05 - Ponto de Pedido Probabilístico
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Simulação de Controle de Estoques com Variação Probabilística de Demanda Anual(D) Lead time (Tempo de Entrea do Produto) Custo de !ma #$$% unidades &' '$*+%% (10 a 10000) (1 a 90 dias) Des,io padrão da demanda di-ria .í,el de con/iabilidade do atendimento Custo unit-rio * unidades *0 1 '+%% (1a 20) (50a 99%) 10 Dias de trabal2o por ano &3% '&'&+** &% 6+$7 0'+66 60% 6% '8&'&+** Modelo: Demanda constante Time 1212.88087 Ponto de Encomenda Deterministico 0 1192.88087 !0 1 1172.88087 !0 2 1152.88087 !0 " 11"2.88087 !0 1112.88087 !0 5 1092.88087 !0 ! 1072.88087 !0 7 1052.88087 !0 8 10"2.88087 !0 9 1012.88087 !0 10 992.8808!8 !0 11 972.8808!8 !0 12 952.8808!8 !0 1" 9"2.8808!8 !0 1 912.8808!8 !0 15 892.8808!8 !0 1! 872.8808!8 !0 17 852.8808!8 !0 18 8"2.8808!8 !0 19 812.8808!8 !0 20 792.8808!8 !0 21 772.8808!8 !0 012"5!789 1 0 1 1 1 2 1 " 1 1 5 1 ! 1 7 1 8 1 9 2 0 2 1 2 2 2 " 2 2 5 2 ! 2 7 2 8 2 9 " 0 " 1 " 2 " " " " 5 " ! " 7 " 8 " 9 0 1 2 " 5 ! 7 8 9 5 0 5 1 5 2 5 " 5 5 5 5 ! 5 7 5 8 5 9 ! 0 ! 1 ! 2 ! " ! ! 5 ! ! ! 7 ! 8 ! 9 7 0 7 1 7 2 7 " 7 7 5 7 ! 7 7 7 8 7 9 8 0 8 1 8 2 8 " 8 8 5 8 ! 8 7 8 8 8 9 9 0 9 1 9 2 9 " 9 9 5 9 ! 9 7 9 8 9 9 1 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 2 1 0 " 1 0 1 0 5 1 0 ! 1 0 7 1 0 8 1 0 9 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 " 1 1 1 1 5 1 1 ! 1 1 7 1 1 8 1 1 9 1 2 0 1 2 1 1 2 2 1 2 " 1 2 1 2 5 1 2 ! 1 2 7 1 2 8 1 2 9 1 " 0 1 " 1 1 " 2 1 " " 1 " 1 " 5 1 " ! 1 " 7 1 " 8 1 " 9 1 0 1 1 1 2 1 " 1 1 5 1 ! 1 7 1 8 1 9 1 5 0 1 5 1 1 5 2 1 5 " 1 5 1 5 5 1 5 ! 1 5 7 1 5 8 1 5 9 1 ! 0 1 ! 1 1 ! 2 1 ! " 1 ! 1 ! 5 1 ! ! 1 ! 7 1 ! 8 1 ! 9 1 7 0 1 7 1 1 7 2 1 7 " 1 7 1 7 5 1 7 ! 1 7 7 1 7 8 1 7 9 1 8 0 1 8 1 1 8 2 1 8 " 1 8 1 8 5 1 8 ! 1 8 7 1 8 8 1 8 9 1 9 0 1 9 1 1 9 2 1 9 " 1 9 1 9 5 1 9 ! 1 9 7 1 9 8 1 9 9 2 0 0 2 0 1 2 0 2 2 0 " 2 0 2 0 5 2 0 ! 2 0 7 2 0 8 2 0 9 2 1 0 2 1 1 2 1 2 2 1 " 2 1 2 1 5 2 1 ! 2 1 7 2 1 8 2 1 9 2 2 0 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 " 2 2 2 2 5 2 2 ! 2 2 7 2 2 8 2 2 9 2 " 0 2 " 1 2 " 2 2 " " 2 " 2 " 5 2 " ! 2 " 7 2 " 8 2 " 9 2 0 2 1 2 2 2 " 2 2 5 2 ! 2 7 2 8 2 9 2 5 0 2 5 1 2 5 2 2 5 " 2 5 2 5 5 2 5 ! 2 5 7 2 5 8 2 5 9 2 ! 0 2 ! 1 2 ! 2 2 ! " 2 ! 2 ! 5 2 ! ! 2 ! 7 2 ! 8 2 ! 9 2 7 0 2 7 1 2 7 2 2 7 " 2 7 2 7 5 2 7 ! 2 7 7 2 7 8 2 7 9 2 8 0 2 8 1 2 8 2 2 8 " 2 8 2 8 5 2 8 ! 2 8 7 2 8 8 2 8 9 2 9 0 2 9 1 2 9 2 2 9 " 2 9 2 9 5 2 9 ! 2 9 7 2 9 8 2 9 9 " 0 0 " 0 1 " 0 2 " 0 " " 0 " 0 5 " 0 ! " 0 7 " 0 8 " 0 9 " 1 0 " 1 1 " 1 2 " 1 " " 1 " 1 5 " 1 ! " 1 7 " 1 8 " 1 9 " 2 0 " 2 1 " 2 2 " 2 " " 2 " 2 5 " 2 ! " 2 7 " 2 8 " 2 9 " " 0 " " 1 " " 2 " " " " " " " 5 " " ! " " 7 " " 8 " " 9 " 0 " 1 " 2 " " " " 5 " ! " 7 " 8 " 9 " 5 0 " 5 1 " 5 2 " 5 " " 5 " 5 5 " 5 ! " 5 7 " 5 8 " 5 9 " ! 0 " ! 1 " ! 2 " ! " " ! " ! 5 0 200 00 !00 800 1000 1200 100 Ciclo dos Estoques Modelo: Demanda constante Ponto de Encomenda Deterministico Dias . í , e l d e E s t o q u e s
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Ponto de Pedido Probabilístico
Transcript of 05 - Ponto de Pedido Probabilístico
Modelo QSimulao de Controle de Estoques com Variao Probabilstica de DemandaDemanda Anual (D)Lead time (Tempo de Entrega do Produto)Custo de Uma Ordem de Compra (Co)5330unidades21R$ 138.00(10 a 10000)(1 a 90 dias)(10 a 500)Desvio padro da demanda diriaNvel de confiabilidade do atendimentoCusto unitrio de compra do produto (Cc)8unidades86%R$ 1.00(1 a 20)(50 a 99%)10(1 a 100)Dias de trabalho por ano270Modelo Q de Estoque1212.88Q - Lote Econmico de Compra20Demanda Diria4.39Ordens de Compra por Ano61.44Tempo entre duas ordens460Ponto de encomenda40Estoque de SeguranaR$ 1,212.88Custo Total AnualModelo: Demanda constanteTime1212.8808680163Ponto de Encomenda Deterministico01192.880868016346011172.880868016346021152.880868016346031132.880868016346041112.880868016346051092.880868016346061072.880868016346071052.880868016346081032.880868016346091012.880868016346010992.880868016346011972.880868016346012952.880868016346013932.880868016346014912.880868016346015892.880868016346016872.880868016346017852.880868016346018832.880868016346019812.880868016346020792.880868016346021772.880868016346022752.880868016346023732.880868016346024712.880868016346025692.880868016346026672.880868016346027652.880868016346028632.880868016346029612.880868016346030592.880868016346031572.880868016346032552.880868016346033532.880868016346034512.880868016346035492.880868016346036472.880868016346037452.880868016346038432.880868016346039412.880868016346040392.880868016346041372.880868016346042352.880868016346043332.880868016346044312.880868016346045292.880868016346046272.880868016346047252.880868016346048232.880868016346049212.880868016346050192.880868016346051172.880868016346052152.880868016346053132.880868016346054112.88086801634605592.88086801634605672.88086801634605752.88086801634605832.88086801634605912.8808680163460601212.8808680163460611192.8808680163460621172.8808680163460631152.8808680163460641132.8808680163460651112.8808680163460661092.8808680163460671072.8808680163460681052.8808680163460691032.8808680163460701012.880868016346071992.880868016346072972.880868016346073952.880868016346074932.880868016346075912.880868016346076892.880868016346077872.880868016346078852.880868016346079832.880868016346080812.880868016346081792.880868016346082772.880868016346083752.880868016346084732.880868016346085712.880868016346086692.880868016346087672.880868016346088652.880868016346089632.880868016346090612.880868016346091592.880868016346092572.880868016346093552.880868016346094532.880868016346095512.880868016346096492.880868016346097472.880868016346098452.880868016346099432.8808680163460100412.8808680163460101392.8808680163460102372.8808680163460103352.8808680163460104332.8808680163460105312.8808680163460106292.8808680163460107272.8808680163460108252.8808680163460109232.8808680163460110212.8808680163460111192.8808680163460112172.8808680163460113152.8808680163460114132.8808680163460115112.880868016346011692.880868016346011772.880868016346011852.880868016346011932.880868016346012012.88086801634601211212.88086801634601221192.88086801634601231172.88086801634601241152.88086801634601251132.88086801634601261112.88086801634601271092.88086801634601281072.88086801634601291052.88086801634601301032.88086801634601311012.8808680163460132992.8808680163460133972.8808680163460134952.8808680163460135932.8808680163460136912.8808680163460137892.8808680163460138872.8808680163460139852.8808680163460140832.8808680163460141812.8808680163460142792.8808680163460143772.8808680163460144752.8808680163460145732.8808680163460146712.8808680163460147692.8808680163460148672.8808680163460149652.8808680163460150632.8808680163460151612.8808680163460152592.8808680163460153572.8808680163460154552.8808680163460155532.8808680163460156512.8808680163460157492.8808680163460158472.8808680163460159452.8808680163460160432.8808680163460161412.8808680163460162392.8808680163460163372.8808680163460164352.8808680163460165332.8808680163460166312.8808680163460167292.8808680163460168272.8808680163460169252.8808680163460170232.8808680163460171212.8808680163460172192.8808680163460173172.8808680163460174152.8808680163460175132.8808680163460176112.880868016346017792.880868016346017872.880868016346017952.880868016346018032.880868016346018112.88086801634601821212.88086801634601831192.88086801634601841172.88086801634601851152.88086801634601861132.88086801634601871112.88086801634601881092.88086801634601891072.88086801634601901052.88086801634601911032.88086801634601921012.8808680163460193992.8808680163460194972.8808680163460195952.8808680163460196932.8808680163460197912.8808680163460198892.8808680163460199872.8808680163460200852.8808680163460201832.8808680163460202812.8808680163460203792.8808680163460204772.8808680163460205752.8808680163460206732.8808680163460207712.8808680163460208692.8808680163460209672.8808680163460210652.8808680163460211632.8808680163460212612.8808680163460213592.8808680163460214572.8808680163460215552.8808680163460216532.8808680163460217512.8808680163460218492.8808680163460219472.8808680163460220452.8808680163460221432.8808680163460222412.8808680163460223392.8808680163460224372.8808680163460225352.8808680163460226332.8808680163460227312.8808680163460228292.8808680163460229272.8808680163460230252.8808680163460231232.8808680163460232212.8808680163460233192.8808680163460234172.8808680163460235152.8808680163460236132.8808680163460237112.880868016346023892.880868016346023972.880868016346024052.880868016346024132.880868016346024212.88086801634602431212.88086801634602441192.88086801634602451172.88086801634602461152.88086801634602471132.88086801634602481112.88086801634602491092.88086801634602501072.88086801634602511052.88086801634602521032.88086801634602531012.8808680163460254992.8808680163460255972.8808680163460256952.8808680163460257932.8808680163460258912.8808680163460259892.8808680163460260872.8808680163460261852.8808680163460262832.8808680163460263812.8808680163460264792.8808680163460265772.8808680163460266752.8808680163460267732.8808680163460268712.8808680163460269692.8808680163460270672.8808680163460271652.8808680163460272632.8808680163460273612.8808680163460274592.8808680163460275572.8808680163460276552.8808680163460277532.8808680163460278512.8808680163460279492.8808680163460280472.8808680163460281452.8808680163460282432.8808680163460283412.8808680163460284392.8808680163460285372.8808680163460286352.8808680163460287332.8808680163460288312.8808680163460289292.8808680163460290272.8808680163460291252.8808680163460292232.8808680163460293212.8808680163460294192.8808680163460295172.8808680163460296152.8808680163460297132.8808680163460298112.880868016346029992.880868016346030072.880868016346030152.880868016346030232.880868016346030312.88086801634603041212.88086801634603051192.88086801634603061172.88086801634603071152.88086801634603081132.88086801634603091112.88086801634603101092.88086801634603111072.88086801634603121052.88086801634603131032.88086801634603141012.8808680163460315992.8808680163460316972.8808680163460317952.8808680163460318932.8808680163460319912.8808680163460320892.8808680163460321872.8808680163460322852.8808680163460323832.8808680163460324812.8808680163460325792.8808680163460326772.8808680163460327752.8808680163460328732.8808680163460329712.8808680163460330692.8808680163460331672.8808680163460332652.8808680163460333632.8808680163460334612.8808680163460335592.8808680163460336572.8808680163460337552.8808680163460338532.8808680163460339512.8808680163460340492.8808680163460341472.8808680163460342452.8808680163460343432.8808680163460344412.8808680163460345392.8808680163460346372.8808680163460347352.8808680163460348332.8808680163460349312.8808680163460350292.8808680163460351272.8808680163460352252.8808680163460353232.8808680163460354212.8808680163460355192.8808680163460356172.8808680163460357152.8808680163460358132.8808680163460359112.880868016346036092.880868016346036172.880868016346036252.880868016346036332.880868016346036412.8808680163460365460
Modelo Q
Modelo: Demanda constantePonto de Encomenda DeterministicoDiasNvel de EstoquesCiclo dos Estoques
Total cost5330Demanda Anual (D)R$ 138.00Custo da Ordem (Co)R$ 1.00Custo Unitrio (Cc)Custo TotalEOQR$ 1,212.881213QCo100$7,355.40200$3,677.70Cc300$2,451.80$50.00400$1,838.85$100.00500$1,471.08$150.00600$1,225.90$200.00700$1,050.77$250.00TC800$919.43$300.00$7,405.40900$817.27$350.00$3,777.701000$735.54$400.00$2,601.801100$668.67$450.00$2,038.851200$612.95$500.00$1,721.081300$565.80$550.00$1,525.901400$525.39$600.00$1,400.771500$490.36$650.00$1,319.431600$459.71$700.00$1,267.271700$432.67$750.00$1,235.541800$408.63$800.00$1,218.671900$387.13$850.00$1,212.952000$367.77$900.00$1,215.802100$350.26$950.00$1,225.392200$334.34$1,000.00$1,240.362300$319.80$1,050.00$1,259.712400$306.48$1,100.00$1,282.672500$294.22$1,150.00$1,308.632600$282.90$1,200.00$1,337.132700$272.42$1,250.00$1,367.772800$262.69$1,300.00$1,400.262900$253.63$1,350.00$1,434.343000$245.18$1,400.00$1,469.80$1,450.00$1,506.48$1,500.00$1,544.22$1,582.90$1,622.42$1,662.69$1,703.63$1,745.18
LEMC:O nvel de servio pode ser interpretado como o nvel de confiana no atendimento das necessidades de compra de todos os posssveis fregueses.Aldo:A demanda diria a razo da demanda anual pelo nmero de dias de trabalho no ano. Suposta Constante. Valor arredondado.Aldo:Para o nvel de servio desejado (confiabilidade), utiliza o valor de "z" apurado, multiplica pelo Desvio Padro, obtendo um valor que, multiplicado pela raiz do Lead time d o estoque de segurana para aquele nvel de confiabilidade. Valor Arredondado.Aldo:Valor Arredondado.
Total cost7355.43507705.43677.77004377.72451.810503501.81838.8514003238.851471.0817503221.081225.921003325.91050.771428571424503500.7714285714919.42528003719.425817.266666666731503967.2666666667735.5435004235.54668.672727272738504518.6727272727612.9542004812.95565.845505115.8525.385714285749005425.3857142857490.3652505740.36459.712556006059.7125432.670588235359506382.6705882353408.633333333363006708.6333333333387.126315789566507037.1263157895367.7770007367.77350.257142857173507700.2571428571334.336363636477008034.3363636364319.880508369.8306.47584008706.475294.21687509044.216282.991009382.9272.422222222294509722.4222222222262.6928571429980010062.6928571429253.63448275861015010403.6344827586245.181050010745.18
CoCcTCOrder Quantity (in hundreds of units)Total Cost
