ per metric tonWool, coarse, 23 micron, Australian Wool Exchange spot quote, US cents per kilogramWool, fine, 19 micron, Australian Wool Exchange spot quote, US cents per kilogramZinc, high grade 98% pure, US$ per metric 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O impacto dos termos de troca no crescimento econômico - Clarissa Black

Economy & Finance

Transcript of O impacto dos termos de troca no crescimento econômico - Clarissa Black