Corporate Presentation CPFL Energia - Janeiro 2016
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Transcript of Corporate Presentation CPFL Energia - Janeiro 2016
March, 2013
Corporate
Presentation
2016
1
221) On December 31,2015; 2) Considering proportional consolidation of generation assets (+) Regulatory assets and liabilities (-) Non-recurring effects; 3) Considering CPFL’s stake on each generation project
Company Overview
Largest integrated private player in the Brazilian electricity sector
Market Cap of R$ 15 billion1, listed on BM&FBovespa –Novo Mercado and on NYSE (ADR Level III)
3Q15 LTM EBITDA of R$ 4.0 billion2 and 3Q15 LTM Net Income of R$ 1.2 billion2
Presence concentrated in the most developed regionsof Brazil
Leadership in distribution through 8 subsidiaries and a 12,4% market share
3rd largest private generator with 3,129MW3 of installed capacity, of which 94% from renewable source
Leader in Renewable Energy in Brazil with the largest capacity in operation
One of the most profitable operations of energy Trading and a world-class provider of Value-Added Services
Power Plants
331) Furnas has the concession for HPP Serra da Mesa. CPFL has the contractual right of 51.54% of the plant’s assured energy, according to the 30-year leasing contract, maturing in 2028; 2) Adjusted by regulatory assets & liabilities and non-recurring items; does not consider the holding company; 3) Commercialization in the free market and Services.
Company Profile
Lajeado HPP
5.94%
Nect Serviços
CPFL CentraisGeradoras
DISTRIBUTION 100%
SERVICES100%
RENEWABLES51.61%
65% 48.72% 51%
25.01%
Serra da Mesa HPP
51.54%153.34%
GENERATION100%
TRADING100%
Free Float
15.1%
31.9%23.6% 29.4%
Trading3
173
Conventional Generation
1,388
CPFL Energia – Consolidated2| 4,033
Distribution1,99349%
34%
4%
LTM 3Q15 Adj. EBITDA Breakdown2 | R$ million
13%Renewable Generation
509
Concession’s expiration
2027 2028 2032 2035 2036
CPFL Paulista
CPFL Piratininga
HPP Luis Eduardo
Magalhães
HPP Campos Novos
HPP Foz do Chapecó
RGEHPP Serra da
Mesa1HPP Barra
Grande
19 SHPPs(CPFL
Renováveis)
HPP Castro Alves
HPP Monte Claro
HPP 14 de Julho
2045
CPFL Santa Cruz
CPFL Jaguari
CPFL Sul Paulista
CPFL Leste Paulista
CPFL Mococa
Distribution Segment
• 7.7 million customers
• 561 municipalities
• Footprint: most developed regions
• High potential in per capita consumption
• Market size: 58.4 TWh/year
1st Market share: 12,4%
Industrial
Commercial
Residential
Others
1) Source: EPE.4
28% 40%
17%
15%
5 small discos
49%
22%
8%
21%RGE
CPFL Piratininga
LTM 3Q15 Adj. EBITDA Breakdown
R$ million
CPFL Paulista
Tariff review Sales CAGR by Region1 |
LTM 3Q10 - LTM 3Q154th Tariff Review Cycle
CPFL Piratininga Oct-15
CPFL Santa Cruz
Mar-16
CPFL Leste Paulista
CPFL Jaguari
CPFL Sul Paulista
CPFL Mococa
CPFL Paulista Apr-18
RGE Jun-18
LTM 3Q15 Sales Breakdown
GWh
55
Generation Segment
• 3,129 MW of installed capacity
• 1,538 MWavg of Physical Guarantee
• Long Term Concessions
• Brazil’s largest Portfolio in Alternative Energy
• Renewable Sources: 94%
3rd Market share: 2.2%
Installed Capacity1 (MW) | Estimated Growth
1) Equivalent stake for project
Portfolio by source | 2020(e)
34%
66 1) Amounts in currency Dec/14. PMSO excludes fuel cost at EPASA.
Conventional Generation Segment
Sector Average
142.7 150.2185.7 188.1
219.4255.0
205.0
-30%
Genco 1 Genco 2 Genco 3 Genco 4 Genco 5
73.3 72.290.0
103.6 108.8 118.594.4
Sector Average
Genco 1 Genco 2 Genco 3 Genco 4 Genco 5
-22%
PMSO1 / Physical Guarantee (R$/MWavg) PMSO1 / Installed Capacity (R$ MW)
Renewable Generation Segment1,2 | Installed Capacity (MW)
7 1) Source: CPFL, ANEEL and companies websites - Updated through Nov/2015; 2) Considering players with at least 1% of market share.
399519
14834
70 75 42
251
19
1,032
150
285365 385 375 161
280294
46
200
370
940
175
532 13113
1
1 3
Small hydro (SHPP)
Biomass
Solar
Wind
333
2,135
Under construction
1,802
940844
532400
375385 366336355
232297
434
Biomass
Solar
Wind
Small hydro (SHPP)
Renewable Generation Segment | Portfolio and Pipeline
8
3,453MW
Ready to sell energy in the
next 12 months
SolarBiomassWindHydro
Evolution of Installed Capacity (MW)
Visible growth through development of high quality pipeline
1,039MW of projects with a highly confident execution profile, ready to sell energy in the next 12 months
Pipeline of projects in three of the four renewable sources
2011 2013 InstalledCapacity
UnderConstruction
ContractedAssets
HighlyConfident
Probably Possible OverallPotential
6521,283
1,8022,135
3331,039
1,514
900
5,588
(MW) (MWavg)
CPFL Renováveis (Aug-11) 652 314
2Q12 25 8 Free market -
2Q12 70 24 Reserve auction Revenue(e): R$ 20 million/year
2Q12 158 63 PROINFA Acquisition price: R$ 1,062 million
3Q12 188 76 Reserve auction Revenue(e): R$ 115 million/year
4Q12 40 11 Auction and free market Acquisition price: R$ 111.5 million
4Q12 1 1 Free market -
4Q12 20 11 Alt. Sources auction Revenue(e): R$ 112 million/year
3Q13 50 18 Free market Revenue(e): R$ 22.6 million/year
4Q13 30 15 Reserve auction Revenue(e): R$ 18.5 million/year
4Q13 50 18 Free market Revenue(e): R$ 22.6 million/year
1Q14 14 5 PROINFA Acquisition price: R$ 103.4 million
1Q14 120 53 Alt. Sources auction Revenue(e): R$ 76.7 million/year
2Q14 78 38 Alt. Sources auction Revenue(e): R$ 52.6 million/year
3Q14 278 167 - Partnership with Dobrevê
2Q15 29 15 Reserve Auction Revenue(e): R$ 17.9 million/year
Current portfolio (Jan-16) 1,802 837
9
CPFL Renováveis | Track record
10
CPFL Renováveis | Greenfield projects
Commercial Start-up 2016-2020(e)
333 MW of installed capacity
183 average-MW of Physical Guarantee
Campo dos Ventos Wind Farms e São Benedito Wind Farms
Mata Velha SHPPPedra Cheirosa Wind
FarmsBoa Vista II SHPP
Commercial Start-up 20161 20161 20182 2020
Installed Capacity 231.0 MW 24.0 MW 51.3 MW 26.5 MW
Physical Guarantee 129.2 average-MW3 13.1 average-MW 26.1 average-MW3 14.8 average-MW
PPA4 Free market - 20 years16th LEN 20135
R$ 143.30/MWhuntil 2047
18th LEN 2014R$ 133.00/MWh
until 2037
21st LEN 2015R$ 207.64/MWh
until 2049
FinancingBNDES
(under analysis)BNDES
(in negotiation)BNDES
(to be structured)BNDES
(to be structured)
1) Gradual commercial operation from 2Q16; 2) Gradual commercial operation from 1H18; 3) Physical Guarantee calculated in the P90; 4) Constant Currency (jun/15); 5) With the anticipation of work, a bilateral contract (Free Market) will run between 2016 and 2018, when the supply of LEN 2013 starts.
Foundation: 2006
Offers a wide range of value-added services:
engineering projects for transmission and distribution grids
equipment maintenance and recovery
self-generation grids
collection of utilities’ bills through an established authorized network
1111
Incorporation: 2008
Provision of customer relationship services to utility companies:
call center
face-to-face service
back office
credit recovery
ombudsman
help desk and sales
CPFL Energia – Trading & Services
, of which 182 special
customers (CAGR 2010-15: 31.5%)
current = 1.9 GWavg |
current = 9.6 GWavg |
• New activities: and
2015- 197 transmission contracts
- 12 construction sites2015
- 11.2 million phone calls
- 2.4 million electronic phone calls
CPFL Energia Strategy
12
• Be a benchmark in sustainability
• Maintain the highest levels of Corporate Governance
• People management, promoting workplace safety and respect to diversity
• Be the leader in operating efficiency by investing in technology, automation and innovation
• Act on both institutional and regulatory fronts to ensure sustainability of the sector
• Focus on technical services, through technology and productivity
• Mitigate risks of services by hiring qualified labor and suppliers
• Maximize value in the Free Market and be recognized for its profitability
• Expand the presence in retail through acommercial front and customer energy management
• Add new products to energy Commercialization
• Grow while creating value through acquisitions and new projects
• Be the leader in operating efficiency in the Renewable Energy segment
• Operating Efficiency with Innovation & Technology
• Act in both institutional and regulatory levels
• Strategic Growth
Distribution Generation Renewable Commercialization Services
Dividends: CPFL has presented payout ratio close to 100% since its IPO, reaching the mark of R$ 11.6 billion distributed4
TSR5: -5.7%
13131) Considering proportional consolidation of generation assets (+) Regulatory assets and liabilities (-) Non-recurring effects (-) Construction revenue/cost. Disregard intercompany transactions. 2) Considering Holding’s EBITDA. 3) Including holding result and amortization of merged goodwill. 4) For 2014, a capital increase through stock dividend was approved in AGM; 5)TSR from Sep-10 to Sep-15 = Dividends 7.2% (+) Stock performance -12.9% = -5.7%.
NET REVENUE1 10,921 11,413 13,235 13,681 15,687 18,911 11.6% 20.6%
Distribution 9,432 9,794 10,830 10,716 12,566 15,446 10.4% 22.9%
Generation 1,047 1,351 1,964 2,356 3,164 2,859 22.3% -9.6%
Trading 1,909 1,699 2,031 2,031 2,497 2,408 4.8% -3.6%
EBITDA2 3,260 3,649 4,343 3,908 3,916 4,033 4.3% 3.0%
Distribution 2,267 2,351 2,655 2,211 1,984 1,993 -2.5% 0.5%
Generation 750 1,060 1,427 1,643 1,695 1,898 20.4% 12.0%
Trading 303 278 287 74 263 173 -10.6% -34.2%
NET INCOME3 1,526 1,503 1,617 1,304 1,159 1,157 -5.4% -0.1%
Distribution 1,309 1,235 1,356 1,047 823 864 -8.0% 5.0%
Generation 244 721 373 419 306 361 8.2% 18.0%
Trading 201 164 127 52 168 129 -8.5% -23.2%
Key Financial Figures | R$ million
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 LTM3Q15CAGR 2010-
LTM3Q15LTM3Q15-
2014
TOTAL 52.4 54.6 56.7 58.5 60.0 58.4 2.2% -2.7%
Captive 39.3 39.9 40.7 41.1 43.2 42.2 1.5% -2.3%
TUSD 13.1 14.7 16.0 17.3 16.8 16.2 4.3% -3.7%
Energy Sales - Distribution | TWh
CPFL Energia | Operacional and Financial figures
14
Capex(e) 2015-2019 | R$ Million
1) Current investment plan released in 4Q14 Earnings Release on March 26, 2015. 2) Current currency. Considers 100% interest on CPFL Renováveis and Ceran (IFRS); 3) Considers proportional stake in the generation projects; 4) Disregard investments in Special Obligations (among other items financed by consumers); 5) Conventional + Renewable.
Total:R$ 8,962 million2 (IFRS)R$ 7,877 million3 (Pro-forma)
Distribution4: R$ 6,238 million
Generation5:R$ 2,328 million (IFRS)R$ 1,135 million (Pro-forma)
Commercialization and Services:R$ 396 million
702 8821.390 1.385 1.299 1.282
265592
1.196
296113 13194
83
88
6477 84
2014 actual(cash flow)
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
702 8821.390 1.385 1.299 1.282172
324
623161 62 74
94
83
88
64 77 84
1,062
1,557
2,674
1,7451,489 1,497
IFRS
Pro
-form
a
968
1,289
2,101
1,6101,438 1,440
15
CPFL Energia | Indebtedness and leverage
1) Financial covenants criteria. 2) LTM recurring EBITDA; 3) Financial debt (+) private pension fund (-) hedge.
Adjusted net debt1/Adjusted EBITDA2
4,377 3,399 3,736 3,835 3,755 3,971Adjusted EBITDA1,2
R$ million
5,622
4,8084,8014,9994,134
2,616
+17%
+26%
+13%
Adjusted with CVA in cash balance
CPFL Piratininga starts to receive R$ 475 million in CVAs from October 2015
Leverage1 | R$ billion
Evolution of Cash Balance and CVA | R$ billion
16
CPFL Energia | Indebtedness and leverage
1) Adjusted by the proportional consolidation since 2012; 2) Financial debt (+) private pension fund (-) hedge; 3) Considers Debt Principal, including hedge; 2) 4) Covenants Criteria; 5) Amortization from October-2016.
Cash coverage:1.70x short-term
amortization (12M))
Average tenor: 3.51 years
Short-term (12M): 12.4% of total
CDI
Prefixed (PSI)
IGP
TJLP
Nominal
Real
5
Debt Amortization Schedule3,4 | Sep-15 | R$ Million
Gross Debt Cost1,2 | LTM Gross debt breakdown by indexer | 3Q152,4
Annex
Energy sector in Brazil: business segments
Consumers
1) Source: ANEEL – November, 2015; 2) Source: EPE and CCEE; 3) Source: ONS 4) Source: Ministry of Mines and Energy (MME) – Sep-15; 4) Sep-15
Free Market
Captive Market
78.6 million consumers
1,793 Consumers4
117 TWh of billed energy2
78.6 million Consumers353 TWh of billed energy2
Transmission
• 104 Companies³
• 126,773 km of transmission lines4
• Eletrobrás: ~55% of total assets
Distribution
• 63 Companies
• 469 TWh of billed energy2
• Top 5: ~46% of the market
Competitive Power Supply
Generation
• 139 GW of installed capacity1
• 79.5% Renewable energy1
• Eletrobrás: ~29% of total assets
18
Brazilian electricity matrix
1) Source: 10-year Energy Plan 2024; 2) Others: considers coal, oil, diesel and process gas; 3) Abeeólica.
Brazil’s electricity matrix is predominantly renewable, with hydro installed capacity totaling 68% of the
total supply, while biomass, wind, SHPPs and solar account for 16%. In the next years, it is expected that
other sources will grow, mainly wind and solar, reaching 12% and 3% respectively of total installed
capacity in 2024.
Brazilian Electricity Matrix
133 GW 206 GW
2014 2024
19
Wind Potential: 350GW3
Installed capacity: 3.8GW1%
SHPP Potential: 17.5GW Installed capacity: 5.0GW
29%
Biomass Potential: 17.2GW Installed capacity: 9.3GW
54%
Potential Realized
Potential to be Explored in Brazil
Evolution of Installed Capacity (GW) 2014-20241
20
Smart distribution was a key theme addressed by the Project
"Energy in the City of the Future"
• The smart grid technology will provide increased network monitoring capabilities and greater quality and commercial opportunities
• Smart Grids will boost the amount of information available, which will be used in innovative ways to optimize operations and services
Smart Grid | The Future of Distribution
Vision of the Future of Distribution is directly associated with Smart Grids:
21
Emergency Dispatch
The past:
The future:
System interventionor self-healing
Automatic failure detection Real-time informationfor customers
Intelligent meter
• Reduced unnecessary travel;
• Shorter average service;
• Reduced SAIDI (optimization of possibilities of network maneuvering);
• Greater customer satisfaction (real-time information);
• Optimization of service to nearly 600,000 tickets every year.
Gains
22
Reading and Delivery
Reading Energy bill Delivering the bill Payment
Making the paymentSmart Metering Center and/or automatized
software
Data networkIntelligent meters
Bill via e-mailand/or app
(cons. manag.)
The past:
The future:
• Greater employee safety (reduced travel and exposure to risk)
• Data gathering from load curve and customer consumption profile;
• More sustainable process (reduced use of paper).
Gains
Sustainability at CPFL: Incorporation of strategic guidelines
23
Energy is essential for
the welfare of people
and the development
of society.
We believe that
producing and using
energy in a
sustainable manner
is vital for the future of
humanity.
Vision
To provide
sustainable energy
solutions with
competitiveness and
excellence, acting in a
manner that is
integrated with the
community.
Mission
• Value Creation
Commitment
• Safety and Quality of
Life
• Austerity
• Sustainability
• Trust and Respect
• Overcoming
• Entrepreneurship
Principles
CPFL Energia is the
largest private group in
the Brazilian electricity
sector which, through
innovative strategies
and talented
professionals, offers
sustainable energy
solutions.
Positioning
CPFL Energia built its Sustainability Platform in 2013 in order to define the issues material to its growth strategy and the development of goals and indicators related to each of these issues at each business unit. The Platform consolidation process covered the company as a whole, meaning that sustainability is not just
an element of our principles and values but included in strategic planning.
Sustainability Platform
Indicators 2014 x 2013 x 2012
1) Index obtained through the ABRADEE survey (value = average value between the distributors CPFL Paulista, CPFL Piratininga, RGE, CPFL Santa Cruz and CPFL LestePaulista). 2) FR - represents the number of accidents involving time off work in relation to one million man hours worked (106 x total number of accidents involving time off work divided by total Man Hours Worked). 3) DS - represents the seriousness of the injury, i.e. the “non-productive time” per one million man hours worked (106 x total number of days lost + total number) of days debited divided by the total man hours
Scope 1 and 2 Emissions / Net Energy Generated (tCO2e/MWh) - EN15|EN16|EN17 0.08 0.08
Reformed meters and transformers (%) - EN2 19 & 37 14 & 23
Strategic suppliers assessed for sustainability (%) - G4-12 22.2 17.7
Number of strategic suppliers - G4-12 139 124
Energy saved by energy efficiency projects (GWh) - EU7 | EU23 36.7 33.3
Perceived Quality Satisfaction Index - ABRADEE (%)¹ 89.4 88.2
Reverse chain - lighting, wooden cross arms, poles, transformers (un) - EN1 367.3 463.8
Investments in the Environment (R$ million) - EN31 96.0 93.0
Contributions to society – without mandatory investments (R$ million) - EC1 22.0 23.4
Investments in energy efficiency projects for low-income consumers (R$ million) - EN31 35.5 36.3
Severity Degree (DS)³ - LA6 1,073 415
Frequency Rate (FR)² - LA6 1.77 1.80
24
87.08
125
21 & 29
0.09
89.5
354.8
34.2
3.02
414
39.0
17.0
25.6
1) Data for 2014. 2015 data will be available in Feb/2016.23
Actions
Raising awarenessabout the strategic relevance of the
Sustainability Platform
Establishing formal sustainability
targets for internal leaderships
Results - 2015
Integrated platform based on the
strategic plan, with 6 themes, 17 leverages, 63 indicators and short
and medium-term goals
Sustainability goals published on CPFL's
website (of all indicators, 82.5% have
been achieved1)
Officers and managers have
sustainability goals
Recognition
WelfareUntil 1999
Social Responsibility2000 to 2006
Corporate SustainabilityAdded to business from 2007
Level of incorporationof the theme Sustainability
Increasingly more comprehensive concept of responsibility
CPFL Energia | Sustainability
• Component of ISE since its first edition, in 2005
• 40 companies of 19 industries - Market cap of R$ 1.2 trillion
• Component of DJSI Emerging Markets for the fourth consecutive year
• 86 companies achieved the Dow Jones requirements (17 Brazilian, of which 3 are in the power industry)
• Component of MSCI for the second consecutive year
• Formed by companies with the highest ESG standards in their industries
• Transparent reporting of greenhouse gas emissions since 2006
• Best company in Management of Water Resources in Latin America - 2015