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    2011 U.S. debt ceiling crisis 1

    2011 U.S. debt ceiling crisis

    The 2011 United States debt ceiling crisis concerns the ongoing debate over whether the debt ceiling of the United

    States should be increased and, if so, the amount of the extension. Also under discussion are: what future spending

    policies and/or tax code policies should be associated with the action to increase the debt ceiling[1]

    and what

    structural changes for future budgeting processes if any (for example, spending caps and/or a balanced budget

    amendment to the U.S. Constitution) should be associated with that action.[2]

    The situation is regarded as a crisis due

    to the potential for a major worsening of the economic status of the U.S. in case of government default.

    The debate is contentious due to the implications of not raising the debt ceiling, political ideologies[3]

    , long-term

    debt concerns, and competing plans to address these concerns.[4]

    Background

    U.S. debt from 1940 to 2010. Red lines indicate the Debt Held by the Public (net

    public debt) and black lines indicate the Total Public Debt Outstanding (gross

    public debt), the difference being that the gross debt includes funds held by the

    government (e.g. the Social Security Trust Fund). The second panel shows the two debt

    figures as a percentage of U.S. GDP (dollar value of U.S. economic production for that

    year). Data from the President's proposed budget (Historical Tables) and other tables

    listed when you click on the figure. The top panel is deflated so every year is in 2010

    dollars.

    Current situation

    Federal law currently sets the debt

    ceiling at $14.3 trillion.[5]

    According to

    the Treasury, the debt ceiling was

    reached on May 16, at which time the

    Treasury began extraordinary measures

    to temporarily finance the government

    (see Debt issuance suspension period and

    alternate methods of funding). The

    Treasury estimated that these measures

    would enable government payments to

    continue until August 2, 2011, after

    which Treasury would not be able to

    fulfill all US obligations.[6]

    As of May 2011, approximately 40

    percent of US government spending

    relied on borrowed money.[7]

    Raising the

    debt ceiling would allow the Federal

    Government to continue to borrow

    money to support current spending

    levels. If the debt ceiling is not raised,

    the Federal Government would have to

    cut spending immediately by 40 percent,

    affecting many daily operations of the

    government.[7]

    The Treasury would

    determine what items would be paid.[8]

    If

    the interest payments on the national

    debt are not made, the United States

    would be in default, potentially causing

    catastrophic economic consequences for the US and the wider world as well. (Effects outside the US are anticipated

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    2011 U.S. debt ceiling crisis 2

    because the United States has a very high gross domestic product with the world's largest single national economy;

    because the US is a major trading partner to many countries, including other major world powers who hold its debt

    and could demand repayment; and because spending and investment power enable the US to act as a mediator and

    economic model.)

    According to the US Treasury, "failing to increase the debt limit would... cause the government to default on its legal

    obligationsan unprecedented event in American history".

    [9]

    These legal obligations include paying Social Securityand Medicare benefits, military salaries, interest on the debt and many other items. If the debt ceiling is not raised,

    then the Treasury will prioritize the items to pay with its ongoing revenue stream. Treasury could choose to pay

    interest so that the US does not default on its sovereign debt.[10]

    What is the debt ceiling?

    If the Treasury does not collect enough in revenue to pay for expenditures by the Federal Government, it may be

    authorized by Congress to issue debt (in other words, borrow money) to pay for the federal budget deficit. Prior to

    1917, the Congress had to authorize each round of borrowing directly. In 1917, in order to provide more flexibility to

    finance the United States' involvement in World War I, the Congress instituted the concept of "debt ceiling". Since

    then, the Treasury can only borrow money as long as the total debt (excepting some small special classes) does not

    exceed a ceiling stated by law. To change the debt ceiling, Congress must enact specific legislation and the President

    must sign it into law.

    The process of setting the debt ceiling is separate and distinct from the regular process of financing government

    operations, and raising the debt ceiling neither directly increases nor decreases the budget deficit. The US

    government passes a federal budget every year. This budget details projected tax collections and outlays and,

    therefore, the amount of borrowing the government would have to do in that fiscal year. A vote to increase the debt

    ceiling is, therefore, usually seen as a formality, needed to continue spending that has already been approved

    previously by the Congress and the President. The Government Accountability Office explains, "the debt limit does

    not control or limit the ability of the federal government to run deficits or incur obligations. Rather, it is a limit on

    the ability to pay obligations already incurred."[11] The apparent redundancy of the debt ceiling has led to

    suggestions that it should be abolished altogether.[12]

    [13]

    The United States has had public debt since its inception. Debts incurred during the American Revolutionary War

    and under the Articles of Confederation led to the first yearly report on the amount of the debt ($75,463,476.52 on

    January 1, 1791). Every President since Harry Truman has added to the National Debt expressed in absolute dollars.

    The debt ceiling has been raised 74 times since March 1962,[14]

    including 18 times under Ronald Reagan, 8 times

    under Bill Clinton, 7 times under George W. Bush and 3 times to date under President Obama.

    President Obama opposed one of those increases to the debt ceiling under George W. Bush and criticized Bush for a

    lack of leadership. "The fact that we are here today to debate raising America's debt limit is a sign of leadership

    failure. It is a sign that the US Government can't pay its own bills," Obama said before a March 16, 2006, vote onraising the debt limit. The Senate narrowly approved raising the limit along partisan lines, 5248, with all Democrats

    opposed.[15] This apparent contradiction can be explained by the fact that Democrats and Republicans disagree on

    how the government spends money and whatthe money is spent on, not on the idea itself of raising the debt ceiling.

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    2011 U.S. debt ceiling crisis 3

    Impact of budget deficits and long-term debt on debt ceiling debate

    The growing anxiety since 2009 over the large United States federal budget deficits and mounting debt led to the

    contentious debate over raising the debt ceiling:

    According to the Congressional Budget Office (CBO): At the end of 2008, that debt equaled 40 percent of the

    nations annual economic output (a little above the 40-year average of 37 percent). Since then, the figure has shot

    upward: By the end of fiscal year 2011, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) projects federal debt will reach

    roughly 70 percent of gross domestic product (GDP)the highest percentage since shortly after World War II.

    The sharp rise in debt after 2008 stems largely from lower tax revenues and higher federal spending related to the

    severe recession and persistently high unemployment in 200811.[16]

    [17]

    In 2009, the Tea Party movement sprang out of Americans being concerned about the increased government

    spending.[18]

    [19]

    In early 2010, to address concerns of deficits and debt, President Obama established the Bowles-Simpson

    Commission to propose recommendations to balance the budget by 2015.[20]

    The commission issued their report

    in December 2010 but the recommendations were never adopted.

    The Tea Party helped usher in a wave of new Republicans in the 2010 mid-term elections[21]

    whose major planks

    during the campaign included cutting Federal spending[22] and stopping any tax increases.[23] These new

    Republicans and the new Republican House majority greatly affected the political debate in 2011 on raising the

    debt ceiling.

    In early- and mid-2011, Standard & Poor's and Moodys credit rating services issued warnings that United States

    could be downgraded because of the continued large deficits and increasing debt.[24]

    [25]

    [26]

    According to CBOs 2011 Long-Term Budget Outlook, without major policy changes the large budget deficits

    and growing debt would continue, which would reduce national saving, leading to higher interest rates, more

    borrowing from abroad, and less domestic investmentwhich in turn would lower income growth in the United

    States.[27]

    Through 20102011, the European sovereign debt crisis was playing out, and there were concerns that the United

    States was on the same trajectory.[28]

    Debt issuance suspension period and alternate methods of funding

    When the debt ceiling is reached, the U.S. Treasury can declare a debt issuance suspension period, and utilize

    methods other than issuing new debt to acquire funds to meet federal obligations. Several of these methods are

    described in detail in an Appendix attached to Secretary Geithner's April 4, 2011 letter to Congress[29]

    These

    "extraordinary measures" include using some federal employee payroll deductions (those directed to the Civil

    Service Retirement and Disability Fund and to the federal employee Government Securities Investment Fund [G

    Fund], which is part of a 401(k)-like program known as the Thrift Savings Plan or TSP). These methods have been

    used in several previous episodes in which federal debt neared its statutory limit.

    [30]

    These methods were implemented as of May 16, 2011 (as the current debt ceiling was exceeded) when, in a letter to

    Congress, Secretary Geithner declared a debt issuance suspension period, which provides the Secretary authority to

    sell assets from the Civil Service Retirement and Disability trust fund and the G Fund of the TSP. According to this

    letter, this period could "last until August 2, 2011, when the Department of the Treasury projects that the borrowing

    authority of the United States will be exhausted".[31]

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    2011 U.S. debt ceiling crisis 4

    Implications of not raising the debt ceiling

    On August 2, without a raise in the debt ceiling, the Treasury will reach the point at which it will, in addition to

    being unable to further borrow money to pay its bills, be unable to gather enough funds from alternative sources to

    pay for all of the federal government's obligations. While the government has enough income from tax revenues and

    other sources to pay some governmental obligations, it would have to choose which obligations to meet and which

    not to meet. Choosing which appropriations to pay for does not necessarily amount to defaulting on obligations tobondholders. As an example, satisfying existing interest payments to bondholders, Medicare payments, Social

    Security payments, unemployment insurance and defense contractors would leave no remaining funds to pay active

    duty military, federal workers, taxpayers due refunds and many other obligations generally considered essential.[32]

    Failure to extend the limit may have serious repercussions. This would probably include causing panic in bond

    markets and damaging the economic recovery from the Great Recession.[11]

    [33]

    Such a crisis could throw the United

    States back into a recession.

    Former Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers warned of serious consequences of a default in July 2011, including:

    (a) higher borrowing costs for the U.S. government (as much as 1% or $150 billion/year in additional interest costs);

    and (b) the equivalent of bank runs on the money and other financial markets, potentially as severe as those of

    September 2008.[34] Bank failures and a potential bank run, curbed by government intervention, were a major

    catalyst of the Global Financial Crisis that caused the Great Recession.

    In response to Jim DeMint and other Republican Senators, who suggested that the current level of the debt ceiling

    could be maintained by prioritizing payments on the debt above other government spending, Treasury Secretary

    Timothy Geithner wrote a letter of reply in late June. He said that this would require "cutting roughly 40 percent of

    all government payments", which could only be achieved by "selectively defaulting on obligations previously

    approved by Congress". He argues that this would harm the reputation of the United States so severely that there is

    "no guarantee that investors would continue to re-invest in new Treasury securities", forcing the government to repay

    the principal on existing debt as it matures, which it would be unable to do under any conceivable circumstances. He

    concluded: "There is no alternative to enactment of a timely increase in the debt limit."

    [35]

    Even if the Treasury were to prioritize payments on the debt above other spending and avoid formal default on its

    bonds, failure to raise the debt ceiling would force the government to reduce its spending by as much as 10% of GDP

    overnight, leading to a corresponding fall in aggregate demand. Such a significant shock, if sustained, is thought to

    be able to reverse the recovery and send the country into a recession.[36]

    [37]

    Deadline

    According to the Treasury Department, the deadline to increase the debt ceiling is August 2, 2011, when the U.S.

    government would run out of cash to pay all its bills.[38]

    According to Barclays Capital the Treasury may run out of

    cash around August 10, when $8.5 billion in Social Security payments are due. According to Wall Street analysts,

    the U.S. Treasury can't borrow from the capital markets after August 2, but still has enough cash to meet its

    obligations until August 15. Analysts also predict that the U.S. Treasury will be able to roll over the $90 billion in

    U.S. debt that matures on August 4 and gain additional time to avert a crisis.[39]

    No one knows how the financial

    market and investors will react if U.S. Treasury is unable to borrow additional funds or meet its financial obligations.

    Proposed resolutions

    Congress is now considering whether and by how much to extend the debt ceiling (or eliminate it), and what

    long-term policy changes (if any) should be made concurrently.[40]

    The House of Representatives has refused to raise

    the debt ceiling without deficit reduction, voting down a 'clean' bill to increase the debt ceiling without conditions.

    The May 31 vote was 318 to 97, with all 236 Republicans and 82 Democrats voting to defeat the bill.[41]

    TheRepublicans largely believe a deficit reduction deal should be based solely on spending cuts, including cuts to

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    2011 U.S. debt ceiling crisis 5

    entitlements, without any tax increases, to reduce or solve the long term issue of debt.[42]

    President Obama and the

    Democrats in the US Congress want an increase in the debt ceiling to solve the short-term borrowing problem, and in

    exchange support a decrease in the budget deficit to be funded by a combination of spending cuts and revenue

    increases.[43]

    Some prominent liberal economists, such as Paul Krugman, Larry Summers, and Brad DeLong, and

    prominent investors such as Bill Gross, go even further, and argue that not only the debt ceiling should be raised, but

    it should be accompanied by a short-term increase in federal spending (and, therefore, deficit), which would

    stimulate the economy, reduce unemployment, and ultimately reduce the deficit in medium to long term.[44]

    [45]

    Some Tea Party Caucus and other Republicans, however, (including, but not limited to, Senators Jim DeMint, Rand

    Paul, and Mike Lee, and Representatives Michele Bachmann, Ron Paul, and Allen West, etc.) are skeptical about

    raising the debt ceiling altogether (with some suggesting the consequences of default are exaggerated), arguing that

    the debt ceiling should not be raised and "instead the federal debt be cappedat the current limit,"[46]

    "although that

    would oblige the government to cut spending by almost half overnight."[47]

    For more, see "consequences of not

    raising the debt ceiling."

    Jack Balkin, the Knight Professor of Constitutional Law and the First Amendment at Yale Law School, besides

    arguing that the President can invoke Section 4 of the 14th Amendment to solve the crisis (see next section), also

    suggests two other ways to solve the debt ceiling crisis: he points out that the U.S. Treasury has the power to issue

    platinum coins in any denomination, so it could solve the debt ceiling crisis by simply issuing two platinum coins in

    denominations of one trillion dollars each, depositing them into its account in the Federal Reserve, and writing

    checks on the proceeds. Another way to solve the debt ceiling crisis, Balkin suggests, would be for the Federal

    Government to sell the Federal Reserve an option to purchase government property for $2 trillion. The Fed would

    then credit the proceeds to the government's checking account. Once Congress lifts the debt ceiling, the president

    could buy back the option for a dollar, or the option could simply expire in 90 days.[48]

    Among others, in a report issued by the credit rating agency Moody's, analyst Steven Hess suggested that the

    government should consider getting rid of the limit altogether, because the difficulty inherent in reaching an

    agreement to raise the debt ceiling creates a high level of uncertaintyand an increased risk of default. As reported

    by The Washington Post, "without a limit dependent on congressional approval, the report said, the agency would

    worry less about the governments ability to meet its debt obligations."[49]

    Additionally, some argue the debt limit is unconstitutional, and suggest that the President could simply declare the

    debt ceiling as such to resolve the crisis. For more, see the section entitled "constitutionality of the debt ceiling"

    below.

    Constitutionality of the debt ceiling

    During the debate, some scholars and Democratic lawmakers[50]

    suggested that the President could declare that the

    debt ceiling violates the United States Constitution and direct the Treasury to issue more debt.[51]

    They point to

    Section 4 of the Fourteenth Amendment to the United States Constitution, passed in the context of the Civil War

    Reconstruction, that states that the validity of the public debt shall not be questioned:

    Section. 4. The validity of the public debt of the United States, authorized by law, including debts incurred for

    payment of pensions and bounties for services in suppressing insurrection or rebellion, shall not be

    questioned. But neither the United States nor any State shall assume or pay any debt or obligation incurred in

    aid of insurrection or rebellion against the United States, or any claim for the loss or emancipation of any

    slave; but all such debts, obligations and claims shall be held illegal and void.

    Arguments:

    Jack Balkin, looking into the Legislative History of the Fourteenth Amendment, argues that Section 4 was

    adopted precisely to guard against politically-determined default. Referencing the sponsor of the provision,Senator Benjamin Wade, Balkin argues that "the central rationale for Section Four... was to remove threats of

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    2011 U.S. debt ceiling crisis 6

    default on federal debts from partisan struggle." Whereas the debt ceiling gives Congress the power for the United

    States to default on its debts by requiring approval of a higher debt limit; Balkin quotes Senator Wade: "every

    man who has property in the public funds will feel safer when he sees that the national debt is withdrawn from the

    power of a Congress to repudiate it and placed under the guardianship of the Constitution than he would feel if it

    were left at loose ends and subject to the varying majorities which may arise in Congress." Balkan claims that this

    reveals "an important structural principle. The threat of defaulting on government obligations is a powerful

    weapon, especially in a complex, interconnected world economy. Devoted partisans can use it to disrupt

    government, to roil ordinary politics, to undermine policies they do not like, even to seek political revenge.

    Section Four was placed in the Constitution to remove this weapon from ordinary politics."[52]

    Bruce Bartlett, a libertarian former Reagan adviser and columnist for The Fiscal Times, argues that Section 4

    renders the debt ceiling unconstitutional, and that the President should disregard the debt limit.[53]

    In July 2011, The Nation editor Katrina vanden Heuvel argued that the President could use the public debt section

    of the Fourteenth Amendment to force the Treasury to continue paying its debts if an agreement to raise the debt

    ceiling is not reached.[54]

    Laurence Tribe, professor of Constitutional Law at Harvard Law School, has called the argument that the public

    debt clause can nullify the debt ceiling "false hope" and has noted that nothing in the Constitution enabled thepresident to "usurp legislative power" with regards to the debt. Tribe also notes that since Congress has means

    other than borrowing to pay the federal debt (including raising taxes, coining money, and selling federal assets),

    the argument that the president could seize the power to borrow could be extended to give the President the ability

    to seize those powers as well.[55]

    Garrett Epps argues that the President would not be usurping Congressional power by invoking Section 4 to

    declare the debt ceiling unconstitutional, because the debt ceiling exceeds Congressional authority: calling it

    legislative "double-counting," as paraphrased in The New Republic, "because Congress already appropriated the

    funds in question, it is the executive branchs duty to enact those appropriations."[56]

    In other words, given

    Congress has appropriated money via federal programs, the Executive is obligated to enact and, therefore, fund

    them; the debt ceiling's limit on debt prevents the executive from carrying out those instructions given byCongress, on the constitutional authority to set appropriations, and is therefore unconstitutional. President Bill

    Clinton endorsed this line of argument, saying he would eliminate the debt ceiling using the 14th amendment,

    calling it "crazy" that Congress is allowed to first appropriate funds and then gets a second vote on whether to pay

    for them.[57]

    Furthermore, Matthew Zeitlin argues that, were Section 4 invoked, members of Congress would not have standing

    to sue the President for allegedly usurping congressional authority, even if they were willing to do so; and those

    likely to have standing would be people "designed to elicit zero public sympathy: those who purchased credit

    default swaps which would pay off in the event of government default."[56]

    Relatedly, Matthew Steinglass argues

    that, because it would come down to the Supreme Court, the Court would not vote in the favor of anyone who

    could and would sue: it would rule the debt ceiling unconstitutional. This is because, for the Court to rule touphold the debt ceiling, it would, in effect, be voting for the United States to default, with the consequences that

    would entail; and, Steinglass argues, the Court would not do that.[58]

    Michael Stern, Senior Counsel to the U.S. House of Representatives from 1996 to 2004, stated that Garrett Epps

    "had adopted an overly broad interpretation of the Public Debt Clause and that this interpretation, even if

    accepted, could not justify invalidating the debt limit" because "the Presidents duty to safeguard the national debt

    no more enables him to assume Congresss power of the purse than it would enable him to assume the judicial

    power when (in his opinion) the Supreme Court acts in an unconstitutional manner."[59]

    Rob Natelson, former Constitutional Law Professor at University of Montana, argues that "this is not some issue

    in the disputed boundaries between legislative and executive power." He continues "Thats why the Constitution

    itself (Article I, Section 8, Clause 2) gives only Congress, not the President, the power To borrow Money on thecredit of the United States.In another agrument, Natelson states that Bruce Bartlett "deftly omits a crucial part of

    http://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Bruce_Bartletthttp://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Bruce_Bartletthttp://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Bruce_Bartletthttp://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Bruce_Bartletthttp://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Bruce_Bartletthttp://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Garrett_Eppshttp://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Michael_Sternhttp://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Matthew_Steinglasshttp://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Matthew_Zeitlinhttp://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Bill_Clintonhttp://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Bill_Clintonhttp://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=The_New_Republichttp://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Garrett_Eppshttp://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Laurence_Tribehttp://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Katrina_vanden_Heuvelhttp://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=The_Nationhttp://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=The_Fiscal_Timeshttp://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Bruce_Bartlett
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    2011 U.S. debt ceiling crisis 7

    the quote from the Fourteenth Amendment. It actually says, 'The validity of the public debt of the United States,

    AUTHORIZED BY LAW . . . shall not be questioned.' In other words, Congress has to approve the debt for it not

    to be questioned. And note that this language refers to existing debt, not to creating new debt. He also neglects to

    mention that Section 5 of the Fourteenth Amendment specifically grants to Congress, not to the President,

    authority to enforce the amendment."[60]

    :

    Section 5. The Congress shall have power to enforce, by appropriate legislation, the provisions of thisarticle.

    George Madison, General Counsel to the US Treasury, wrote on 8 July 2011 that "Secretary Geithner has never

    argued that the 14th Amendment to the U.S. Constitution allows the President to disregard the statutory debt limit"

    and that "the Constitution explicitly places the borrowing authority with Congress." He additionally affirmed that

    "Secretary Geithner has always viewed the debt limit as a binding legal constraint that can only be raised by

    Congress."[61]

    President Obama himself later stated that he would not use this method to solve the crisis.

    Timeline

    February 12, 2010. The most recent increase in the debt ceiling was signed into law by President Obama, after

    being passed by the Democratic 111th Congress. It increased the debt ceiling by $1.9 trillion from $12.4 trillion to

    $14.3 trillion.[62]

    February 18, 2010. President Obama issues an Executive Order to establish the National Commission on Fiscal

    Responsibility and Reform, also known as the Bowles-Simpson Commission. The mission of the Commission

    was to propose recommendations designed to balance the budget, excluding interest payments on the debt, by

    2015. It was tasked to issue a report with a set of recommendations by December 1, 2010.[63]

    November 2, 2010. United States midterm elections: Considered a major victory, the Republican Party gained 63

    seats in the U.S. House of Representatives, recapturing the majority by 242193 in the 112th Congress.[64]

    Major

    planks for the House Republicans during the election campaign were cutting Federal spending[65]

    and stoppingany tax increases.

    [66]

    December 1, 2010. The Bowles-Simpson Commission on Fiscal Responsibility and Reform issues its report but

    the recommendations fail to win support of at least 14 of the 18 members necessary to adopt it formally.[67]

    [68]

    The recommendations were never adopted by Congress nor President Obama.

    January 6, April 4 and May 2, 2011. Secretary of the Treasury Timothy Geithner sends three letters requesting an

    increase in the debt ceiling.[69]

    [70]

    [71]

    January 28, 2011. Moodys Investors Service says it may place a negativeoutlook on the Aaa rating of U.S. debt

    sooner than anticipated as the countrys budget deficit widens.[72]

    February 14, 2011. President Obama releases his budget proposal for fiscal year 2012.[73]

    Republicans criticize

    the budget for doing too little to rein in the burgeoning U.S. deficit.[74]

    The CBO analysis released in April 2011estimated that the budget would increase total deficits over 10 years by $2.7 trillion: from $6.7 Trillion of the

    March 2011 baseline to $9.4 Trillion with the proposed budget.[75]

    The Senate rejects the budget proposal on May

    25, 2011 (see below).

    April 14, 2011. Both the House of Representatives and the Senate voted in favor of the 2011 United States federal

    budget, 260167 and 8119 respectively. This budget projected the 2011 deficit to be $1.645 trillion, and

    therefore ensured that the debt ceiling would be hit during this fiscal year.

    April 15, 2011. On a party-line vote 235193, the House of Representatives passed the Republican 2012 budget

    proposal aimed to reduce total spending by $5.8 trillion and reduce total deficits by $4.4 trillion over 10 years

    compared to the current-policy baseline.[76]

    It included reform to Medicare and Medicaid entitlement programs

    which the Democrats criticized as an attempt to leave seniors and poor holding the bag on health care costs. The

    criticism resonated with the many in the public who voiced opposition to the proposed changes.[77]

    The Senate

    http://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=The_Path_to_Prosperityhttp://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=The_Path_to_Prosperityhttp://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=2011_United_States_federal_budgethttp://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=2011_United_States_federal_budgethttp://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Debt_ceilinghttp://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Timothy_Geithnerhttp://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=United_States_Secretary_of_the_Treasuryhttp://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Bowles-Simpson_Commissionhttp://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=112th_Congresshttp://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=United_States_elections%2C_2010http://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Bowles-Simpson_Commissionhttp://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=111th_Congresshttp://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Democratic_Partyhttp://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Barack_Obamahttp://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=George_Madisonhttp://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Fourteenth_Amendment_to_the_United_States_Constitutionhttp://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Fourteenth_Amendment_to_the_United_States_Constitution
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    rejects the budget proposal on May 25, 2011 (see below).

    April 18, 2011. Standard & Poor's Ratings Services revised its outlook on U.S. to negative due to recent and

    expected further deterioration in the U.S. fiscal profile, and of the ability and willingness of the U.S. to soon

    reverse this trend. With the negative outlook, S&P believes there is a likelihood of at least one-in-three of a

    downward rating adjustment within two years.[78]

    May 16, 2011. The debt ceiling is reached. Secretary Geithner issues a debt issuance suspension period, directing

    the Treasury to utilize "extraordinary measures" to fund federal obligations.[79]

    May 18, 2011. Bipartisan deficit-reduction talks among the "Gang of Six" high-profile Senators are suspended

    when Republican Tom Coburn drops out.[80]

    May 24, 2011. Vice President Joe Biden and four Democratic lawmakers begin meeting with the Republican

    House Majority Leader Eric Cantor and the Republican Senate Minority Whip Jon Kyl, in an effort to continue

    the talks. Cantor says that these talks would lay the groundwork for further discussions between President Obama,

    Republican Speaker of the House John Boehner and other leaders of Congress.[81]

    May 25, 2011. The Senate rejects both the Republican House budget proposal by a vote of 5740 and the Obama

    budget proposal by a vote of 970.[82]

    May 31, 2011. The House votes on a bill to raise the debt ceiling without any spending cuts tied to the increase.President Obama asked Congress to raise the debt ceiling in a clean vote that included no other conditions. The

    bill, which would have raised the debt ceiling by $2.4 trillion, failed by a vote of 97318. Democrats accused

    Republicans of playing politics by holding a vote they knew would fail.[83]

    June 23, 2011. Biden's negotiations on the debt ceiling are cut off when both House Majority Leader Cantor and

    Senate Minority Whip Kyl walk out over disagreements over taxes.[84]

    July 19, 2011. The Republican Majority in the House bring the Cut, Cap and Balance Act (H.R.2560),[85]

    their

    proposed solution to the crisis, to a vote. They pass the bill by a vote of 234190, split closely along party lines:

    229 Republicans and 5 Democrats 'for,' 181 Democrats and 9 Republicans 'against;' it is sent to the Senate for

    consideration. The Bill authorized that the debt ceiling be raised by $2.4 trillion AFTER a Balanced Budget

    Amendment was passed by Congress. Since Constitutional amendments require a two-thirds majority vote in bothchambers of Congress to pass, a vote for a Balanced Budget Amendment would require more support than the

    Cut, Cap and Balance Act bill achieved in the House vote.[86]

    July 22, 2011. The Senate votes along party lines to table the Cut, Cap and Balance Act; 51 Democrats voting to

    table it and 46 Republicans voting to bring it to debate. Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid called the Act "one of

    the worst pieces of legislation to ever be placed on the floor of the United States Senate." Even had it passed

    Congress, President Obama had promised to veto the bill.[87]

    July 25, 2011. Republicans and Democrats outlined separate deficit-reduction proposals.[88]

    July 25, 2011. President Obama and Speaker of the House Boehner addressed the nation separately over network

    television with regards to the debt ceiling.[89]

    [90]

    August 2, 2011. Date projected by the Department of the Treasury that the borrowing authority of the United

    States will be exhausted.

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    Money. July 14, 2011. . Retrieved 2011-07-29.

    [33] Sarlin, Benjy (June 22, 2011). "Ex-IMF Chief Economist: Debt Ceiling Default Would Be "A Calamity"" (http://tpmdc.

    talkingpointsmemo.com/2011/06/simon-johnson-debt-ceiling-default-would-be-calamity.php). Talking Points Memo. . Retrieved

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    [36] "The Outcome of the Debt Ceiling Battle Could Hurt the Economy" (http://moneywatch.bnet.com/economic-news/blog/

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    [37] "Analysts: Failure To Raise Debt Ceiling Means 44% Spending Cut, 10% Drop In GDP, Recession" (http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/

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    [43] "Scheme, stonewall and fulminate" (http://www.economist.com/node/18988614?story_id=18988614&fsrc=rss). The Economist. 21 July

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    [44] "PIMCO Founder To Deficit-Obsessed Congress: Get Back To Reality" (http://tpmdc.talkingpointsmemo.com/2011/06/

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    [45] "Right Now Contractionary Fiscal Policy (Probably) Makes the Long-Run Debt Problem Worse" (http://delong.typepad.com/sdj/2011/

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    [48] Three Ways Obama Can Bypass CongressJack BalkinCNN Opinion July 28, 2011: (http://www. cnn.com/2011/OPINION/07/28/

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    [49] Hess, Steven (18 July 2011). "Eliminate the debt ceiling, Moodys suggests" (http://www. washingtonpost.com/blogs/political-economy/

    post/eliminate-the-debt-ceiling-moodys-suggests/2011/07/18/gIQAvhtfLI_blog.html). The Washington Post. .

    [50] http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2011/07/27/house-democratic-leaders-urge-obama-to-use-14th-amendment_n_910878.html

    [51] http://money.cnn. com/2011/06/30/news/economy/debt_ceiling_constitution/index.htm

    [52] Jack Balkin (30 June 2011). "The Legislative History of Section Four of the Fourteenth Amendment" (http://balkin.blogspot.com/2011/

    06/legislative-history-of-section-four-of.html). .

    [53] Bruce Bartlett (April 29, 2011). "The Debt Limit Option President Obama Can Use" (http://www.thefiscaltimes.com/Columns/2011/04/

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    External links

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